Number 18

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

213times drawn · chance expected 215 −0.14σ

19draws waiting · a wait this long: 8% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

30longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 213 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, −0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 213 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 19 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest17 · chance 17.3
2nd smallest61 · chance 65.2
3rd smallest83 · chance 82.4
4th smallest41 · chance 41.2
5th smallest11 · chance 6.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 27 36 7 1 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-01	9	3rd	6 17 18 26 34
2020-07-11	2	3rd	7 16 18 23 33
2020-07-06	2	3rd	5 17 18 20 36
2020-07-01	3	1st	18 26 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-07-03	1	4th	1 7 15 18 34
2019-07-01	6	3rd	6 15 18 21 39
2019-06-17	2	2nd	5 18 31 32 34
2019-06-12	10	1st	18 20 22 32 33
2019-05-20	25	3rd	9 10 18 25 30
2019-03-23	5	2nd	15 18 22 24 31
2019-03-11	12	2nd	3 18 22 23 32
2019-02-11	2	2nd	1 18 26 27 32
2019-02-06	4	2nd	10 18 22 29 31
2019-01-28	18	3rd	3 8 18 27 36
2018-12-17	4	2nd	17 18 24 25 39
2018-12-08	8	3rd	5 13 18 25 39
2018-11-19	10	2nd	8 18 28 37 39
2018-10-27	21	2nd	12 18 19 20 25
2018-09-08	4	5th	5 11 16 17 18
2018-08-29	8	1st	18 22 27 30 31
2018-08-11	3	3rd	3 16 18 23 31
2018-08-04	5	3rd	1 16 18 27 36
2018-07-23	8	4th	7 9 13 18 35
2018-07-04	21	1st	18 20 24 25 36
2018-05-16	7	4th	1 7 10 18 36
2018-04-30	9	2nd	4 18 21 33 35
2018-04-09	8	3rd	14 17 18 24 34
2018-03-21	2	3rd	1 10 18 22 25
2018-03-17	10	4th	13 14 15 18 38
2018-02-21	4	2nd	17 18 22 25 26
2018-02-12	3	3rd	6 16 18 28 31
2018-02-05	10	3rd	3 6 18 27 32
2018-01-13	2	2nd	7 18 20 22 35
2018-01-08	9	2nd	4 18 21 24 36
2017-12-18	16	2nd	7 18 28 36 38
2017-11-11	19	1st	18 21 32 35 38
2017-09-27	16	4th	4 9 12 18 28
2017-08-21	1	3rd	6 14 18 20 27
2017-08-19	3	4th	2 4 10 18 27
2017-08-12	9	2nd	4 18 21 31 36
2017-07-22	3	3rd	6 11 18 22 33
2017-07-15	2	2nd	3 18 21 22 39
2017-07-10	9	3rd	12 14 18 36 37
2017-06-19	13	3rd	8 12 18 19 24
2017-05-20	8	5th	6 7 8 10 18
2017-05-01	7	4th	9 14 17 18 35
2017-04-15	7	3rd	12 16 18 24 36
2017-03-29	3	4th	4 10 14 18 32
2017-03-22	14	4th	7 13 16 18 36
2017-02-18	5	1st	18 23 24 27 39
2017-02-06	4	2nd	12 18 22 29 37
2017-01-28	7	3rd	5 14 18 28 30
2017-01-11	6	2nd	6 18 28 33 36
2016-12-28	5	4th	3 5 13 18 27
2016-12-17	5	4th	1 3 10 18 23
2016-12-05	8	1st	18 31 36 37 39
2016-11-16	10	3rd	3 6 18 26 27
2016-10-24	12	3rd	8 17 18 31 34
2016-09-26	1	4th	5 15 17 18 23
2016-09-24	19	4th	3 11 15 18 25
2016-08-10	3	3rd	3 12 18 30 38
2016-08-03	12	5th	2 3 6 16 18
2016-07-06	9	1st	18 25 33 35 38
2016-06-15	24	2nd	11 18 31 37 39
2016-04-20	6	1st	18 22 23 30 38
2016-04-06	12	3rd	3 13 18 27 36
2016-03-09	3	3rd	15 16 18 20 35
2016-03-02	4	2nd	15 18 21 23 30
2016-02-22	17	2nd	12 18 23 25 35
2016-01-13	3	2nd	16 18 20 21 30
2016-01-06	5	2nd	11 18 27 35 37
2015-12-26	26	3rd	7 15 18 33 36
2015-10-26	1	3rd	7 11 18 33 37
2015-10-24	15	4th	9 15 17 18 33
2015-09-19	1	1st	18 31 34 35 36
2015-09-16	17	3rd	4 11 18 20 38
2015-08-08	3	3rd	5 13 18 24 29
2015-08-01	8	2nd	6 18 26 29 32
2015-07-13	9	3rd	7 12 18 22 34
2015-06-22	13	3rd	5 14 18 23 25
2015-05-23	10	2nd	4 18 26 28 36
2015-04-29	1	3rd	10 15 18 19 35
2015-04-27	1	2nd	8 18 19 20 27
2015-04-25	2	1st	18 24 29 37 38
