PowerBall · every number
15
Number 15 In PowerBall under the 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 rules — 896 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
Main numbers Stars 5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 110 times drawn · chance expected 100 +1.11σ
9 draws waiting · a wait this long: 39% for any number
8.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0
50 longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 110 times in 896 draws against 99.6 expected, +1.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 110 times in 896 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 9 draws now
1 draws: 2009-10-23 to 2009-10-27 20 draws: 2009-10-27 to 2010-01-08 5 draws: 2010-01-08 to 2010-01-26 10 draws: 2010-01-26 to 2010-03-02 6 draws: 2010-03-02 to 2010-03-23 5 draws: 2010-03-23 to 2010-04-13 9 draws: 2010-04-13 to 2010-05-14 3 draws: 2010-05-14 to 2010-05-25 13 draws: 2010-05-25 to 2010-07-09 7 draws: 2010-07-09 to 2010-08-03 5 draws: 2010-08-03 to 2010-08-20 13 draws: 2010-08-20 to 2010-10-05 5 draws: 2010-10-05 to 2010-10-22 23 draws: 2010-10-22 to 2011-01-11 20 draws: 2011-01-11 to 2011-03-22 2 draws: 2011-03-22 to 2011-03-29 5 draws: 2011-03-29 to 2011-04-15 1 draws: 2011-04-15 to 2011-04-19 2 draws: 2011-04-19 to 2011-04-29 14 draws: 2011-04-29 to 2011-06-17 9 draws: 2011-06-17 to 2011-07-19 13 draws: 2011-07-19 to 2011-09-02 12 draws: 2011-09-02 to 2011-10-14 1 draws: 2011-10-14 to 2011-10-18 3 draws: 2011-10-18 to 2011-10-28 3 draws: 2011-10-28 to 2011-11-08 8 draws: 2011-11-08 to 2011-12-06 7 draws: 2011-12-06 to 2011-12-30 4 draws: 2011-12-30 to 2012-01-13 2 draws: 2012-01-13 to 2012-01-20 3 draws: 2012-01-20 to 2012-01-31 1 draws: 2012-01-31 to 2012-02-03 14 draws: 2012-02-03 to 2012-03-23 6 draws: 2012-03-23 to 2012-04-17 13 draws: 2012-04-17 to 2012-06-01 2 draws: 2012-06-01 to 2012-06-08 9 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-07-10 4 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-07-24 1 draws: 2012-07-24 to 2012-07-27 6 draws: 2012-07-27 to 2012-08-17 5 draws: 2012-08-17 to 2012-09-04 3 draws: 2012-09-04 to 2012-09-14 18 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2012-11-16 19 draws: 2012-11-16 to 2013-01-25 24 draws: 2013-01-25 to 2013-04-23 9 draws: 2013-04-23 to 2013-05-24 4 draws: 2013-05-24 to 2013-06-07 2 draws: 2013-06-07 to 2013-06-14 8 draws: 2013-06-14 to 2013-07-12 9 draws: 2013-07-12 to 2013-08-13 1 draws: 2013-08-13 to 2013-08-16 6 draws: 2013-08-16 to 2013-09-06 4 draws: 2013-09-06 to 2013-09-20 9 draws: 2013-09-20 to 2013-10-22 3 draws: 2013-10-22 to 2013-11-01 3 draws: 2013-11-01 to 2013-11-12 3 draws: 2013-11-12 to 2013-11-22 4 draws: 2013-11-22 to 2013-12-06 13 draws: 2013-12-06 to 2014-01-21 1 draws: 2014-01-21 to 2014-01-24 14 draws: 2014-01-24 to 2014-03-14 11 draws: 2014-03-14 to 2014-04-25 3 draws: 2014-04-25 to 2014-05-06 10 draws: 2014-05-06 to 2014-06-10 15 draws: 2014-06-10 to 2014-08-01 8 draws: 2014-08-01 to 2014-08-29 23 draws: 2014-08-29 to 2014-11-18 8 draws: 2014-11-18 to 2014-12-16 4 draws: 2014-12-16 to 2014-12-30 3 draws: 2014-12-30 to 2015-01-09 1 draws: 2015-01-09 to 2015-01-13 18 draws: 2015-01-13 to 2015-03-17 25 draws: 2015-03-17 to 