Number 30

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

209times drawn · chance expected 215 −0.43σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

40longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 209 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 209 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.4
2nd smallest10 · chance 6.9
3rd smallest37 · chance 41.4
4th smallest102 · chance 93.1
5th smallest59 · chance 67.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 1 32 14 5 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-09-03	6	3rd	2 14 30 35 39
2020-08-26	4	4th	3 15 21 30 32
2020-08-17	2	3rd	1 26 30 37 38
2020-08-12	1	2nd	10 30 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-08-19	3	4th	1 15 28 30 37
2019-08-12	3	3rd	23 27 30 36 37
2019-08-05	3	4th	10 11 12 30 31
2019-07-29	10	2nd	6 30 31 35 36
2019-07-06	12	2nd	21 30 34 35 36
2019-06-08	8	3rd	4 26 30 36 39
2019-05-20	12	5th	9 10 18 25 30
2019-04-22	2	4th	2 8 9 30 31
2019-04-17	2	4th	1 8 24 30 38
2019-04-13	7	4th	6 20 29 30 32
2019-03-27	3	5th	17 21 26 29 30
2019-03-20	19	5th	13 14 15 24 30
2019-02-04	24	4th	5 6 17 30 37
2018-12-10	13	2nd	2 30 31 32 33
2018-11-10	2	5th	8 14 22 25 30
2018-11-05	3	4th	11 22 27 30 33
2018-10-29	11	5th	3 19 22 29 30
2018-10-03	15	4th	9 13 16 30 31
2018-08-29	15	4th	18 22 27 30 31
2018-07-25	7	5th	1 4 13 24 30
2018-07-09	5	5th	8 9 21 23 30
2018-06-27	4	3rd	20 24 30 32 37
2018-06-18	17	3rd	10 20 30 31 39
2018-05-09	1	2nd	15 30 32 36 38
2018-05-07	10	4th	4 5 13 30 35
2018-04-14	18	3rd	12 16 30 32 33
2018-03-03	2	5th	2 5 8 17 30
2018-02-26	1	3rd	19 28 30 31 37
2018-02-24	2	5th	1 5 14 26 30
2018-02-19	15	4th	2 15 17 30 37
2018-01-15	4	3rd	17 28 30 31 35
2018-01-06	3	5th	7 17 21 26 30
2017-12-30	2	4th	1 13 19 30 37
2017-12-25	2	4th	2 7 28 30 39
2017-12-20	2	4th	13 22 25 30 38
2017-12-16	10	4th	3 12 16 30 37
2017-11-22	23	5th	3 5 25 26 30
2017-09-30	28	4th	8 11 29 30 32
2017-07-26	10	4th	1 6 19 30 33
2017-07-03	3	4th	6 16 27 30 31
2017-06-26	2	4th	9 14 20 30 39
2017-06-21	8	5th	15 16 19 22 30
2017-06-03	10	4th	7 17 24 30 39
2017-05-10	23	3rd	27 29 30 31 38
2017-03-18	1	4th	2 9 25 30 33
2017-03-15	5	5th	7 11 22 28 30
2017-03-04	3	5th	5 6 7 20 30
2017-02-25	6	4th	5 9 27 30 37
2017-02-11	6	4th	2 5 14 30 35
2017-01-28	8	5th	5 14 18 28 30
2017-01-09	18	5th	1 5 8 15 30
2016-11-28	18	4th	1 14 17 30 34
2016-10-17	21	4th	2 22 28 30 35
2016-08-29	4	5th	1 3 7 24 30
2016-08-20	4	3rd	22 28 30 32 39
2016-08-10	10	4th	3 12 18 30 38
2016-07-18	7	5th	13 16 20 26 30
2016-07-02	10	4th	1 14 21 30 31
2016-06-08	21	3rd	9 23 30 32 39
2016-04-20	9	4th	18 22 23 30 38
2016-03-30	12	4th	4 20 25 30 35
2016-03-02	21	5th	15 18 21 23 30
2016-01-13	6	5th	16 18 20 21 30
2015-12-30	15	4th	26 28 29 30 37
2015-11-25	5	5th	1 23 26 28 30
2015-11-14	40	4th	3 4 24 30 37
2015-08-12	14	3rd	9 24 30 32 39
2015-07-11	13	4th	11 16 26 30 34
2015-06-10	11	4th	1 6 20 30 38
2015-05-16	15	4th	17 20 21 30 34
2015-04-11	9	4th	9 25 26 30 31
2015-03-21	8	4th	1 18 28 30 39
2015-03-02	1	4th	2 7 16 30 33
2015-02-28	1	5th	20 22 27 29 30
2015-02-25	7	4th	6 14 24 30 31
2015-02-09	3	4th	16 17 24 30 36
2015-02-02	5	5th	8 19 23 24 30
2015-01-21	2	4th	4 24 27 30 36
2015-01-17	6	4th	9 26 28 30 37
2015-01-03	18	4th	20 25 28 30 32
