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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Hit 5 · every number

11

Number 11

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

5/42 · since Sep 20205/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020
219times drawn · chance expected 215 +0.30σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number
7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
32longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 219 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, +0.30σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

11

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 219 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 3 draws now

10 draws: 2010-01-09 to 2010-02-012 draws: 2010-02-01 to 2010-02-069 draws: 2010-02-06 to 2010-02-2718 draws: 2010-02-27 to 2010-04-103 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-04-173 draws: 2010-04-17 to 2010-04-243 draws: 2010-04-24 to 2010-05-0112 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-294 draws: 2010-05-29 to 2010-06-071 draws: 2010-06-07 to 2010-06-092 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-143 draws: 2010-06-14 to 2010-06-214 draws: 2010-06-21 to 2010-06-306 draws: 2010-06-30 to 2010-07-141 draws: 2010-07-14 to 2010-07-171 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-07-191 draws: 2010-07-19 to 2010-07-216 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-08-046 draws: 2010-08-04 to 2010-08-181 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-08-212 draws: 2010-08-21 to 2010-08-251 draws: 2010-08-25 to 2010-08-281 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-08-301 draws: 2010-08-30 to 2010-09-018 draws: 2010-09-01 to 2010-09-201 draws: 2010-09-20 to 2010-09-223 draws: 2010-09-22 to 2010-09-2910 draws: 2010-09-29 to 2010-10-2324 draws: 2010-10-23 to 2010-12-1814 draws: 2010-12-18 to 2011-01-193 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-01-268 draws: 2011-01-26 to 2011-02-1411 draws: 2011-02-14 to 2011-03-1213 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-04-112 draws: 2011-04-11 to 2011-04-166 draws: 2011-04-16 to 2011-04-3018 draws: 2011-04-30 to 2011-06-1118 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-07-235 draws: 2011-07-23 to 2011-08-0314 draws: 2011-08-03 to 2011-09-052 draws: 2011-09-05 to 2011-09-105 draws: 2011-09-10 to 2011-09-217 draws: 2011-09-21 to 2011-10-0820 draws: 2011-10-08 to 2011-11-235 draws: 2011-11-23 to 2011-12-051 draws: 2011-12-05 to 2011-12-075 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2011-12-194 draws: 2011-12-19 to 2011-12-281 draws: 2011-12-28 to 2011-12-311 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-01-0220 draws: 2012-01-02 to 2012-02-181 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-02-203 draws: 2012-02-20 to 2012-02-271 draws: 2012-02-27 to 2012-02-297 draws: 2012-02-29 to 2012-03-1710 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-04-096 draws: 2012-04-09 to 2012-04-239 draws: 2012-04-23 to 2012-05-148 draws: 2012-05-14 to 2012-06-023 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-092 draws: 2012-06-09 to 2012-06-131 draws: 2012-06-13 to 2012-06-162 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-06-2014 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-07-232 draws: 2012-07-23 to 2012-07-288 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-08-154 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-08-251 draws: 2012-08-25 to 2012-08-271 draws: 2012-08-27 to 2012-08-297 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-1517 draws: 2012-09-15 to 2012-10-246 draws: 2012-10-24 to 2012-11-074 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2012-11-171 