Number 21

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

229times drawn · chance expected 215 +1.03σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

39longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 229 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, +1.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 229 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 9.5
2nd smallest48 · chance 50.6
3rd smallest103 · chance 90.2
4th smallest58 · chance 63.7
5th smallest13 · chance 15.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 4 12 37 17 27

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-26	7	3rd	3 15 21 30 32
2020-08-10	11	3rd	11 17 21 30 33
2020-07-15	5	3rd	11 14 21 25 36
2020-07-04	4	4th	2 9 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-10-07	1	2nd	12 21 23 28 32
2019-10-05	1	1st	21 27 29 35 36
2019-10-02	1	3rd	1 5 21 28 33
2019-09-30	16	3rd	1 19 21 26 32
2019-08-24	1	2nd	15 21 24 26 29
2019-08-21	17	3rd	12 19 21 29 30
2019-07-13	3	3rd	1 11 21 24 38
2019-07-06	2	1st	21 30 34 35 36
2019-07-01	1	4th	6 15 18 21 39
2019-06-29	4	3rd	2 20 21 24 32
2019-06-19	6	4th	1 4 13 21 29
2019-06-05	2	3rd	5 8 21 23 36
2019-06-01	1	4th	3 9 12 21 25
2019-05-29	3	4th	7 9 19 21 37
2019-05-22	11	5th	7 8 9 14 21
2019-04-27	13	2nd	8 21 27 31 39
2019-03-27	1	2nd	17 21 26 29 30
2019-03-25	8	4th	6 8 14 21 29
2019-03-06	2	4th	3 4 12 21 28
2019-03-02	6	3rd	14 20 21 24 39
2019-02-16	11	3rd	8 10 21 27 37
2019-01-21	4	3rd	10 14 21 22 35
2019-01-12	16	1st	21 24 32 34 35
2018-12-05	1	2nd	12 21 22 32 35
2018-12-03	2	4th	4 12 15 21 36
2018-11-28	17	2nd	6 21 23 32 38
2018-10-20	2	2nd	9 21 34 36 39
2018-10-15	1	2nd	12 21 29 33 39
2018-10-13	17	2nd	5 21 23 26 33
2018-09-03	11	3rd	12 14 21 25 27
2018-08-08	8	2nd	17 21 22 26 32
2018-07-21	3	3rd	4 12 21 22 38
2018-07-14	2	2nd	17 21 24 25 37
2018-07-09	22	3rd	8 9 21 23 30
2018-05-19	8	5th	4 5 6 10 21
2018-04-30	2	3rd	4 18 21 33 35
2018-04-25	22	4th	1 3 10 21 26
2018-03-05	11	3rd	4 16 21 32 39
2018-02-07	2	4th	6 8 10 21 26
2018-02-03	11	3rd	13 19 21 35 39
2018-01-08	1	3rd	4 18 21 24 36
2018-01-06	20	3rd	7 17 21 26 30
2017-11-20	4	3rd	10 11 21 33 34
2017-11-11	7	2nd	18 21 32 35 38
2017-10-25	5	5th	4 9 13 14 21
2017-10-14	11	4th	1 16 19 21 36
2017-09-18	9	3rd	5 11 21 27 36
2017-08-28	7	2nd	9 21 26 34 38
2017-08-12	6	3rd	4 18 21 31 36
2017-07-29	6	3rd	17 20 21 28 29
2017-07-15	6	3rd	3 18 21 22 39
