Number 14

In Hit 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Sep 2020 rules — 1,676 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

225times drawn · chance expected 215 +0.74σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

49longest completed wait · 27% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 225 times in 1,676 draws against 214.9 expected, +0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 225 times in 1,676 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest34 · chance 38.6
2nd smallest98 · chance 91.1
3rd smallest66 · chance 71.3
4th smallest27 · chance 21.8
5th smallest0 · chance 2.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 28 31 38 30 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-09-03	1	2nd	2 14 30 35 39
2020-09-02	4	3rd	7 11 14 28 31
2020-08-29	14	2nd	6 14 17 23 38
2020-07-27	4	3rd	4 9 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-01-21	3	2nd	10 14 21 22 35
2019-01-14	8	4th	3 6 7 14 28
2018-12-26	1	3rd	5 7 14 16 31
2018-12-24	18	1st	14 23 24 31 33
2018-11-12	1	2nd	13 14 20 23 33
2018-11-10	17	2nd	8 14 22 25 30
2018-10-01	12	2nd	7 14 16 23 32
2018-09-03	6	2nd	12 14 21 25 27
2018-08-20	8	2nd	6 14 15 25 34
2018-08-01	24	2nd	13 14 20 33 35
2018-06-06	2	3rd	1 11 14 23 38
2018-06-02	2	2nd	2 14 26 29 36
2018-05-28	2	2nd	12 14 25 27 33
2018-05-23	8	2nd	10 14 23 26 36
2018-05-05	6	2nd	5 14 17 19 20
2018-04-21	5	3rd	8 10 14 15 34
2018-04-09	1	1st	14 17 18 24 34
2018-04-07	4	3rd	7 11 14 20 31
2018-03-28	5	3rd	4 10 14 37 39
2018-03-17	3	2nd	13 14 15 18 38
2018-03-10	6	2nd	8 14 19 28 39
2018-02-24	10	3rd	1 5 14 26 30
2018-01-31	5	3rd	4 12 14 35 37
2018-01-20	16	3rd	2 9 14 19 25
2017-12-13	15	2nd	4 14 29 31 33
2017-11-08	6	4th	3 9 10 14 35
2017-10-25	17	4th	4 9 13 14 21
2017-09-16	2	4th	2 7 13 14 33
2017-09-11	5	3rd	6 13 14 23 33
2017-08-30	4	3rd	7 8 14 31 39
2017-08-21	7	2nd	6 14 18 20 27
2017-08-05	5	2nd	2 14 19 29 38
2017-07-24	2	3rd	1 12 14 16 17
2017-07-19	4	3rd	10 13 14 27 38
2017-07-10	6	2nd	12 14 18 36 37
2017-06-26	13	2nd	9 14 20 30 39
2017-05-27	1	2nd	4 14 28 31 32
2017-05-24	3	2nd	7 14 22 26 32
2017-05-17	2	1st	14 26 28 34 37
2017-05-13	4	3rd	1 7 14 36 39
2017-05-03	1	1st	14 31 33 35 37
2017-05-01	5	2nd	9 14 17 18 35
2017-04-19	3	2nd	4 14 19 21 36
2017-04-12	6	3rd	3 10 14 37 39
2017-03-29	19	3rd	4 10 14 18 32
2017-02-13	1	1st	14 17 19 28 39
2017-02-11	3	3rd	2 5 14 30 35