2014-11-22	2	3rd	10 16 30 34 38
2014-11-17	5	3rd	2 9 30 33 38
2014-11-05	12	4th	13 18 22 30 37
2014-10-08	4	5th	4 5 8 27 30
2014-09-29	6	4th	1 13 23 30 35
2014-09-15	3	3rd	11 26 30 35 37
2014-09-08	15	5th	2 20 21 22 30
2014-08-04	16	4th	5 7 12 30 37
2014-06-28	7	4th	5 22 25 30 34
2014-06-11	15	4th	17 21 27 30 37
2014-05-07	2	5th	12 20 26 29 30
2014-05-03	7	3rd	16 27 30 33 39
2014-04-16	29	3rd	1 13 30 35 39
2014-02-08	1	3rd	7 22 30 33 39
2014-02-05	4	4th	20 24 25 30 32
2014-01-27	15	5th	3 6 26 28 30
2013-12-23	2	5th	9 13 22 23 30
2013-12-18	2	4th	4 7 29 30 35
2013-12-14	2	4th	18 22 24 30 39
2013-12-09	2	5th	6 8 18 27 30
2013-12-04	6	4th	3 6 28 30 34
2013-11-20	11	3rd	12 14 30 32 38
2013-10-26	9	4th	4 5 6 30 36
2013-10-05	11	4th	1 4 8 30 32
2013-09-09	12	4th	9 13 26 30 33
2013-08-12	12	3rd	1 6 30 34 39
2013-07-15	2	5th	14 15 17 29 30
2013-07-10	25	4th	13 14 17 30 34
2013-05-13	17	4th	1 3 23 30 39
2013-04-03	7	5th	4 9 18 29 30
2013-03-18	2	3rd	10 12 30 34 37
2013-03-13	6	3rd	3 23 30 35 37
2013-02-27	6	5th	1 5 13 21 30
2013-02-13	16	5th	14 20 28 29 30
2013-01-07	30	5th	12 14 16 19 30
2012-10-29	11	3rd	20 27 30 34 38
2012-10-03	6	2nd	20 30 31 32 33
2012-09-19	1	3rd	12 17 30 31 36
2012-09-17	3	1st	30 31 35 38 39
2012-09-10	9	3rd	18 27 30 35 38
2012-08-20	5	4th	3 6 25 30 35
2012-08-08	1	5th	5 7 9 26 30
2012-08-06	13	3rd	5 9 30 33 34
2012-07-07	3	4th	4 8 17 30 38
2012-06-30	2	4th	16 17 26 30 39
2012-06-25	18	3rd	22 29 30 34 35
2012-05-14	2	4th	7 11 23 30 37
2012-05-09	6	4th	14 25 26 30 38
2012-04-25	1	4th	16 19 25 30 37
2012-04-23	2	5th	11 13 14 16 30
2012-04-18	2	5th	6 7 8 14 30
2012-04-14	22	2nd	22 30 34 35 36
2012-02-22	16	5th	3 4 19 20 30
2012-01-16	3	4th	2 5 28 30 32
2012-01-09	10	4th	4 6 26 30 33
2011-12-17	4	4th	2 7 10 30 33
2011-12-07	10	4th	2 8 11 30 37
2011-11-14	6	4th	7 8 14 30 32
2011-10-31	8	4th	6 16 17 30 33
2011-10-12	10	4th	2 25 27 30 35
2011-09-19	13	4th	6 7 23 30 36
2011-08-20	4	4th	1 18 25 30 32
2011-08-10	4	5th	1 13 17 23 30
2011-08-01	3	2nd	2 30 32 33 35
2011-07-25	9	4th	18 24 25 30 39
2011-07-04	1	4th	7 26 28 30 37
2011-07-02	7	4th	1 14 27 30 31
2011-06-15	3	5th	2 8 12 21 30
2011-06-08	13	3rd	7 29 30 32 35
2011-05-09	13	5th	12 16 22 27 30
2011-04-09	14	4th	2 12 13 30 39
2011-03-07	7	4th	3 15 21 30 38
2011-02-19	2	2nd	21 30 32 33 34
2011-02-14	8	4th	2 11 16 30 36
2011-01-26	4	5th	11 13 23 24 30
2011-01-17	11	5th	3 9 12 16 30
2010-12-22	2	4th	4 25 28 30 36
2010-12-18	9	4th	11 12 14 30 32
2010-11-27	5	4th	1 4 7 30 38
2010-11-15	4	4th	7 14 25 30 39
2010-11-06	14	5th	6 7 14 25 30
2010-10-04	7	3rd	4 5 30 34 35
2010-09-18	1	5th	7 9 12 13 30
2010-09-15	5	5th	7 15 22 27 30
2010-09-04	8	5th	6 10 13 16 30
2010-08-16	6	4th	13 20 21 30 32
2010-08-02	4	5th	1 2 16 22 30
2010-07-24	5	5th	6 9 13 21 30
2010-07-12	2	4th	12 24 28 30 34
2010-07-07	4	4th	1 21 23 30 35
2010-06-28	16	4th	1 14 27 30 33
2010-05-22	3	5th	1 3 5 26 30
2010-05-15	8	2nd	9 30 32 33 37
2010-04-26	11	3rd	9 20 30 34 35
2010-03-31	1	5th	17 19 21 27 30
2010-03-29	7	4th	4 6 18 30 36
2010-03-13	7	3rd	2 9 30 32 37
2010-02-24	7	4th	13 16 18 30 37
2010-02-08	2	3rd	14 28 30 33 36
2010-02-03	1	3rd	2 23 30 34 35
2010-02-01	6	4th	11 20 21 30 34
2010-01-18	1	5th	6 12 25 26 30
2010-01-16	2	4th	2 6 20 30 33
2010-01-11	3	4th	5 12 22 30 33
2010-01-04	—	5th	5 14 16 24 30