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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Revancha · every number

3

Number 3

In Revancha under the 5/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025 rules — 479 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 20255/35 · Apr 2022 – Jun 2025
85times drawn · chance expected 68 +2.16σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 54% for any number
5.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
18longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 85 times in 479 draws against 68.4 expected, +2.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

3

Number 3, draw by draw

Drawn 85 times in 479 draws · average wait 5.6 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 5 draws now

13 draws: 2022-05-09 to 2022-06-081 draws: 2022-06-08 to 2022-06-102 draws: 2022-06-10 to 2022-06-153 draws: 2022-06-15 to 2022-06-221 draws: 2022-06-22 to 2022-06-244 draws: 2022-06-24 to 2022-07-061 draws: 2022-07-06 to 2022-07-082 draws: 2022-07-08 to 2022-07-1318 draws: 2022-07-13 to 2022-08-243 draws: 2022-08-24 to 2022-08-312 draws: 2022-08-31 to 2022-09-051 draws: 2022-09-05 to 2022-09-071 draws: 2022-09-07 to 2022-09-091 draws: 2022-09-09 to 2022-09-122 draws: 2022-09-12 to 2022-09-1615 draws: 2022-09-16 to 2022-10-217 draws: 2022-10-21 to 2022-11-076 draws: 2022-11-07 to 2022-11-212 draws: 2022-11-21 to 2022-11-259 draws: 2022-11-25 to 2022-12-167 draws: 2022-12-16 to 2023-01-094 draws: 2023-01-09 to 2023-01-181 draws: 2023-01-18 to 2023-01-203 draws: 2023-01-20 to 2023-01-2718 draws: 2023-01-27 to 2023-03-102 draws: 2023-03-10 to 2023-03-153 draws: 2023-03-15 to 2023-03-228 draws: 2023-03-22 to 2023-04-128 draws: 2023-04-12 to 2023-05-018 draws: 2023-05-01 to 2023-05-194 draws: 2023-05-19 to 2023-05-292 draws: 2023-05-29 to 2023-06-024 draws: 2023-06-02 to 2023-06-1216 draws: 2023-06-12 to 2023-07-191 draws: 2023-07-19 to 2023-07-211 draws: 2023-07-21 to 2023-07-243 draws: 2023-07-24 to 2023-07-311 draws: 2023-07-31 to 2023-08-026 draws: 2023-08-02 to 2023-08-162 draws: 2023-08-16 to 2023-08-211 draws: 2023-08-21 to 2023-08-233 draws: 2023-08-23 to 2023-08-301 draws: 2023-08-30 to 2023-09-016 draws: 2023-09-01 to 2023-09-1516 draws: 2023-09-15 to 2023-10-238 draws: 2023-10-23 to 2023-11-101 draws: 2023-11-10 to 2023-11-131 draws: 2023-11-13 to 2023-11-155 draws: 2023-11-15 to 2023-11-2713 draws: 2023-11-27 to 2023-12-299 draws: 2023-12-29 to 2024-01-2217 draws: 2024-01-22 to 2024-03-0114 draws: 2024-03-01 to 2024-04-051 draws: 2024-04-05 to 2024-04-082 draws: 2024-04-08 to 2024-04-121 draws: 2024-04-12 to 2024-04-156 draws: 2024-04-15 to 2024-04-2911 draws: 2024-04-29 to 2024-05-247 draws: 2024-05-24 to 2024-06-101 draws: 2024-06-10 to 2024-06-1210 draws: 2024-06-12 to 2024-07-054 draws: 2024-07-05 to 2024-07-154 draws: 2024-07-15 to 2024-07-245 draws: 2024-07-24 to 2024-08-059 draws: 2024-08-05 to 2024-08-2617 draws: 2024-08-26 to 2024-10-043 draws: 2024-10-04 to 2024-10-113 draws: 2024-10-11 to 2024-10-182 draws: 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-231 draws: 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-251 draws: 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-289 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-186 draws: 2024-11-18 to 2024-12-024 draws: 2024-12-02 to 2024-12-111 draws: 2024-12-11 to 2024-12-1313 draws: 2024-12-13 to 2025-01-201 draws: 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-2211 draws: 2025-01-22 to 2025-02-173 draws: 2025-02-17 to 2025-02-247 draws: 2025-02-24 to 2025-03-122 draws: 2025-03-12 to 2025-03-1713 draws: 2025-03-17 to 2025-04-163 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-04-2515 draws: 2025-04-25 to 2025-05-30Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2025-05-302022-05-092022-06-082022-06-102022-06-152022-06-222022-06-242022-07-062022-07-082022-07-132022-08-242022-08-312022-09-052022-09-072022-09-092022-09-122022-09-162022-10-212022-11-072022-11-212022-11-252022-12-162023-01-092023-01-182023-01-202023-01-272023-03-102023-03-152023-03-222023-04-122023-05-012023-05-192023-05-292023-06-022023-06-122023-07-192023-07-212023-07-242023-07-312023-08-022023-08-162023-08-212023-08-232023-08-302023-09-012023-09-152023-10-232023-11-102023-11-132023-11-152023-11-272023-12-292024-01-222024-03-012024-04-052024-04-082024-04-122024-04-152024-04-292024-05-242024-06-102024-06-122024-07-052024-07-152024-07-242024-08-052024-08-262024-10-042024-10-112024-10-182024-10-232024-10-252024-10-282024-11-182024-12-022024-12-112024-12-132025-01-202025-01-222025-02-172025-02-242025-03-122025-03-172025-04-162025-04-252025-05-302022-04-252025-06-11

