In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
62times drawn · chance expected 68 −0.84σ
23draws waiting · a wait this long: 3% for any number
7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
29longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 62 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, −0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 23 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 62 times in 479 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 23 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.