In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
61times drawn · chance expected 68 −0.97σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 46% for any number
7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
36longest completed wait · 24% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 61 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, −0.97σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15
Number 15, draw by draw
Drawn 61 times in 479 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.