Number 10

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

211times drawn · chance expected 215 −0.28σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 17% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

42longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 211 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, −0.28σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 211 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest62 · chance 67.9
2nd smallest93 · chance 94.0
3rd smallest46 · chance 41.8
4th smallest9 · chance 7.0
5th smallest1 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 2 25 3 21 31

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-12	26	1st	10 30 32 33 35
2020-06-13	2	2nd	7 10 21 27 29
2020-06-08	1	3rd	2 8 10 12 13
2020-06-06	18	1st	10 16 20

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-02-13	3	2nd	8 10 36 37 38
2019-02-06	5	1st	10 18 22 29 31
2019-01-26	2	3rd	2 8 10 22 33
2019-01-21	1	1st	10 14 21 22 35
2019-01-19	7	1st	10 15 31 38 39
2019-01-02	1	2nd	3 10 17 29 33
2018-12-31	8	4th	1 4 7 10 38
2018-12-12	7	2nd	8 10 13 25 38
2018-11-26	11	2nd	1 10 29 38 39
2018-10-31	15	1st	10 13 28 31 32
2018-09-26	4	1st	10 16 22 34 38
2018-09-17	5	2nd	4 10 15 34 37
2018-09-05	16	2nd	6 10 19 23 24
2018-07-30	6	3rd	4 9 10 35 36
2018-07-16	12	3rd	2 5 10 24 26
2018-06-18	4	1st	10 20 30 31 39
2018-06-09	7	4th	2 4 9 10 15
2018-05-23	2	1st	10 14 23 26 36
2018-05-19	1	4th	4 5 6 10 21
2018-05-16	8	3rd	1 7 10 18 36
2018-04-28	1	1st	10 20 23 24 39
2018-04-25	1	3rd	1 3 10 21 26
2018-04-23	1	2nd	9 10 19 25 32
2018-04-21	4	2nd	8 10 14 15 34
2018-04-11	6	2nd	5 10 11 25 28
2018-03-28	3	2nd	4 10 14 37 39
2018-03-21	1	2nd	1 10 18 22 25
2018-03-19	17	2nd	6 10 13 24 33
2018-02-07	12	3rd	6 8 10 21 26
2018-01-10	14	1st	10 24 28 34 39
2017-12-09	1	2nd	3 10 20 24 39
2017-12-06	4	3rd	2 9 10 11 39
2017-11-27	3	2nd	1 10 17 24 35
2017-11-20	5	1st	10 11 21 33 34
2017-11-08	1	3rd	3 9 10 14 35
2017-11-06	7	2nd	8 10 16 23 34
2017-10-21	4	2nd	3 10 22 25 32
2017-10-11	9	1st	10 11 12 15 22
2017-09-20	11	5th	2 3 4 8 10
2017-08-26	3	2nd	3 10 22 24 26
2017-08-19	13	3rd	2 4 10 18 27
2017-07-19	3	1st	10 13 14 27 38
2017-07-12	2	1st	10 12 16 20 28
2017-07-08	6	1st	10 16 19 28 34
2017-06-24	15	1st	10 25 31 32 35
2017-05-20	12	4th	6 7 8 10 18
2017-04-22	4	2nd	2 10 13 26 36
2017-04-12	3	2nd	3 10 14 37 39
2017-04-05	3	3rd	3 9 10 20 27
2017-03-29	10	2nd	4 10 14 18 32
2017-03-06	3	3rd	2 8 10 28 36
2017-02-27	2	1st	10 12 13 32 33
2017-02-22	1	1st	10 11 12 15 36
2017-02-20	13	3rd	2 4 10 23 25
2017-01-21	7	1st	10 16 29 31 34
2017-01-04	5	3rd	1 2 10 24 39
2016-12-24	2	2nd	3 10 24 26 31
2016-12-19	1	1st	10 15 32 36 38
2016-12-17	4	3rd	1 3 10 18 23
2016-12-07	5	3rd	2 3 10 17 25
2016-11-26	13	4th	1 8 9 10 31
2016-10-26	17	2nd	5 10 12 22 24
2016-09-17	2	1st	10 13 14 24 36
2016-09-12	9	2nd	2 10 23 31 37
2016-08-22	4	2nd	8 10 17 20 35
2016-08-13	19	3rd	1 4 10 28 32
2016-06-29	8	1st	10 16 25 29 37
2016-06-11	8	1st	10 11 19 21 22
2016-05-23	12	2nd	6 10 17 27 31
2016-04-25	1	2nd	9 10 11 12 23
2016-04-23	27	3rd	4 8 10 13 28
2016-02-20	6	3rd	4 5 10 15 36
2016-02-06	35	1st	10 14 17 31 38
2015-11-16	18	3rd	2 3 10 13 38
2015-10-05	11	2nd	7 10 14 16 36
2015-09-09	21	1st	10 15 21 22 24
2015-07-22	10	1st	10 15 21 25 35
2015-06-29	12	1st	10 16 19 20 36
2015-06-01	8	2nd	8 10 16 19 27
2015-05-13	6	1st	10 11 21 29 38