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-11-191 draws: 2012-11-19 to 2012-11-2116 draws: 2012-11-21 to 2012-12-2911 draws: 2012-12-29 to 2013-01-236 draws: 2013-01-23 to 2013-02-064 draws: 2013-02-06 to 2013-02-163 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-02-2318 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-04-061 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-04-0819 draws: 2013-04-08 to 2013-05-226 draws: 2013-05-22 to 2013-06-0510 draws: 2013-06-05 to 2013-06-293 draws: 2013-06-29 to 2013-07-061 draws: 2013-07-06 to 2013-07-082 draws: 2013-07-08 to 2013-07-1315 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-08-179 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-09-075 draws: 2013-09-07 to 2013-09-186 draws: 2013-09-18 to 2013-10-029 draws: 2013-10-02 to 2013-10-232 draws: 2013-10-23 to 2013-10-2814 draws: 2013-10-28 to 2013-11-3013 draws: 2013-11-30 to 2013-12-306 draws: 2013-12-30 to 2014-01-1312 draws: 2014-01-13 to 2014-02-1017 draws: 2014-02-10 to 2014-03-227 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-04-0710 draws: 2014-04-07 to 2014-04-3010 draws: 2014-04-30 to 2014-05-2412 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-06-2112 draws: 2014-06-21 to 2014-07-1925 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-09-157 draws: 2014-09-15 to 2014-10-0110 draws: 2014-10-01 to 2014-10-2514 draws: 2014-10-25 to 2014-11-267 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2014-12-1314 draws: 2014-12-13 to 2015-01-146 draws: 2015-01-14 to 2015-01-2810 draws: 2015-01-28 to 2015-02-2132 draws: 2015-02-21 to 2015-05-063 draws: 2015-05-06 to 2015-05-1315 draws: 2015-05-13 to 2015-06-173 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-06-247 draws: 2015-06-24 to 2015-07-1124 draws: 2015-07-11 to 2015-09-055 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-09-162 draws: 2015-09-16 to 2015-09-211 draws: 2015-09-21 to 2015-09-234 draws: 2015-09-23 to 2015-10-034 draws: 2015-10-03 to 2015-10-126 draws: 2015-10-12 to 2015-10-2615 draws: 2015-10-26 to 2015-11-3015 draws: 2015-11-30 to 2016-01-041 draws: 2016-01-04 to 2016-01-064 draws: 2016-01-06 to 2016-01-166 draws: 2016-01-16 to 2016-01-3021 draws: 2016-01-30 to 2016-03-197 draws: 2016-03-19 to 2016-04-042 draws: 2016-04-04 to 2016-04-097 draws: 2016-04-09 to 2016-04-252 draws: 2016-04-25 to 2016-04-307 draws: 2016-04-30 to 2016-05-162 draws: 2016-05-16 to 2016-05-219 draws: 2016-05-21 to 2016-06-112 draws: 2016-06-11 to 2016-06-1510 draws: 2016-06-15 to 2016-07-0912 draws: 2016-07-09 to 2016-08-0613 draws: 2016-08-06 to 2016-09-058 draws: 2016-09-05 to 2016-09-242 draws: 2016-09-24 to 2016-09-284 draws: 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-0819 draws: 2016-10-08 to 2016-11-214 draws: 2016-11-21 to 2016-11-301 draws: 2016-11-30 to 2016-12-038 draws: 2016-12-03 to 2016-12-214 draws: 2016-12-21 to 2016-12-3113 draws: 2016-12-31 to 2017-01-3010 draws: 2017-01-30 to 2017-02-229 draws: 2017-02-22 to 2017-03-1517 draws: 2017-03-15 to 2017-04-241 draws: 2017-04-24 to 2017-04-265 draws: 2017-04-26 to 2017-05-089 draws: 2017-05-08 to 2017-05-294 draws: 2017-05-29 to 2017-06-073 draws: 2017-06-07 to 2017-06-1416 draws: 2017-06-14 to 2017-07-224 draws: 2017-07-22 to 2017-07-314 draws: 2017-07-31 to 2017-08-093 draws: 2017-08-09 to 2017-08-167 draws: 2017-08-16 to 2017-09-027 draws: 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-185 draws: 2017-09-18 to 2017-09-305 draws: 2017-09-30 to 2017-10-1110 draws: 2017-10-11 to 2017-11-047 draws: 2017-11-04 to 2017-11-207 draws: 2017-11-20 to 2017-12-0620 draws: 2017-12-06 to 2018-01-223 draws: 2018-01-22 to 2018-01-2929 draws: 2018-01-29 to 2018-04-072 draws: 2018-04-07 to 2018-04-119 draws: 2018-04-11 