Revancha · every number
14
Number 14 In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 78 times drawn · chance expected 68 +1.25σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 63% for any number
6.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
40 longest completed wait · 17% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 78 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, +1.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
14 Number 14, draw by draw Drawn 78 times in 479 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 4 draws now
2 draws: 2022-04-29 to 2022-05-04 2 draws: 2022-05-04 to 2022-05-09 3 draws: 2022-05-09 to 2022-05-16 1 draws: 2022-05-16 to 2022-05-18 5 draws: 2022-05-18 to 2022-05-30 4 draws: 2022-05-30 to 2022-06-08 20 draws: 2022-06-08 to 2022-07-27 1 draws: 2022-07-27 to 2022-07-29 12 draws: 2022-07-29 to 2022-08-26 4 draws: 2022-08-26 to 2022-09-05 8 draws: 2022-09-05 to 2022-09-23 3 draws: 2022-09-23 to 2022-09-30 2 draws: 2022-09-30 to 2022-10-05 3 draws: 2022-10-05 to 2022-10-12 5 draws: 2022-10-12 to 2022-10-24 11 draws: 2022-10-24 to 2022-11-18 8 draws: 2022-11-18 to 2022-12-07 3 draws: 2022-12-07 to 2022-12-14 16 draws: 2022-12-14 to 2023-01-27 5 draws: 2023-01-27 to 2023-02-08 7 draws: 2023-02-08 to 2023-02-24 11 draws: 2023-02-24 to 2023-03-22 1 draws: 2023-03-22 to 2023-03-24 6 draws: 2023-03-24 to 2023-04-10 9 draws: 2023-04-10 to 2023-05-01 1 draws: 2023-05-01 to 2023-05-03 5 draws: 2023-05-03 to 2023-05-15 7 draws: 2023-05-15 to 2023-05-31 3 draws: 2023-05-31 to 2023-06-07 6 draws: 2023-06-07 to 2023-06-21 1 draws: 2023-06-21 to 2023-06-23 40 draws: 2023-06-23 to 2023-09-25 7 draws: 2023-09-25 to 2023-10-11 26 draws: 2023-10-11 to 2023-12-11 3 draws: 2023-12-11 to 2023-12-18 3 draws: 2023-12-18 to 2023-12-27 5 draws: 2023-12-27 to 2024-01-10 8 draws: 2024-01-10 to 2024-01-29 1 draws: 2024-01-29 to 2024-01-31 1 draws: 2024-01-31 to 2024-02-02 2 draws: 2024-02-02 to 2024-02-07 8 draws: 2024-02-07 to 2024-02-26 6 draws: 2024-02-26 to 2024-03-11 4 draws: 2024-03-11 to 2024-03-20 7 draws: 2024-03-20 to 2024-04-08 2 draws: 2024-04-08 to 2024-04-12 5 draws: 2024-04-12 to 2024-04-24 5 draws: 2024-04-24 to 2024-05-06 3 draws: 2024-05-06 to 2024-05-13 2 draws: 2024-05-13 to 2024-05-17 6 draws: 2024-05-17 to 2024-05-31 3 draws: 2024-05-31 to 2024-06-07 1 draws: 2024-06-07 to 2024-06-10 3 draws: 2024-06-10 to 2024-06-17 3 draws: 2024-06-17 to 2024-06-24 1 draws: 2024-06-24 to 2024-06-26 11 draws: 2024-06-26 to 2024-07-22 21 draws: 2024-07-22 to 2024-09-09 12 draws: 2024-09-09 to 2024-10-07 11 draws: 2024-10-07 to 2024-11-01 4 draws: 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-11 2 draws: 2024-11-11 to 2024-11-15 5 draws: 2024-11-15 to 2024-11-27 8 draws: 2024-11-27 to 2024-12-16 1 draws: 2024-12-16 to 2024-12-18 3 draws: 2024-12-18 to 2024-12-27 1 draws: 2024-12-27 to 2024-12-30 2 draws: 2024-12-30 to 2025-01-08 11 draws: 2025-01-08 to 2025-02-03 4 draws: 2025-02-03 to 2025-02-12 9 draws: 2025-02-12 to 2025-03-05 3 draws: 2025-03-05 to 2025-03-12 3 draws: 2025-03-12 to 2025-03-19 12 draws: 2025-03-19 to 2025-04-16 8 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-05-07 6 draws: 2025-05-07 to 2025-05-21 5 draws: 2025-05-21 to 2025-06-02 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2025-06-02 2022-04-29 2022-05-04 2022-05-09 2022-05-16 2022-05-18 2022-05-30 2022-06-08 2022-07-27 2022-07-29 2022-08-26 2022-09-05 2022-09-23 2022-09-30 2022-10-05 2022-10-12 2022-10-24 2022-11-18 2022-12-07 2022-12-14 2023-01-27 2023-02-08 2023-02-24 2023-03-22 2023-03-24 2023-04-10 2023-05-01 2023-05-03 2023-05-15 2023-05-31 2023-06-07 2023-06-21 2023-06-23 2023-09-25 2023-10-11 2023-12-11 2023-12-18 2023-12-27 2024-01-10 2024-01-29 2024-01-31 2024-02-02 2024-02-07 2024-02-26 2024-03-11 2024-03-20 2024-04-08 2024-04-12 2024-04-24 2024-05-06 2024-05-13 2024-05-17 2024-05-31 2024-06-07 2024-06-10 2024-06-17 2024-06-24 2024-06-26 2024-07-22 2024-09-09 2024-10-07 2024-11-01 2024-11-11 2024-11-15 2024-11-27 2024-12-16 2024-12-18 2024-12-27 2024-12-30 2025-01-08 2025-02-03 2025-02-12 2025-03-05 2025-03-12 2025-03-19 2025-04-16 2025-05-07 2025-05-21 2025-06-02 2022-04-25 2025-06-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 11 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 14 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 0 times 11 draws: 5 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 7 · chance 10.1 2nd smallest 30 · chance 29.1 3rd smallest 28 · chance 27.5 4th smallest 12 · chance 10.1 5th smallest 1 · chance 1.2 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 13 Every number number 15 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.