2017-07-01	10	4th	1 17 20 21 32
2017-06-07	1	3rd	11 12 21 28 34
2017-06-05	6	4th	9 13 17 21 35
2017-05-22	14	3rd	13 19 21 22 29
2017-04-19	4	4th	4 14 19 21 36
2017-04-10	17	4th	1 3 7 21 25
2017-03-01	9	3rd	4 16 21 32 38
2017-02-08	3	2nd	4 21 23 25 36
2017-02-01	1	2nd	19 21 26 31 39
2017-01-30	2	3rd	1 11 21 22 32
2017-01-25	1	3rd	3 6 21 24 36
2017-01-23	4	2nd	17 21 28 35 37
2017-01-14	3	3rd	7 16 21 26 35
2017-01-07	7	3rd	7 8 21 26 32
2016-12-21	9	3rd	11 12 21 27 38
2016-11-30	39	2nd	11 21 23 25 32
2016-08-31	2	3rd	13 14 21 27 29
2016-08-27	14	4th	4 7 19 21 26
2016-07-25	10	2nd	3 21 23 24 29
2016-07-02	2	3rd	1 14 21 30 31
2016-06-27	6	3rd	6 20 21 31 37
2016-06-13	1	4th	1 8 16 21 28
2016-06-11	3	4th	10 11 19 21 22
2016-06-04	7	2nd	12 21 28 34 36
2016-05-18	7	3rd	6 16 21 32 35
2016-05-02	1	2nd	16 21 28 32 38
2016-04-30	8	4th	3 11 17 21 32
2016-04-11	7	4th	4 14 16 21 29
2016-03-26	10	3rd	8 19 21 32 36
2016-03-02	1	3rd	15 18 21 23 30
2016-02-29	2	3rd	1 7 21 24 27
2016-02-24	10	2nd	12 21 28 32 37
2016-02-01	8	1st	21 26 31 38 39
2016-01-13	17	4th	16 18 20 21 30
2015-12-05	2	2nd	7 21 26 27 32
2015-11-30	10	3rd	11 20 21 22 33
2015-11-07	12	5th	4 12 13 17 21
2015-10-10	5	2nd	6 21 26 27 28
2015-09-28	8	3rd	19 20 21 24 29
2015-09-09	11	3rd	10 15 21 22 24
2015-08-15	2	3rd	7 8 21 33 37
2015-08-10	2	2nd	9 21 31 36 38
2015-08-05	6	3rd	13 15 21 28 37
2015-07-22	6	3rd	10 15 21 25 35
2015-07-08	8	3rd	5 13 21 24 34
2015-06-20	15	2nd	7 21 23 34 38
2015-05-16	1	3rd	17 20 21 30 34
2015-05-13	18	3rd	10 11 21 29 38
2015-04-01	9	2nd	17 21 22 29 33
2015-03-11	27	4th	5 14 15 21 31
2015-01-07	5	2nd	14 21 23 24 25
2014-12-27	10	4th	9 16 20 21 27
2014-12-03	2	2nd	17 21 24 36 39
2014-11-29	8	4th	12 18 20 21 28
2014-11-10	5	3rd	9 16 21 33 37
2014-10-29	6	1st	21 25 28 29 32
2014-10-15	4	2nd	16 21 22 28 38
2014-10-06	1	2nd	20 21 22 31 34
2014-10-04	4	2nd	17 21 22 27 32
2014-09-24	7	3rd	4 5 21 32 38
2014-09-08	25	3rd	2 20 21 22 30
2014-07-12	10	3rd	2 10 21 23 26
2014-06-18	3	3rd	12 13 21 22 23
2014-06-11	1	2nd	17 21 27 30 37
2014-06-09	29	4th	5 8 16 21 31
2014-04-02	7	4th	3 5 17 21 37
2014-03-17	12	3rd	10 18 21 22 34
2014-02-17	10	4th	2 9 17 21 36
2014-01-25	2	4th	7 12 18 21 26
2014-01-20	29	3rd	4 12 21 28 37
2013-11-13	2	4th	2 5 15 21 28
2013-11-09	8	3rd	14 16 21 26 38
2013-10-21	9	3rd	4 15 21 35 37
2013-09-30	15	4th	3 7 10 21 27
2013-08-26	9	4th	6 7 13 21 24
2013-08-05	5	3rd	3 10 21 32 34
2013-07-24	10	4th	2 10 19 21 38