to 2018-05-0215 draws: 2018-05-02 to 2018-06-064 draws: 2018-06-06 to 2018-06-166 draws: 2018-06-16 to 2018-06-308 draws: 2018-06-30 to 2018-07-184 draws: 2018-07-18 to 2018-07-2818 draws: 2018-07-28 to 2018-09-081 draws: 2018-09-08 to 2018-09-1024 draws: 2018-09-10 to 2018-11-0523 draws: 2018-11-05 to 2018-12-2923 draws: 2018-12-29 to 2019-02-202 draws: 2019-02-20 to 2019-02-258 draws: 2019-02-25 to 2019-03-166 draws: 2019-03-16 to 2019-03-304 draws: 2019-03-30 to 2019-04-0814 draws: 2019-04-08 to 2019-05-1110 draws: 2019-05-11 to 2019-06-035 draws: 2019-06-03 to 2019-06-153 draws: 2019-06-15 to 2019-06-229 draws: 2019-06-22 to 2019-07-1310 draws: 2019-07-13 to 2019-08-054 draws: 2019-08-05 to 2019-08-1410 draws: 2019-08-14 to 2019-09-076 draws: 2019-09-07 to 2019-09-211 draws: 2019-09-21 to 2019-09-237 draws: 2019-09-23 to 2019-10-096 draws: 2019-10-09 to 2019-10-2310 draws: 2019-10-23 to 2019-11-167 draws: 2019-11-16 to 2019-12-026 draws: 2019-12-02 to 2019-12-166 draws: 2019-12-16 to 2019-12-3014 draws: 2019-12-30 to 2020-02-015 draws: 2020-02-01 to 2020-02-126 draws: 2020-02-12 to 2020-02-2612 draws: 2020-02-26 to 2020-03-256 draws: 2020-03-25 to 2020-04-0829 draws: 2020-04-08 to 2020-06-1510 draws: 2020-06-15 to 2020-07-083 draws: 2020-07-08 to 2020-07-152 draws: 2020-07-15 to 2020-07-201 draws: 2020-07-20 to 2020-07-228 draws: 2020-07-22 to 2020-08-104 draws: 2020-08-10 to 2020-08-195 draws: 2020-08-19 to 2020-08-303 draws: 2020-08-30 to 2020-09-02Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2020-09-022010-01-092010-02-012010-02-062010-02-272010-04-102010-04-172010-04-242010-05-012010-05-292010-06-072010-06-092010-06-142010-06-212010-06-302010-07-142010-07-172010-07-192010-07-212010-08-042010-08-182010-08-212010-08-252010-08-282010-08-302010-09-012010-09-202010-09-222010-09-292010-10-232010-12-182011-01-192011-01-262011-02-142011-03-122011-04-112011-04-162011-04-302011-06-112011-07-232011-08-032011-09-052011-09-102011-09-212011-10-082011-11-232011-12-052011-12-072011-12-192011-12-282011-12-312012-01-022012-02-182012-02-202012-02-272012-02-292012-03-172012-04-092012-04-232012-05-142012-06-022012-06-092012-06-132012-06-162012-06-202012-07-232012-07-282012-08-152012-08-252012-08-272012-08-292012-09-152012-10-242012-11-072012-11-172012-11-192012-11-212012-12-292013-01-232013-02-062013-02-162013-02-232013-04-062013-04-082013-05-222013-06-052013-06-292013-07-062013-07-082013-07-132013-08-172013-09-072013-09-182013-10-022013-10-232013-10-282013-11-302013-12-302014-01-132014-02-102014-03-222014-04-072014-04-302014-05-242014-06-212014-07-192014-09-152014-10-012014-10-252014-11-262014-12-132015-01-142015-01-282015-02-212015-05-062015-05-132015-06-172015-06-242015-07-112015-09-052015-09-162015-09-212015-09-232015-10-032015-10-122015-10-262015-11-302016-01-042016-01-062016-01-162016-01-302016-03-192016-04-042016-04-092016-04-252016-04-302016-05-162016-05-212016-06-112016-06-152016-07-092016-08-062016-09-052016-09-242016-09-282016-10-082016-11-212016-11-302016-12-032016-12-212016-12-312017-01-302017-02-222017-03-152017-04-242017-04-262017-05-082017-05-292017-06-072017-06-142017-07-222017-07-312017-08-092017-08-162017-09-022017-09-182017-09-302017-10-112017-11-042017-11-202017-12-062018-01-222018-01-292018-04-072018-04-112018-05-022018-06-062018-06-162018-06-302018-07-182018-07-282018-09-082018-09-102018-11-052018-12-292019-02-202019-02-252019-03-162019-03-302019-04-082019-05-112019-06-032019-06-152019-06-222019-07-132019-08-052019-08-142019-09-072019-09-212019-09-232019-10-092019-10-232019-11-162019-12-022019-12-162019-12-302020-02-012020-02-122020-02-262020-03-252020-04-082020-06-152020-07-082020-07-152020-07-202020-07-222020-08-102020-08-192020-08-302020-09-022010-01-022020-09-05