2015-06-16 4 draws: 2015-06-16 to 2015-06-30 4 draws: 2015-06-30 to 2015-07-14 50 draws: 2015-07-14 to 2016-01-08 4 draws: 2016-01-08 to 2016-01-22 4 draws: 2016-01-22 to 2016-02-05 4 draws: 2016-02-05 to 2016-02-19 1 draws: 2016-02-19 to 2016-02-23 2 draws: 2016-02-23 to 2016-03-01 2 draws: 2016-03-01 to 2016-03-08 7 draws: 2016-03-08 to 2016-04-01 9 draws: 2016-04-01 to 2016-05-03 4 draws: 2016-05-03 to 2016-05-17 3 draws: 2016-05-17 to 2016-05-27 22 draws: 2016-05-27 to 2016-08-12 14 draws: 2016-08-12 to 2016-09-30 3 draws: 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-11 3 draws: 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-21 16 draws: 2016-10-21 to 2016-12-16 21 draws: 2016-12-16 to 2017-02-28 5 draws: 2017-02-28 to 2017-03-17 2 draws: 2017-03-17 to 2017-03-24 14 draws: 2017-03-24 to 2017-05-12 3 draws: 2017-05-12 to 2017-05-23 12 draws: 2017-05-23 to 2017-07-04 2 draws: 2017-07-04 to 2017-07-11 7 draws: 2017-07-11 to 2017-08-04 5 draws: 2017-08-04 to 2017-08-22 1 draws: 2017-08-22 to 2017-08-25 3 draws: 2017-08-25 to 2017-09-05 4 draws: 2017-09-05 to 2017-09-19 6 draws: 2017-09-19 to 2017-10-10 5 draws: 2017-10-10 to 2017-10-27 13 draws: 2017-10-27 to 2017-12-12 9 draws: 2017-12-12 to 2018-01-12 12 draws: 2018-01-12 to 2018-02-23 25 draws: 2018-02-23 to 2018-05-22 Still waiting — at least 9 draws since 2018-05-22 2009-10-23 2009-10-27 2010-01-08 2010-01-26 2010-03-02 2010-03-23 2010-04-13 2010-05-14 2010-05-25 2010-07-09 2010-08-03 2010-08-20 2010-10-05 2010-10-22 2011-01-11 2011-03-22 2011-03-29 2011-04-15 2011-04-19 2011-04-29 2011-06-17 2011-07-19 2011-09-02 2011-10-14 2011-10-18 2011-10-28 2011-11-08 2011-12-06 2011-12-30 2012-01-13 2012-01-20 2012-01-31 2012-02-03 2012-03-23 2012-04-17 2012-06-01 2012-06-08 2012-07-10 2012-07-24 2012-07-27 2012-08-17 2012-09-04 2012-09-14 2012-11-16 2013-01-25 2013-04-23 2013-05-24 2013-06-07 2013-06-14 2013-07-12 2013-08-13 2013-08-16 2013-09-06 2013-09-20 2013-10-22 2013-11-01 2013-11-12 2013-11-22 2013-12-06 2014-01-21 2014-01-24 2014-03-14 2014-04-25 2014-05-06 2014-06-10 2014-08-01 2014-08-29 2014-11-18 2014-12-16 2014-12-30 2015-01-09 2015-01-13 2015-03-17 2015-06-16 2015-06-30 2015-07-14 2016-01-08 2016-01-22 2016-02-05 2016-02-19 2016-02-23 2016-03-01 2016-03-08 2016-04-01 2016-05-03 2016-05-17 2016-05-27 2016-08-12 2016-09-30 2016-10-11 2016-10-21 2016-12-16 2017-02-28 2017-03-17 2017-03-24 2017-05-12 2017-05-23 2017-07-04 2017-07-11 2017-08-04 2017-08-22 2017-08-25 2017-09-05 2017-09-19 2017-10-10 2017-10-27 2017-12-12 2018-01-12 2018-02-23 2018-05-22 2009-10-23 2018-06-22
1 draws: 10 times 2 draws: 9 times 3 draws: 15 times 4 draws: 13 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 4 times 9 draws: 8 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 6 times 14 draws: 5 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 2 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 1 time 51 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 19 · chance 22.2 2nd smallest 56 · chance 46.1 3rd smallest 24 · chance 32.1 4th smallest 8 · chance 8.8 5th smallest 3 · chance 0.8 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 14 Every number number 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.