2013-07-01	7	5th	4 8 9 14 21
2013-06-15	4	5th	5 6 13 18 21
2013-06-05	7	3rd	11 13 21 28 29
2013-05-20	18	3rd	2 12 21 22 33
2013-04-08	4	4th	7 8 11 21 22
2013-03-30	9	4th	2 4 20 21 23
2013-03-09	3	1st	21 25 27 33 38
2013-03-02	1	2nd	14 21 23 24 37
2013-02-27	25	4th	1 5 13 21 30
2012-12-31	3	3rd	3 6 21 23 28
2012-12-24	10	3rd	3 8 21 27 29
2012-12-01	1	5th	1 4 8 13 21
2012-11-28	12	4th	3 6 12 21 34
2012-10-31	2	5th	1 7 15 16 21
2012-10-27	13	4th	7 14 16 21 22
2012-09-26	5	2nd	9 21 29 34 38
2012-09-15	4	4th	4 11 13 21 29
2012-09-05	10	3rd	13 18 21 27 28
2012-08-13	22	3rd	14 15 21 24 27
2012-06-23	2	2nd	2 21 22 23 37
2012-06-18	3	5th	4 7 9 14 21
2012-06-11	1	2nd	5 21 22 26 37
2012-06-09	2	4th	11 13 19 21 23
2012-06-04	5	3rd	3 4 21 32 35
2012-05-23	5	3rd	10 19 21 31 37
2012-05-12	15	3rd	3 14 21 33 38
2012-04-07	5	4th	1 6 12 21 29
2012-03-26	3	3rd	4 7 21 36 39
2012-03-19	2	3rd	6 7 21 23 38
2012-03-14	7	4th	5 7 10 21 23
2012-02-27	11	5th	5 6 11 20 21
2012-02-01	36	2nd	17 21 31 32 34
2011-11-09	3	3rd	7 10 21 31 37
2011-11-02	4	3rd	1 18 21 35 37
2011-10-24	1	3rd	9 14 21 31 36
2011-10-22	10	3rd	3 6 21 24 35
2011-09-28	1	3rd	14 18 21 23 28
2011-09-26	11	4th	4 12 13 21 27
2011-08-31	33	4th	2 10 19 21 36
2011-06-15	7	4th	2 8 12 21 30
2011-05-30	1	2nd	17 21 28 33 34
2011-05-28	6	4th	4 9 13 21 34
2011-05-14	14	3rd	6 20 21 24 31
2011-04-11	5	4th	9 10 11 21 29
2011-03-30	5	3rd	3 12 21 22 26
2011-03-19	5	3rd	7 10 21 36 37
2011-03-07	7	3rd	3 15 21 30 38
2011-02-19	11	1st	21 30 32 33 34
2011-01-24	11	3rd	16 19 21 26 27
2010-12-29	10	3rd	4 14 21 31 36
2010-12-06	10	3rd	10 20 21 27 31
2010-11-13	16	3rd	2 15 21 22 39
2010-10-06	4	2nd	14 21 31 37 38
2010-09-27	7	4th	9 16 20 21 27
2010-09-11	6	4th	13 15 18 21 24
2010-08-28	5	2nd	11 21 25 32 35
2010-08-16	4	3rd	13 20 21 30 32
2010-08-07	6	4th	3 10 19 21 33
2010-07-24	1	4th	6 9 13 21 30
2010-07-21	1	3rd	11 20 21 31 37
2010-07-19	1	4th	11 12 18 21 34
2010-07-17	4	4th	8 11 17 21 31
2010-07-07	3	2nd	1 21 23 30 35
2010-06-30	7	3rd	11 19 21 22 25
2010-06-14	15	3rd	11 15 21 22 27
2010-05-10	12	2nd	17 21 24 25 33
2010-04-12	5	3rd	9 16 21 23 32
2010-03-31	2	3rd	17 19 21 27 30
2010-03-27	4	4th	6 8 20 21 32
2010-03-17	3	2nd	5 21 32 35 36
2010-03-10	2	2nd	10 21 25 31 37
2010-03-06	2	5th	3 6 12 14 21
2010-03-01	4	4th	1 10 19 21 37
2010-02-20	3	3rd	12 17 21 25 37
2010-02-13	5	3rd	10 16 21 37 38
2010-02-01	13	3rd	11 20 21 30 34
2010-01-02	—	4th	8 14 17 21 26