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 28 times2 draws: 19 times3 draws: 18 times4 draws: 20 times5 draws: 12 times6 draws: 21 times7 draws: 16 times8 draws: 9 times9 draws: 9 times10 draws: 16 times11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 6 times13 draws: 4 times14 draws: 8 times15 draws: 5 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 3 times18 draws: 5 times19 draws: 2 times20 draws: 3 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 2 times24 draws: 3 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 2 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 1 time33 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest58 · chance 60.7
  • 2nd smallest101 · chance 97.2
  • 3rd smallest50 · chance 50.5
  • 4th smallest9 · chance 10.0
  • 5th smallest1 · chance 0.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1273392223

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2020-09-0232nd711142831
2020-08-3052nd711123238
2020-08-1942nd911262838
2020-08-1081st111721
← number 10Every numbernumber 12 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

30
33
2020-07-2211st1126323338
2020-07-2024th1351133
2020-07-1531st1114212536
2020-07-08101st1123283031
2020-06-15291st1117192729
2020-04-0862nd911182637
2020-03-25122nd711162235
2020-02-2662nd411183033
2020-02-1251st1115182333
2020-02-01142nd711222337
2019-12-3064th13101117
2019-12-1661st1119213138
2019-12-0271st1123283537
2019-11-16102nd511123031
2019-10-2363rd26111219
2019-10-0973rd47111619
2019-09-2312nd1011243039
2019-09-2161st1112131928
2019-09-07102nd111192436
2019-08-1442nd1011122233
The other 195 appearances
2019-08-05102nd1011123031
2019-07-1392nd111212438
2019-06-2233rd38112733
2019-06-1552nd511263236
2019-06-03104th3481134
2019-05-11142nd411132428
2019-04-0841st1117202331
2019-03-3063rd13111732
2019-03-1682nd911153336
2019-02-2522nd611202229
2019-02-20232nd311132736
2018-12-29232nd211222531
2018-11-05241st1122273033
2018-09-1012nd211151632
2018-09-08182nd511161718
2018-07-2842nd911192029
2018-07-1882nd511242839
2018-06-3062nd211273437
2018-06-1641st1126323435
2018-06-06152nd111142338
2018-05-0293rd12112933
2018-04-1123rd510112528
2018-04-07292nd711142031
2018-01-2932nd611161933
2018-01-22202nd311152533
2017-12-0674th29101139
2017-11-2072nd1011213334
2017-11-04102nd211131637
2017-10-1152nd1011121522
2017-09-3052nd811293032
2017-09-1872nd511212736
2017-09-0273rd45111215
2017-08-1632nd711122831
2017-08-0942nd811131526
2017-07-3141st1112131517
2017-07-22162nd611182233
2017-06-1432nd111122531
2017-06-0741st1112212834
2017-05-2993rd29111617
2017-05-0854th6891138
2017-04-2611st1122232536
2017-04-24173rd47112324
2017-03-1592nd711222830
2017-02-22102nd1011121536
2017-01-30132nd111212232
2016-12-3143rd58111331
2016-12-2181st1112212738
2016-12-0313rd89112233
2016-11-3041st1121232532
2016-11-21193rd78113335
2016-10-0842nd511192528
2016-09-2822nd711232637
2016-09-2482nd311151825
2016-09-05132nd611122933
2016-08-06123rd34111728
2016-07-09101st1124263438
2016-06-1521st1118313739
2016-06-1192nd1011192122
2016-05-2122nd811243133
2016-05-1672nd711123234
2016-04-3022nd311172132
2016-04-2573rd910111223
2016-04-0921st1123253639
2016-04-0472nd711141736
