Number 11

In PowerBall under the 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 rules — 896 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

109times drawn · chance expected 100 +1.00σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

34longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 109 times in 896 draws against 99.6 expected, +1.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 109 times in 896 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest34 · chance 37.2
2nd smallest44 · chance 48.0
3rd smallest25 · chance 20.3
4th smallest6 · chance 3.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 12 20 4 10 45

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-05-25	2	2nd	6 11 23 36 37
2018-05-18	4	3rd	6 10 11 28 40
2018-05-04	8	3rd	4 9 11 12 25
2018-04-06	8	2nd	3 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-09-27	1	2nd	3 11 34 37 45
2016-09-23	15	2nd	3 11 30 32 37
2016-08-02	16	2nd	8 11 14 30 42
2016-06-07	11	3rd	3 4 11 23 37
2016-04-29	3	2nd	3 11 22 35 41
2016-04-19	5	2nd	10 11 12 32 33
2016-04-01	3	1st	11 15 31 37 43
2016-03-22	10	1st	11 13 23 42 43
2016-02-16	17	3rd	5 9 11 14 42
2015-12-15	1	2nd	4 11 18 20 42
2015-12-11	8	4th	1 3 5 11 38
2015-11-13	9	2nd	2 11 16 31 45
2015-10-13	4	2nd	7 11 14 23 34
2015-09-29	10	2nd	10 11 12 24 35
2015-08-25	4	2nd	2 11 19 20 31
2015-08-11	9	1st	11 14 20 24 44
2015-07-10	1	2nd	10 11 14 19 34
2015-07-07	3	1st	11 16 20 22 38
2015-06-26	1	1st	11 12 24 27 32
2015-06-23	6	2nd	4 11 19 24 42
2015-06-02	10	3rd	6 8 11 19 22
2015-04-28	10	1st	11 27 37 39 44
2015-03-20	8	1st	11 17 27 34 42
2015-02-20	2	2nd	2 11 12 19 40
2015-02-13	3	2nd	6 11 20 27 37
2015-02-03	3	1st	11 12 25 41 42
2015-01-23	11	3rd	1 8 11 29 34
2014-12-16	20	3rd	9 10 11 15 34
2014-10-07	10	2nd	6 11 20 36 45
2014-09-02	19	1st	11 21 36 39 44
2014-06-27	5	1st	11 12 14 30 32
2014-06-10	4	1st	11 15 24 28 35
2014-05-27	7	2nd	4 11 24 26 31
2014-05-02	4	1st	11 14 24 36 41
2014-04-15	13	4th	2 6 10 11 37
2014-02-28	16	1st	11 14 32 42 45
2014-01-03	5	2nd	10 11 19 23 28
2013-12-17	1	3rd	2 7 11 26 33
2013-12-13	4	2nd	1 11 18 30 41
2013-11-29	2	1st	11 12 17 18 27
2013-11-22	4	1st	11 15 16 20 31
2013-11-08	10	1st	11 20 22 30 43
2013-10-04	5	3rd	3 7 11 24 28
2013-09-17	34	1st	11 18 22 27 29
2013-05-21	14	2nd	10 11 17 37 44
2013-04-02	3	4th	4 6 8 11 13
2013-03-19	16	3rd	5 7 11 25 35
2013-01-22	4	3rd	3 10 11 28 31
2013-01-08	7	2nd	8 11 12 23 24
2012-12-11	2	1st	11 16 25 28 33
2012-12-04	9	2nd	5 11 20 34 45
2012-11-02	5	2nd	4 11 25 26 41
2012-10-16	3	3rd	7 9 11 29 41
2012-10-05	1	3rd	1 9 11 39 40
2012-10-02	10	1st	11 18 23 31 45
2012-08-28	13	4th	1 7 8 11 40
2012-07-13	28	2nd	4 11 16 27 38
2012-04-03	2	2nd	4 11 12 17 42
2012-03-27	14	2nd	8 11 23 44 45
2012-02-07	4	2nd	2 11 14 38 45
2012-01-24	7	3rd	4 7 11 26 36
2011-12-30	15	1st	11 15 20 33 37
2011-11-08	4	3rd	8 10 11 15 45
2011-10-25	7	1st	11 12 20 35 38
2011-09-30	5	1st	11 21 24 28 35
2011-09-13	26	2nd	5 11 17 28 44
2011-06-14	9	1st	11 16 34 39 40
2011-05-13	3	3rd	4 10 11 32 38
2011-05-03	24	3rd	8 10 11 33 34
2011-02-04	2	1st	11 12 16 31 37
2011-01-28	17	3rd	5 9 11 22 37
2010-11-30	5	3rd	3 6 11 12 25
2010-11-12	7	3rd	4 8 11 16 40
2010-10-19	18	2nd	9 11 17 35 38
2010-08-17	10	1st	11 17 30 35 45
2010-07-13	7	2nd	5 11 13 20 30
2010-06-18	14	4th	6 8 9 11 22
2010-04-30	11	2nd	1 11 30 35 44
2010-03-19	3	2nd	7 11 33 44 45
2010-03-09	1	3rd	3 6 11 28 45
2010-03-05	12	2nd	10 11 12 22 38
2010-01-22	3	2nd	7 11 18 19 34
2010-01-12	6	2nd	10 11 18 30 35
2009-12-18	14	3rd	5 8 11 28 34
2009-10-30	—	1st	11 14 16 30 31