2017-02-04	3	2nd	8 14 16 20 32
2017-01-28	21	2nd	5 14 18 28 30
2016-12-10	5	2nd	2 14 22 32 38
2016-11-28	7	2nd	1 14 17 30 34
2016-11-12	4	3rd	3 5 14 31 36
2016-11-02	2	2nd	1 14 16 19 33
2016-10-29	7	2nd	4 14 23 36 37
2016-10-12	9	4th	3 9 13 14 17
2016-09-21	2	1st	14 15 17 26 32
2016-09-17	7	3rd	10 13 14 24 36
2016-08-31	15	2nd	13 14 21 27 29
2016-07-27	6	3rd	4 12 14 33 37
2016-07-13	1	1st	14 17 20 31 36
2016-07-11	4	3rd	1 4 14 24 31
2016-07-02	13	2nd	1 14 21 30 31
2016-06-01	1	4th	3 5 9 14 35
2016-05-30	19	2nd	8 14 15 20 38
2016-04-16	2	3rd	9 12 14 20 27
2016-04-11	3	2nd	4 14 16 21 29
2016-04-04	7	3rd	7 11 14 17 36
2016-03-19	9	2nd	11 14 19 27 39
2016-02-27	4	3rd	3 5 14 16 26
2016-02-17	5	2nd	6 14 20 28 33
2016-02-06	5	2nd	10 14 17 31 38
2016-01-25	10	2nd	12 14 22 26 34
2016-01-02	9	4th	2 6 9 14 20
2015-12-12	13	2nd	12 14 24 28 38
2015-11-11	3	3rd	1 5 14 16 20
2015-11-04	10	2nd	13 14 33 35 38
2015-10-12	3	4th	5 8 11 14 17
2015-10-05	1	3rd	7 10 14 16 36
2015-10-03	1	3rd	6 11 14 25 38
2015-09-30	16	2nd	3 14 20 24 35
2015-08-24	11	3rd	5 12 14 23 34
2015-07-29	16	2nd	13 14 22 26 35
2015-06-22	10	2nd	5 14 18 23 25
2015-05-30	4	3rd	3 4 14 20 28
2015-05-20	18	1st	14 24 26 37 38
2015-04-08	12	2nd	5 14 15 22 27
2015-03-11	6	2nd	5 14 15 21 31
2015-02-25	3	2nd	6 14 24 30 31
2015-02-18	11	1st	14 15 20 22 34
2015-01-24	4	2nd	3 14 29 32 33
2015-01-14	2	4th	2 5 11 14 18
2015-01-10	1	3rd	8 13 14 16 29
2015-01-07	1	1st	14 21 23 24 25
2015-01-05	11	2nd	9 14 18 19 29
2014-12-10	4	3rd	1 9 14 22 35
2014-12-01	2	3rd	2 9 14 16 18
2014-11-26	16	3rd	10 11 14 17 19
2014-10-20	25	3rd	7 10 14 27 37
2014-08-23	1	1st	14 15 20 25 28
2014-08-20	1	1st	14 16 23 35 39
2014-08-18	3	2nd	13 14 15 32 39
2014-08-11	7	2nd	3 14 22 35 38
2014-07-26	5	1st	14 15 29 33 38
2014-07-14	16	2nd	12 14 26 31 37
2014-06-07	6	2nd	13 14 27 32 39
2014-05-24	5	4th	1 2 11 14 17
2014-05-12	19	1st	14 15 24 28 38
2014-03-29	3	2nd	2 14 15 22 28
2014-03-22	20	3rd	8 11 14 19 28
2014-02-03	8	2nd	6 14 23 31 39
2014-01-15	9	1st	14 15 28 36 37
2013-12-25	8	4th	4 5 12 14 36
2013-12-07	7	2nd	9 14 35 37 39
2013-11-20	5	2nd	12 14 30 32 38
2013-11-09	2	1st	14 16 21 26 38
2013-11-04	8	3rd	2 8 14 31 34
2013-10-16	6	4th	3 6 9 14 18
2013-10-02	4	2nd	11 14 23 34 37
2013-09-23	16	1st	14 27 28 38 39
2013-08-17	8	2nd	11 14 15 24 34
2013-07-29	4	2nd	4 14 23 29 38
2013-07-20	2	4th	3 6 13 14 39
2013-07-15	2	1st	14 15 17 29 30
2013-07-10	4	2nd	13 14 17 30 34