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 21 times2 draws: 11 times3 draws: 10 times4 draws: 7 times5 draws: 2 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 4 times9 draws: 4 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 4 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 2 times18 draws: 2 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest69 · chance 65.9
  • 2nd smallest15 · chance 18.2
  • 3rd smallest1 · chance 0.9
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

52934351217

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2025-05-30152nd13283435
2025-04-2531st34152734
2025-04-16132nd13143035
2025-03-1721st312
← number 2Every numbernumber 4 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

16
22
35
2025-03-1271st35131418
2025-02-2431st321282935
2025-02-17111st311133334
2025-01-2211st39182333
2025-01-20131st35273135
2024-12-1311st35262935
2024-12-1141st312192832
2024-12-0261st317192329
2024-11-1891st34152332
2024-10-2811st3461232
2024-10-2511st38111233
2024-10-2321st3452334
2024-10-1831st316243334
2024-10-1131st35192529
2024-10-04172nd2391735
2024-08-2692nd2371931
2024-08-0551st35112732
2024-07-2441st37161929
2024-07-1541st326283234
2024-07-05101st317272930
The other 61 appearances
2024-06-1211st3693435
2024-06-1071st311142734
2024-05-24111st37242531
2024-04-2961st36122530
2024-04-1511st35112027
2024-04-1221st35101420
2024-04-0811st34142335
2024-04-05141st315212829
2024-03-01171st3582425
2024-01-2291st3462229
2023-12-29131st38102123
2023-11-2753rd123422
2023-11-1511st315273335
2023-11-1311st311181929
2023-11-1081st312131719
2023-10-23161st3571828
2023-09-1561st3582133
2023-09-0112nd1362031
2023-08-3032nd23232935
2023-08-2311st37212633
2023-08-2121st311161725
2023-08-1661st35122232
2023-08-0211st313151828
2023-07-3132nd13102426
2023-07-2411st316212930
2023-07-2111st318242631
2023-07-19161st315172133
2023-06-1241st3482030
2023-06-0221st38192233
2023-05-2941st310152329
2023-05-1982nd13161735
2023-05-0182nd1391424
2023-04-1281st38122025
2023-03-2231st313142934
2023-03-1521st311171834
2023-03-10181st312183233
2023-01-2731st314212834
2023-01-2012nd235731
2023-01-1841st3592834
2023-01-0971st35122729
2022-12-1691st38153134
2022-11-2521st315181921
2022-11-2161st3582429
2022-11-0771st317262934
2022-10-21151st313182335
2022-09-1622nd13202635
2022-09-1211st36162833
2022-09-0911st34222327
2022-09-0711st310162527
2022-09-0521st311141617
2022-08-3131st3781931
2022-08-24182nd23131522
2022-07-1321st310131830
2022-07-0812nd23121728
2022-07-0641st37121927
2022-06-2411st318202324
2022-06-2231st38101617
2022-06-1522nd2361131
2022-06-1012nd13101617
2022-06-08131st312141819
2022-05-09—1st3591431