2015-04-29	10	1st	10 15 18 19 35
2015-04-06	5	2nd	2 10 13 35 36
2015-03-25	9	2nd	3 10 16 29 35
2015-03-04	33	2nd	6 10 19 23 28
2014-12-17	2	2nd	8 10 19 29 39
2014-12-13	7	3rd	2 9 10 11 32
2014-11-26	2	1st	10 11 14 17 19
2014-11-22	6	1st	10 16 30 34 38
2014-11-08	6	2nd	8 10 12 13 34
2014-10-25	2	1st	10 11 17 25 37
2014-10-20	31	2nd	7 10 14 27 37
2014-08-09	12	3rd	2 4 10 18 33
2014-07-12	20	2nd	2 10 21 23 26
2014-05-26	2	3rd	1 3 10 17 26
2014-05-21	9	1st	10 23 28 35 37
2014-04-30	19	1st	10 11 23 32 37
2014-03-17	32	1st	10 18 21 22 34
2014-01-01	5	3rd	1 8 10 33 35
2013-12-21	14	2nd	4 10 18 25 28
2013-11-18	3	2nd	2 10 13 26 38
2013-11-11	15	3rd	1 7 10 18 27
2013-10-07	3	3rd	4 5 10 35 38
2013-09-30	6	3rd	3 7 10 21 27
2013-09-16	14	3rd	6 7 10 12 17
2013-08-14	3	1st	10 23 25 27 36
2013-08-07	1	2nd	3 10 18 20 27
2013-08-05	5	2nd	3 10 21 32 34
2013-07-24	1	2nd	2 10 19 21 38
2013-07-22	2	1st	10 20 23 34 35
2013-07-17	11	2nd	5 10 16 23 33
2013-06-22	4	4th	2 6 8 10 27
2013-06-12	6	1st	10 13 14 19 32
2013-05-29	5	4th	1 2 7 10 28
2013-05-18	5	2nd	1 10 13 28 36
2013-05-06	2	2nd	5 10 27 29 35
2013-05-01	7	2nd	3 10 37 38 39
2013-04-15	9	3rd	5 7 10 12 31
2013-03-25	3	2nd	4 10 26 34 35
2013-03-18	3	1st	10 12 30 34 37
2013-03-11	9	2nd	3 10 12 26 27
2013-02-18	11	2nd	2 10 16 27 28
2013-01-23	14	1st	10 11 32 34 39
2012-12-22	2	3rd	7 8 10 13 17
2012-12-17	1	2nd	8 10 17 23 35
2012-12-15	3	2nd	5 10 25 31 32
2012-12-08	21	2nd	2 10 12 18 36
2012-10-20	2	3rd	4 6 10 23 38
2012-10-15	2	1st	10 22 25 31 39
2012-10-10	2	3rd	3 9 10 17 39
2012-10-06	10	2nd	5 10 16 29 37
2012-09-12	23	2nd	5 10 25 27 31
2012-07-21	22	2nd	7 10 25 31 32
2012-05-30	1	2nd	5 10 15 34 39
2012-05-28	2	2nd	5 10 12 25 26
2012-05-23	22	1st	10 19 21 31 37
2012-04-02	8	2nd	2 10 23 27 28
2012-03-14	12	3rd	5 7 10 21 23
2012-02-15	15	2nd	9 10 24 25 29
2012-01-11	2	2nd	8 10 17 24 27
2012-01-07	4	2nd	5 10 17 20 35
2011-12-28	5	2nd	9 10 11 23 33
2011-12-17	3	3rd	2 7 10 30 33
2011-12-10	4	2nd	3 10 25 34 39
2011-11-30	5	1st	10 12 18 24 29
2011-11-19	4	1st	10 12 25 37 39
2011-11-09	16	2nd	7 10 21 31 37
2011-10-03	14	3rd	4 9 10 27 35
2011-08-31	4	2nd	2 10 19 21 36
2011-08-22	3	3rd	1 5 10 18 33
2011-08-15	16	1st	10 13 16 34 39
2011-07-09	4	1st	10 17 25 31 32
2011-06-29	5	1st	10 18 28 36 37
2011-06-18	28	2nd	7 10 14 15 28
2011-04-13	1	2nd	1 10 14 32 35
2011-04-11	6	2nd	9 10 11 21 29
2011-03-28	4	3rd	7 8 10 17 36
2011-03-19	1	2nd	7 10 21 36 37
2011-03-16	2	2nd	5 10 19 26 28
2011-03-12	12	1st	10 11 23 29 32
2011-02-12	4	1st	10 13 25 26 29
2011-02-02	23	2nd	5 10 15 17 20
2010-12-11	1	1st	10 20 28 33 36
2010-12-08	1	2nd	8 10 18 24 34
2010-12-06	16	1st	10 20 21 27 31
2010-10-30	2	2nd	8 10 23 33 38
2010-10-25	3	2nd	5 10 31 32 35
2010-10-18	2	2nd	2 10 14 16 35
2010-10-13	5	2nd	7 10 25 28 29
2010-10-02	1	2nd	5 10 14 28 33
2010-09-29	4	1st	10 11 20 27 34
2010-09-20	7	2nd	9 10 11 18 31
2010-09-04	11	2nd	6 10 13 16 30
2010-08-09	1	2nd	6 10 18 26 28
2010-08-07	15	2nd	3 10 19 21 33
2010-07-03	3	3rd	3 8 10 15 31
2010-06-26	10	3rd	4 9 10 12 25
2010-06-02	1	1st	10 13 33 37 38
2010-05-31	1	1st	10 13 23 29 31
2010-05-29	10	2nd	6 10 11 34 38
2010-05-05	24	2nd	9 10 18 20 25
2010-03-10	1	1st	10 21 25 31 37
2010-03-08	3	1st	10 12 29 34 35
2010-03-01	3	2nd	1 10 19 21 37
2010-02-22	4	4th	7 8 9 10 23
2010-02-13	9	1st	10 16 21 37 38
2010-01-23	6	2nd	2 10 17 29 37
2010-01-09	—	3rd	7 9 10 11 20