2013-07-01	6	4th	4 8 9 14 21
2013-06-17	2	4th	2 3 5 14 15
2013-06-12	24	3rd	10 13 14 19 32
2013-04-17	2	3rd	7 13 14 28 38
2013-04-13	1	3rd	1 8 14 35 36
2013-04-10	15	2nd	1 14 16 23 24
2013-03-06	2	2nd	9 14 18 27 39
2013-03-02	7	1st	14 21 23 24 37
2013-02-13	1	1st	14 20 28 29 30
2013-02-11	3	3rd	2 5 14 17 32
2013-02-04	6	3rd	1 12 14 17 19
2013-01-21	1	4th	1 4 13 14 22
2013-01-19	5	3rd	4 13 14 17 34
2013-01-07	1	2nd	12 14 16 19 30
2013-01-05	3	2nd	8 14 23 31 34
2012-12-29	19	3rd	8 11 14 34 35
2012-11-14	5	1st	14 18 24 32 37
2012-11-03	3	2nd	9 14 16 17 32
2012-10-27	2	2nd	7 14 16 21 22
2012-10-22	30	3rd	12 13 14 22 23
2012-08-13	18	1st	14 15 21 24 27
2012-07-02	6	2nd	2 14 23 24 29
2012-06-18	1	4th	4 7 9 14 21
2012-06-16	6	2nd	11 14 20 29 35
2012-06-02	6	2nd	11 14 23 24 25
2012-05-19	1	3rd	1 12 14 18 23
2012-05-16	2	1st	14 16 26 33 38
2012-05-12	1	2nd	3 14 21 33 38
2012-05-09	7	1st	14 25 26 30 38
2012-04-23	2	3rd	11 13 14 16 30
2012-04-18	8	4th	6 7 8 14 30
2012-03-31	18	1st	14 15 27 32 35
2012-02-18	24	2nd	11 14 16 27 33
2011-12-24	9	2nd	7 14 24 26 31
2011-12-03	8	2nd	2 14 17 22 38
2011-11-14	9	3rd	7 8 14 30 32
2011-10-24	11	2nd	9 14 21 31 36
2011-09-28	9	1st	14 18 21 23 28
2011-09-07	13	2nd	9 14 16 18 27
2011-08-08	2	2nd	12 14 31 35 37
2011-08-03	14	3rd	4 11 14 16 23
2011-07-02	6	2nd	1 14 27 30 31
2011-06-18	6	3rd	7 10 14 15 28
2011-06-04	10	1st	14 18 19 28 36
2011-05-11	9	4th	1 6 12 14 38
2011-04-20	3	2nd	12 14 22 31 39
2011-04-13	15	3rd	1 10 14 32 35
2011-03-09	5	2nd	1 14 15 17 28
2011-02-26	22	3rd	1 6 14 24 27
2011-01-05	3	1st	14 16 25 31 33
2010-12-29	1	2nd	4 14 21 31 36
2010-12-27	4	2nd	1 14 34 35 37
2010-12-18	8	3rd	11 12 14 30 32
2010-11-29	6	4th	2 6 7 14 37
2010-11-15	2	2nd	7 14 25 30 39
2010-11-10	2	4th	3 8 12 14 31
2010-11-06	8	3rd	6 7 14 25 30
2010-10-18	3	3rd	2 10 14 16 35
2010-10-11	2	3rd	8 12 14 29 39
2010-10-06	2	1st	14 21 31 37 38
2010-10-02	14	3rd	5 10 14 28 33
2010-08-30	5	2nd	11 14 17 18 27
2010-08-18	2	3rd	11 13 14 18 28
2010-08-14	15	3rd	8 9 14 28 32
2010-07-10	2	2nd	13 14 20 24 35
2010-07-05	3	2nd	6 14 16 18 35
2010-06-28	4	2nd	1 14 27 30 33
2010-06-19	1	2nd	2 14 24 32 36
2010-06-16	2	2nd	6 14 18 23 34
2010-06-12	17	3rd	3 8 14 32 34
2010-05-03	25	4th	2 3 5 14 18
2010-03-06	11	4th	3 6 12 14 21
2010-02-08	6	1st	14 28 30 33 36
2010-01-25	2	2nd	5 14 33 34 39
2010-01-20	7	4th	3 8 13 14 31
2010-01-04	1	2nd	5 14 16 24 30
2010-01-02	—	2nd	8 14 17 21 26