2016-03-19211st1114192739
2016-01-3063rd18112532
2016-01-1642nd711131533
2016-01-0611st1118273537
2016-01-04152nd211131523
2015-11-30151st1120212233
2015-10-2662nd711183337
2015-10-1243rd58111417
2015-10-0342nd611142538
2015-09-2312nd611122736
2015-09-2123rd78112528
2015-09-1652nd411182038
2015-09-05242nd211152235
2015-07-1171st1116263034
2015-06-2431st1124283334
2015-06-17153rd36111726
2015-05-1332nd1011212938
2015-05-06323rd49112735
2015-02-21103rd79111529
2015-01-2863rd56111731
2015-01-14143rd25111418
2014-12-1374th29101132
2014-11-26142nd1011141719
2014-10-25102nd1011172537
2014-10-0172nd511233839
2014-09-15251st1126303537
2014-07-19122nd111273233
2014-06-21123rd36112639
2014-05-24103rd12111417
2014-04-30102nd1011233237
2014-04-0773rd69112224
2014-03-22172nd811141928
2014-02-10122nd111182031
2014-01-1363rd17111215
2013-12-30133rd49111826
2013-11-30144th1241134
2013-10-2821st1119202931
2013-10-2391st1112182236
2013-10-0261st1114233437
2013-09-1851st1115172935
2013-09-0792nd811262935
2013-08-17151st1114152434
2013-07-1323rd16112528
2013-07-0812nd711172226
2013-07-0631st1119262933
2013-06-29101st1124263235
2013-06-0561st1113212829
2013-05-22191st1113222338
2013-04-0813rd78112122
2013-04-06182nd411192938
2013-02-2332nd711173738
2013-02-1642nd811162232
2013-02-0663rd79111229
2013-01-23112nd1011323439
2012-12-29162nd811143435
2012-11-2112nd411152637
2012-11-1912nd211182237
2012-11-1743rd79111324
2012-11-0763rd27112232
2012-10-24172nd911162532
2012-09-1572nd411132129
2012-08-2912nd911162023
2012-08-2713rd14111831
2012-08-2543rd34111834
2012-08-1581st1120242734
2012-07-2821st1112323435
2012-07-23141st1112192434
2012-06-2023rd48111839
2012-06-1611st1114202935
2012-06-1322nd711152235
2012-06-0931st1113192123
2012-06-0281st1114232425
2012-05-1492nd711233037
2012-04-2361st1113141630
2012-04-09103rd19112025
2012-03-1772nd911121339
2012-02-2912nd911273839
2012-02-2733rd56112021
2012-02-2011st1112182437
2012-02-18201st1114162733
2012-01-0213rd29112338
2011-12-3115th136711
2011-12-2843rd910112333
2011-12-1952nd511283539
2011-12-0713rd28113037
2011-12-0552nd611243637
2011-11-23202nd411161926
2011-10-0872nd811252635
2011-09-2152nd211151736
2011-09-1021st1113262934
2011-09-05143rd23111215
2011-08-0352nd411141623
2011-07-23183rd57113437
2011-06-11182nd611122933
2011-04-3063rd13112739
2011-04-1623rd48112734
2011-04-11133rd910112129
2011-03-12112nd1011232932
2011-02-1482nd211163036
2011-01-2631st1113232430
2011-01-19142nd411223537
2010-12-18241st1112143032
2010-10-23102nd611333739
2010-09-2932nd1011202734
2010-09-2212nd211232931
2010-09-2083rd910111831
2010-09-0112nd411263335
2010-08-3011st1114171827
2010-08-2811st1121253235
2010-08-2522nd811121337
2010-08-2113rd39112638
2010-08-1861st1113141828
2010-08-0462nd511242526
2010-07-2111st1120213137
2010-07-1911st1112182134
2010-07-1712nd811172131
2010-07-1462nd611122028
2010-06-3041st1119212225
2010-06-2132nd211263437
2010-06-1421st1115212227
2010-06-0913rd24111225
2010-06-0741st1113171927
2010-05-29123rd610113438
2010-05-0133rd39112835
2010-04-2432nd511122529
2010-04-1734th2471134
2010-04-10181st1124262935
2010-02-2792nd311233439
2010-02-0621st1116222433
2010-02-01101st1120213034
2010-01-09—4th79101120