Number 14

In PowerBall under the 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 rules — 896 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

100times drawn · chance expected 100 +0.05σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

56longest completed wait · 14% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 100 times in 896 draws against 99.6 expected, +0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 100 times in 896 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 56 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest25 · chance 23.2
2nd smallest42 · chance 43.0
3rd smallest25 · chance 26.7
4th smallest6 · chance 6.5
5th smallest2 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 42 2 9 34 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-06-22	2	4th	2 6 13 14 19
2018-06-15	19	3rd	8 9 14 28 41
2018-04-10	11	2nd	2 14 17 31 34
2018-03-02	10	2nd	1 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-08-30	1	3rd	4 9 14 18 34
2016-08-26	7	3rd	2 12 14 32 42
2016-08-02	5	3rd	8 11 14 30 42
2016-07-15	12	2nd	2 14 31 34 37
2016-06-03	22	2nd	7 14 20 37 43
2016-03-18	8	1st	14 17 26 32 33
2016-02-19	1	2nd	12 14 15 23 41
2016-02-16	2	4th	5 9 11 14 42
2016-02-09	3	1st	14 21 41 42 43
2016-01-29	9	2nd	5 14 20 24 28
2015-12-29	19	3rd	5 7 14 25 30
2015-10-20	2	2nd	13 14 17 35 44
2015-10-13	1	3rd	7 11 14 23 34
2015-10-09	2	1st	14 17 32 41 43
2015-10-02	2	3rd	6 9 14 32 43
2015-09-25	5	1st	14 20 21 26 32
2015-09-08	5	4th	1 12 13 14 23
2015-08-21	3	2nd	8 14 23 26 45
2015-08-11	9	2nd	11 14 20 24 44
2015-07-10	38	3rd	10 11 14 19 34
2015-02-24	11	2nd	13 14 18 25 39
2015-01-16	3	3rd	5 7 14 29 42
2015-01-06	1	3rd	2 9 14 18 20
2015-01-02	8	2nd	1 14 21 41 43
2014-12-05	6	1st	14 20 26 28 39
2014-11-14	2	2nd	3 14 27 29 45
2014-11-07	8	2nd	8 14 33 41 44
2014-10-10	19	3rd	4 9 14 17 26
2014-08-05	1	1st	14 32 35 37 40
2014-08-01	4	2nd	7 14 15 35 39
2014-07-18	6	1st	14 17 19 22 35
2014-06-27	16	3rd	11 12 14 30 32
2014-05-02	8	2nd	11 14 24 36 41
2014-04-01	3	1st	14 17 24 27 34
2014-03-21	6	3rd	7 8 14 18 38
2014-02-28	17	2nd	11 14 32 42 45
2013-12-31	56	2nd	6 14 20 31 34
2013-06-18	3	4th	1 5 13 14 16
2013-06-07	21	1st	14 15 19 35 38
2013-03-22	7	5th	1 5 7 9 14
2013-02-26	13	3rd	1 7 14 21 32
2013-01-11	4	3rd	1 4 14 20 33
2012-12-28	1	3rd	1 12 14 32 36
2012-12-21	10	2nd	13 14 19 23 37
2012-11-16	2	4th	1 4 6 14 15
2012-11-09	6	2nd	7 14 17 27 40
2012-10-19	12	1st	14 17 23 35 39
2012-09-07	4	2nd	9 14 17 34 41
2012-08-24	1	3rd	3 9 14 24 26
2012-08-21	6	1st	14 16 19 38 43
2012-07-31	15	2nd	7 14 23 27 32
2012-06-08	6	1st	14 15 32 36 40
2012-05-18	9	2nd	2 14 20 32 36
2012-04-17	7	1st	14 15 29 30 34
2012-03-20	1	2nd	9 14 21 28 44
2012-03-16	11	1st	14 18 37 41 44
2012-02-07	1	3rd	2 11 14 38 45
2012-02-03	14	3rd	7 9 14 15 43
2011-12-16	1	1st	14 26 28 33 45
2011-12-13	33	1st	14 16 22 32 35
2011-08-19	9	2nd	5 14 19 21 28
2011-07-19	25	2nd	2 14 15 18 29
2011-04-19	3	2nd	8 14 15 16 38
2011-04-08	16	2nd	1 14 37 39 40
2011-02-11	1	1st	14 25 27 31 34
2011-02-08	8	1st	14 20 22 34 35
2011-01-11	25	1st	14 15 22 27 37
2010-10-15	36	2nd	4 14 26 34 44
2010-06-11	6	2nd	12 14 18 23 42
2010-05-21	3	2nd	2 14 25 30 40
2010-05-11	4	2nd	4 14 17 42 44
2010-04-27	12	2nd	13 14 23 24 27
2010-03-12	4	2nd	8 14 18 22 28
2010-02-26	18	3rd	4 9 14 23 37
2009-12-22	15	2nd	2 14 27 39 42
2009-10-30	—	2nd	11 14 16 30 31