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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Revancha · every number

9

Number 9

In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 20255/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025
62times drawn · chance expected 68 −0.84σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
43longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 62 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, −0.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 62 times in 479 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 1 draws now

3 draws: 2022-05-02 to 2022-05-094 draws: 2022-05-09 to 2022-05-183 draws: 2022-05-18 to 2022-05-251 draws: 2022-05-25 to 2022-05-279 draws: 2022-05-27 to 2022-06-171 draws: 2022-06-17 to 2022-06-205 draws: 2022-06-20 to 2022-07-015 draws: 2022-07-01 to 2022-07-152 draws: 2022-07-15 to 2022-07-204 draws: 2022-07-20 to 2022-07-296 draws: 2022-07-29 to 2022-08-121 draws: 2022-08-12 to 2022-08-1543 draws: 2022-08-15 to 2022-11-234 draws: 2022-11-23 to 2022-12-029 draws: 2022-12-02 to 2022-12-232 draws: 2022-12-23 to 2022-12-306 draws: 2022-12-30 to 2023-01-1828 draws: 2023-01-18 to 2023-03-248 draws: 2023-03-24 to 2023-04-147 draws: 2023-04-14 to 2023-05-016 draws: 2023-05-01 to 2023-05-1510 draws: 2023-05-15 to 2023-06-071 draws: 2023-06-07 to 2023-06-093 draws: 2023-06-09 to 2023-06-163 draws: 2023-06-16 to 2023-06-2333 draws: 2023-06-23 to 2023-09-0813 draws: 2023-09-08 to 2023-10-098 draws: 2023-10-09 to 2023-10-2718 draws: 2023-10-27 to 2023-12-081 draws: 2023-12-08 to 2023-12-111 draws: 2023-12-11 to 2023-12-133 draws: 2023-12-13 to 2023-12-2023 draws: 2023-12-20 to 2024-02-1613 draws: 2024-02-16 to 2024-03-1814 draws: 2024-03-18 to 2024-04-227 draws: 2024-04-22 to 2024-05-089 draws: 2024-05-08 to 2024-05-291 draws: 2024-05-29 to 2024-05-315 draws: 2024-05-31 to 2024-06-128 draws: 2024-06-12 to 2024-07-018 draws: 2024-07-01 to 2024-07-1912 draws: 2024-07-19 to 2024-08-169 draws: 2024-08-16 to 2024-09-063 draws: 2024-09-06 to 2024-09-139 draws: 2024-09-13 to 2024-10-044 draws: 2024-10-04 to 2024-10-149 draws: 2024-10-14 to 2024-11-0424 draws: 2024-11-04 to 2025-01-037 draws: 2025-01-03 to 2025-01-223 draws: 2025-01-22 to 2025-01-297 draws: 2025-01-29 to 2025-02-143 draws: 2025-02-14 to 2025-02-216 draws: 2025-02-21 to 2025-03-0710 draws: 2025-03-07 to 2025-03-313 draws: 2025-03-31 to 2025-04-078 draws: 2025-04-07 to 2025-04-283 draws: 2025-04-28 to 2025-05-052 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-092 draws: 2025-05-09 to 2025-05-142 draws: 2025-05-14 to 2025-05-199 draws: 2025-05-19 to 2025-06-09Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2025-06-092022-05-022022-05-092022-05-182022-05-252022-05-272022-06-172022-06-202022-07-012022-07-152022-07-202022-07-292022-08-122022-08-152022-11-232022-12-022022-12-232022-12-302023-01-182023-03-242023-04-142023-05-012023-05-152023-06-072023-06-092023-06-162023-06-232023-09-082023-10-092023-10-272023-12-082023-12-112023-12-132023-12-202024-02-162024-03-182024-04-222024-05-082024-05-292024-05-312024-06-122024-07-012024-07-192024-08-162024-09-062024-09-132024-10-042024-10-142024-11-042025-01-032025-01-222025-01-292025-02-142025-02-212025-03-072025-03-312025-04-072025-04-282025-05-052025-05-092025-05-142025-05-192025-06-092022-04-252025-06-11

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 7 times2 draws: 5 times3 draws: 10 times4 draws: 4 times5 draws: 3 times6 draws: 4 times7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 5 times9 draws: 7 times10 draws: 2 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 1 time34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 1 time44 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest17 · chance 20.0
  • 2nd smallest27 · chance 27.8
  • 3rd smallest16 · chance 12.2
  • 4th smallest2 · chance 1.9
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

519281610

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2025-06-0991st911132425
2025-05-1923rd6891932
2025-05-1422nd79102433
2025-05-0921st916
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

19
21
25
2025-05-0532nd69101921
2025-04-2881st911182028
2025-04-0731st913212230
2025-03-31103rd1691728
2025-03-0764th457932
2025-02-2131st910111926
2025-02-1472nd19121922
2025-01-2932nd69192531
2025-01-2272nd39182333
2025-01-03242nd19182122
2024-11-0492nd19152034
2024-10-1443rd2891922
2024-10-0493rd2391735
2024-09-1333rd5791618
2024-09-0692nd29121820
2024-08-16123rd2792231
2024-07-1982nd49101628
2024-07-0182nd49152835
2024-06-1253rd3693435
2024-05-3111st910131431
The other 38 appearances
2024-05-2991st924272831
2024-05-0873rd2593334
2024-04-22142nd89151629
2024-03-18131st911192431
2024-02-16232nd29171819
2023-12-2032nd69242635
2023-12-1312nd49111224
2023-12-1111st910141526
2023-12-08182nd29172535
2023-10-2783rd6792428
2023-10-09131st918252935
2023-09-08332nd19152732
2023-06-2332nd59142024
2023-06-1632nd79131932
2023-06-0911st912202335
2023-06-07102nd79101435
2023-05-1563rd1891420
2023-05-0173rd1391424
2023-04-1482nd59102235
2023-03-24281st913141621
2023-01-1863rd3592834
2022-12-3023rd1292432
2022-12-2391st918202728
2022-12-0241st921222329
2022-11-23431st917252829
2022-08-1511st916232632
2022-08-1262nd49102933
2022-07-2942nd89141928
2022-07-2023rd4691122
2022-07-1552nd19111725
2022-07-0152nd59152229
2022-06-2014th567935
2022-06-1793rd5791820
2022-05-2712nd69132329
2022-05-2531st921233031
2022-05-1842nd59141530
2022-05-0933rd3591431
2022-05-02—2nd19102628