2015-04-20	2	2nd	8 18 20 23 36
2015-04-15	11	4th	2 7 12 18 37
2015-03-21	28	2nd	1 18 28 30 39
2015-01-14	1	5th	2 5 11 14 18
2015-01-12	3	3rd	3 8 18 32 39
2015-01-05	5	3rd	9 14 18 19 29
2014-12-24	10	3rd	2 8 18 19 22
2014-12-01	1	5th	2 9 14 16 18
2014-11-29	2	2nd	12 18 20 21 28
2014-11-24	8	2nd	1 18 23 26 32
2014-11-05	6	2nd	13 18 22 30 37
2014-10-22	13	3rd	2 13 18 29 36
2014-09-22	7	5th	1 3 4 7 18
2014-09-06	12	4th	5 7 15 18 35
2014-08-09	1	4th	2 4 10 18 33
2014-08-06	3	1st	18 22 28 32 37
2014-07-30	4	2nd	1 18 19 31 36
2014-07-21	21	3rd	9 17 18 23 27
2014-06-02	16	1st	18 23 25 31 32
2014-04-26	9	2nd	16 18 24 35 37
2014-04-05	8	4th	2 12 17 18 22
2014-03-17	4	2nd	10 18 21 22 34
2014-03-08	11	3rd	1 7 18 31 32
2014-02-10	5	3rd	1 11 18 20 31
2014-01-29	2	4th	1 4 15 18 27
2014-01-25	8	3rd	7 12 18 21 26
2014-01-06	3	3rd	13 15 18 19 27
2013-12-30	4	4th	4 9 11 18 26
2013-12-21	3	3rd	4 10 18 25 28
2013-12-14	2	1st	18 22 24 30 39
2013-12-09	12	3rd	6 8 18 27 30
2013-11-11	8	4th	1 7 10 18 27
2013-10-23	3	3rd	11 12 18 22 36
2013-10-16	30	5th	3 6 9 14 18
2013-08-07	23	3rd	3 10 18 20 27
2013-06-15	5	4th	5 6 13 18 21
2013-06-03	3	3rd	2 3 18 25 36
2013-05-27	7	3rd	1 7 18 26 35
2013-05-11	1	3rd	16 17 18 20 23
2013-05-08	2	2nd	4 18 19 23 24
2013-05-04	13	3rd	1 15 18 25 29
2013-04-03	5	3rd	4 9 18 29 30
2013-03-23	1	3rd	12 16 18 26 33
2013-03-20	6	2nd	3 18 33 36 38
2013-03-06	1	3rd	9 14 18 27 39
2013-03-04	5	3rd	1 12 18 31 32
2013-02-20	15	2nd	6 18 27 35 38
2013-01-16	2	2nd	2 18 25 27 34
2013-01-12	15	2nd	3 18 22 34 35
2012-12-08	1	4th	2 10 12 18 36
2012-12-05	1	5th	2 7 13 16 18
2012-12-03	6	3rd	1 8 18 23 24
2012-11-19	2	3rd	2 11 18 22 37
2012-11-14	14	2nd	14 18 24 32 37
2012-10-13	14	1st	18 22 28 31 33
2012-09-10	2	1st	18 27 30 35 38
2012-09-05	4	2nd	13 18 21 27 28
2012-08-27	1	4th	1 4 11 18 31
2012-08-25	11	4th	3 4 11 18 34
2012-07-30	2	3rd	13 16 18 19 22
2012-07-25	4	3rd	8 13 18 23 29
2012-07-16	2	3rd	5 7 18 38 39
2012-07-11	6	2nd	17 18 22 27 33
2012-06-27	3	2nd	15 18 26 29 39
2012-06-20	11	4th	4 8 11 18 39
2012-05-26	3	2nd	7 18 23 37 38
2012-05-19	5	4th	1 12 14 18 23
2012-05-07	14	4th	3 5 6 18 31
2012-04-04	11	3rd	7 15 18 19 26
2012-03-10	8	3rd	6 13 18 34 38
2012-02-20	11	3rd	11 12 18 24 37
2012-01-25	24	2nd	16 18 20 26 28
2011-11-30	2	3rd	10 12 18 24 29
2011-11-26	4	2nd	4 18 22 26 27
2011-11-16	6	4th	9 15 16 18 37
2011-11-02	15	2nd	1 18 21 35 37
2011-09-28	7	2nd	14 18 21 23 28
2011-09-12	2	3rd	1 7 18 22 37
2011-09-07	7	4th	9 14 16 18 27
2011-08-22	1	4th	1 5 10 18 33
2011-08-20	11	2nd	1 18 25 30 32
2011-07-25	11	1st	18 24 25 30 39
2011-06-29	1	2nd	10 18 28 36 37
2011-06-27	10	3rd	8 9 18 25 35
2011-06-04	4	2nd	14 18 19 28 36
2011-05-25	8	3rd	8 12 18 19 26
2011-05-07	14	2nd	13 18 29 31 38
2011-04-04	27	3rd	3 4 18 19 25
2011-01-31	12	4th	2 3 7 18 24
2011-01-03	1	3rd	4 5 18 35 39
2011-01-01	10	4th	2 4 17 18 37
2010-12-08	9	3rd	8 10 18 24 34
2010-11-17	25	2nd	7 18 22 31 34
2010-09-20	4	4th	9 10 11 18 31
2010-09-11	1	3rd	13 15 18 21 24
2010-09-08	4	3rd	1 2 18 22 31
2010-08-30	5	4th	11 14 17 18 27
2010-08-18	4	4th	11 13 14 18 28
2010-08-09	9	3rd	6 10 18 26 28
2010-07-19	6	3rd	11 12 18 21 34
2010-07-05	8	4th	6 14 16 18 35
2010-06-16	17	3rd	6 14 18 23 34
2010-05-08	1	3rd	12 17 18 23 33
2010-05-05	1	3rd	9 10 18 20 25
2010-05-03	6	5th	2 3 5 14 18
2010-04-19	9	2nd	9 18 34 35 37
2010-03-29	4	3rd	4 6 18 30 36
2010-03-20	10	2nd	12 18 23 27 36
2010-02-24	—	3rd	13 16 18 30 37