Number 23

In PowerBall under the 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 rules — 896 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

104times drawn · chance expected 100 +0.47σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

8.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

35longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 104 times in 896 draws against 99.6 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 104 times in 896 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 5.6
2nd smallest28 · chance 26.0
3rd smallest43 · chance 40.9
4th smallest24 · chance 26.0
5th smallest4 · chance 5.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

42 43 41 8 15 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-06-19	7	3rd	12 20 23 24 37
2018-05-25	12	3rd	6 11 23 36 37
2018-04-13	6	4th	6 9 21 23 30
2018-03-23	35	2nd	3 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-05-24	3	3rd	8 12 23 24 31
2016-05-13	3	3rd	3 5 23 29 37
2016-05-03	12	3rd	1 15 23 32 41
2016-03-22	8	3rd	11 13 23 42 43
2016-02-23	1	4th	3 15 16 23 24
2016-02-19	8	4th	12 14 15 23 41
2016-01-22	14	4th	1 5 15 23 43
2015-12-01	14	4th	4 10 18 23 34
2015-10-13	9	4th	7 11 14 23 34
2015-09-11	1	4th	2 6 22 23 41
2015-09-08	2	5th	1 12 13 14 23
2015-09-01	3	1st	23 30 31 44 45
2015-08-21	7	3rd	8 14 23 26 45
2015-07-28	3	3rd	6 21 23 36 43
2015-07-17	27	2nd	8 23 24 42 44
2015-04-14	4	3rd	20 22 23 29 33
2015-03-27	6	2nd	8 23 33 35 40
2015-03-06	8	3rd	10 21 23 25 45
2015-02-06	2	2nd	17 23 36 38 42
2015-01-30	3	2nd	4 23 25 43 45
2015-01-20	24	3rd	3 4 23 31 35
2014-10-28	17	4th	9 10 17 23 33
2014-08-29	6	2nd	15 23 30 41 43
2014-08-08	3	2nd	10 23 35 37 39
2014-07-29	16	3rd	1 9 23 29 42
2014-06-03	14	1st	23 28 30 41 43
2014-04-11	24	2nd	17 23 33 41 42
2014-01-17	4	3rd	10 16 23 26 33
2014-01-03	3	4th	10 11 19 23 28
2013-12-24	26	3rd	1 16 23 41 44
2013-09-24	8	2nd	6 23 25 26 43
2013-08-27	5	2nd	4 23 24 35 43
2013-08-09	16	3rd	10 22 23 31 45
2013-06-14	20	2nd	15 23 31 32 35
2013-04-05	5	5th	4 9 17 22 23
2013-03-15	12	2nd	22 23 29 35 38
2013-02-01	2	1st	23 27 32 43 44
2013-01-25	5	4th	7 15 20 23 25
2013-01-08	4	4th	8 11 12 23 24
2012-12-21	17	4th	13 14 19 23 37
2012-10-23	1	2nd	8 23 24 31 42
2012-10-19	5	3rd	14 17 23 35 39
2012-10-02	18	3rd	11 18 23 31 45
2012-07-31	4	3rd	7 14 23 27 32
2012-07-17	2	4th	1 4 20 23 34
2012-07-10	17	4th	8 9 15 23 36
2012-05-11	4	5th	6 7 17 20 23
2012-04-27	4	4th	4 6 12 23 38
2012-04-13	4	3rd	2 9 23 43 44
2012-03-27	1	3rd	8 11 23 44 45
2012-03-23	12	3rd	6 15 23 39 45
2012-02-10	8	3rd	6 19 23 29 35
2012-01-13	14	3rd	15 20 23 25 40
2011-11-25	7	1st	23 26 29 41 44
2011-11-01	3	2nd	13 23 34 39 43
2011-10-21	9	3rd	2 16 23 39 42
2011-09-20	3	3rd	8 10 23 31 38
2011-09-09	12	3rd	10 18 23 36 40
2011-07-29	12	3rd	7 12 23 40 42
2011-06-17	20	2nd	15 23 33 44 45
2011-04-05	1	2nd	16 23 25 33 34
2011-04-01	13	3rd	1 12 23 36 42
2011-02-15	13	3rd	1 17 23 41 42
2010-12-31	31	3rd	3 21 23 32 35
2010-09-14	6	2nd	3 23 29 33 40
2010-08-24	9	2nd	6 23 27 33 44
2010-07-23	7	2nd	18 23 24 33 37
2010-06-29	1	4th	5 8 9 23 35
2010-06-25	1	2nd	13 23 31 40 42
2010-06-22	3	2nd	16 23 36 40 45
2010-06-11	1	4th	12 14 18 23 42
2010-06-08	2	3rd	7 8 23 30 39
2010-06-01	10	4th	2 5 12 23 45
2010-04-27	16	3rd	13 14 23 24 27
2010-02-26	3	4th	4 9 14 23 37
2010-02-16	18	2nd	22 23 30 33 44
2009-12-11	2	4th	10 20 22 23 35
2009-12-04	5	2nd	17 23 27 38 43
2009-11-17	3	3rd	1 9 23 41 43
2009-11-06	—	3rd	10 17 23 31 42