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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Revancha · every number

17

Number 17

In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 20255/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025
71times drawn · chance expected 68 +0.34σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 63% for any number
6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
34longest completed wait · 35% chance of one at least that long
17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 71 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, +0.34σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

17

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 71 times in 479 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 4 draws now

1 draws: 2022-05-04 to 2022-05-0615 draws: 2022-05-06 to 2022-06-105 draws: 2022-06-10 to 2022-06-226 draws: 2022-06-22 to 2022-07-083 draws: 2022-07-08 to 2022-07-1522 draws: 2022-07-15 to 2022-09-0511 draws: 2022-09-05 to 2022-09-307 draws: 2022-09-30 to 2022-10-179 draws: 2022-10-17 to 2022-11-077 draws: 2022-11-07 to 2022-11-2312 draws: 2022-11-23 to 2022-12-2114 draws: 2022-12-21 to 2023-01-303 draws: 2023-01-30 to 2023-02-066 draws: 2023-02-06 to 2023-02-2010 draws: 2023-02-20 to 2023-03-152 draws: 2023-03-15 to 2023-03-203 draws: 2023-03-20 to 2023-03-2713 draws: 2023-03-27 to 2023-04-282 draws: 2023-04-28 to 2023-05-032 draws: 2023-05-03 to 2023-05-081 draws: 2023-05-08 to 2023-05-103 draws: 2023-05-10 to 2023-05-171 draws: 2023-05-17 to 2023-05-1911 draws: 2023-05-19 to 2023-06-1411 draws: 2023-06-14 to 2023-07-102 draws: 2023-07-10 to 2023-07-142 draws: 2023-07-14 to 2023-07-197 draws: 2023-07-19 to 2023-08-043 draws: 2023-08-04 to 2023-08-114 draws: 2023-08-11 to 2023-08-2112 draws: 2023-08-21 to 2023-09-182 draws: 2023-09-18 to 2023-09-224 draws: 2023-09-22 to 2023-10-026 draws: 2023-10-02 to 2023-10-169 draws: 2023-10-16 to 2023-11-062 draws: 2023-11-06 to 2023-11-105 draws: 2023-11-10 to 2023-11-224 draws: 2023-11-22 to 2023-12-013 draws: 2023-12-01 to 2023-12-083 draws: 2023-12-08 to 2023-12-1510 draws: 2023-12-15 to 2024-01-125 draws: 2024-01-12 to 2024-01-246 draws: 2024-01-24 to 2024-02-073 draws: 2024-02-07 to 2024-02-141 draws: 2024-02-14 to 2024-02-161 draws: 2024-02-16 to 2024-02-193 draws: 2024-02-19 to 2024-02-264 draws: 2024-02-26 to 2024-03-069 draws: 2024-03-06 to 2024-03-271 draws: 2024-03-27 to 2024-04-017 draws: 2024-04-01 to 2024-04-1734 draws: 2024-04-17 to 2024-07-059 draws: 2024-07-05 to 2024-07-2622 draws: 2024-07-26 to 2024-09-162 draws: 2024-09-16 to 2024-09-206 draws: 2024-09-20 to 2024-10-042 draws: 2024-10-04 to 2024-10-0913 draws: 2024-10-09 to 2024-11-0810 draws: 2024-11-08 to 2024-12-0210 draws: 2024-12-02 to 2024-12-271 draws: 2024-12-27 to 2024-12-305 draws: 2024-12-30 to 2025-01-158 draws: 2025-01-15 to 2025-02-037 draws: 2025-02-03 to 2025-02-195 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-03-033 draws: 2025-03-03 to 2025-03-109 draws: 2025-03-10 to 2025-03-318 draws: 2025-03-31 to 2025-04-2114 draws: 2025-04-21 to 2025-05-234 draws: 2025-05-23 to 2025-06-02Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2025-06-022022-05-042022-05-062022-06-102022-06-222022-07-082022-07-152022-09-052022-09-302022-10-172022-11-072022-11-232022-12-212023-01-302023-02-062023-02-202023-03-152023-03-202023-03-272023-04-282023-05-032023-05-082023-05-102023-05-172023-05-192023-06-142023-07-102023-07-142023-07-192023-08-042023-08-112023-08-212023-09-182023-09-222023-10-022023-10-162023-11-062023-11-102023-11-222023-12-012023-12-082023-12-152024-01-122024-01-242024-02-072024-02-142024-02-162024-02-192024-02-262024-03-062024-03-272024-04-012024-04-172024-07-052024-07-262024-09-162024-09-202024-10-042024-10-092024-11-082024-12-022024-12-272024-12-302025-01-152025-02-032025-02-192025-03-032025-03-102025-03-312025-04-212025-05-232025-06-022022-04-252025-06-11

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 7 times2 draws: 9 times3 draws: 10 times4 draws: 5 times5 draws: 5 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 5 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 5 times10 draws: 4 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 2 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest5 · chance 4.7
  • 2nd smallest14 · chance 20.0
  • 3rd smallest28 · chance 28.1
  • 4th smallest17 · chance 15.4
  • 5th smallest7 · chance 2.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

712319112

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2025-06-0243rd1114172529
2025-05-23142nd417263234
2025-04-2181st1719222732
2025-03-3194th16
← number 16Every numbernumber 18 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

9
17
28
2025-03-1032nd717222428
2025-03-0353rd47171822
2025-02-1971st1719242535
2025-02-0383rd714172831
2025-01-1551st1719222326
2024-12-3015th711121417
2024-12-27103rd714173032
2024-12-02102nd317192329
2024-11-08134th4671730
2024-10-0923rd412171821
2024-10-0464th2391735
2024-09-2023rd111172733
2024-09-16223rd1216172229
2024-07-2693rd712171827
2024-07-05342nd317272930
2024-04-1772nd417212933
2024-04-0113rd110171928
2024-03-2791st1723272829
2024-03-0642nd417193133
2024-02-2632nd1417182532
The other 47 appearances
2024-02-1914th57131735
2024-02-1613rd29171819
2024-02-1434th413161722
2024-02-0764th1415161732
2024-01-2453rd613172530
2024-01-12104th26131720
2023-12-1534th28161731
2023-12-0833rd29172535
2023-12-0142nd1517192425
2023-11-2255th67121317
2023-11-1024th312131719
2023-11-0694th2781727
2023-10-1661st1721232635
2023-10-0243rd810173134
2023-09-2223rd212172035
2023-09-18123rd56172135
2023-08-2144th311161725
2023-08-1133rd711172134
2023-08-0473rd112171933
2023-07-1923rd315172133
2023-07-1424th1011161729
2023-07-10113rd210172033
2023-06-14115th12101217
2023-05-1914th13161735
2023-05-1733rd1112172833
2023-05-1012nd717182831
2023-05-0823rd1016171927
2023-05-0323rd1415171929
2023-04-28133rd1015172035
2023-03-2733rd612172326
2023-03-2024th713151719
2023-03-15103rd311171834
2023-02-2062nd1017253033
2023-02-0633rd813172835
2023-01-30143rd1112172832
2022-12-21122nd817242630
2022-11-2372nd917252829
2022-11-0792nd317262934
2022-10-1772nd217182732
2022-09-30114th17141721
2022-09-05225th311141617
2022-07-1534th19111725
2022-07-0864th23121728
2022-06-2255th38101617
2022-06-10155th13101617
2022-05-0613rd1012171820
2022-05-04—5th15111417