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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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PowerBall · every number

9

Number 9

In PowerBall under the 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 rules — 896 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 20185/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018
103times drawn · chance expected 100 +0.37σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 89% for any number
8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0
37longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 103 times in 896 draws against 99.6 expected, +0.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 103 times in 896 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 2 draws now

28 draws: 2009-11-17 to 2010-02-267 draws: 2010-02-26 to 2010-03-232 draws: 2010-03-23 to 2010-03-309 draws: 2010-03-30 to 2010-05-047 draws: 2010-05-04 to 2010-05-286 draws: 2010-05-28 to 2010-06-183 draws: 2010-06-18 to 2010-06-291 draws: 2010-06-29 to 2010-07-028 draws: 2010-07-02 to 2010-07-303 draws: 2010-07-30 to 2010-08-101 draws: 2010-08-10 to 2010-08-1319 draws: 2010-08-13 to 2010-10-1910 draws: 2010-10-19 to 2010-11-2310 draws: 2010-11-23 to 2010-12-283 draws: 2010-12-28 to 2011-01-075 draws: 2011-01-07 to 2011-01-251 draws: 2011-01-25 to 2011-01-2827 draws: 2011-01-28 to 2011-05-0616 draws: 2011-05-06 to 2011-07-014 draws: 2011-07-01 to 2011-07-155 draws: 2011-07-15 to 2011-08-021 draws: 2011-08-02 to 2011-08-0526 draws: 2011-08-05 to 2011-11-044 draws: 2011-11-04 to 2011-11-1822 draws: 2011-11-18 to 2012-02-0313 draws: 2012-02-03 to 2012-03-206 draws: 2012-03-20 to 2012-04-137 draws: 2012-04-13 to 2012-05-085 draws: 2012-05-08 to 2012-05-252 draws: 2012-05-25 to 2012-06-011 draws: 2012-06-01 to 2012-06-0510 draws: 2012-06-05 to 2012-07-109 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-08-104 draws: 2012-08-10 to 2012-08-242 draws: 2012-08-24 to 2012-08-312 draws: 2012-08-31 to 2012-09-078 draws: 2012-09-07 to 2012-10-053 draws: 2012-10-05 to 2012-10-166 draws: 2012-10-16 to 2012-11-066 draws: 2012-11-06 to 2012-11-2717 draws: 2012-11-27 to 2013-01-2910 draws: 2013-01-29 to 2013-03-055 draws: 2013-03-05 to 2013-03-223 draws: 2013-03-22 to 2013-04-051 draws: 2013-04-05 to 2013-04-0923 draws: 2013-04-09 to 2013-06-2818 draws: 2013-06-28 to 2013-08-3015 draws: 2013-08-30 to 2013-10-2226 draws: 2013-10-22 to 2014-01-217 draws: 2014-01-21 to 2014-02-147 draws: 2014-02-14 to 2014-03-1137 draws: 2014-03-11 to 2014-07-221 draws: 2014-07-22 to 2014-07-251 draws: 2014-07-25 to 2014-07-2915 draws: 2014-07-29 to 2014-09-196 draws: 2014-09-19 to 2014-10-105 draws: 2014-10-10 to 2014-10-2814 draws: 2014-10-28 to 2014-12-161 draws: 2014-12-16 to 2014-12-195 draws: 2014-12-19 to 2015-01-062 draws: 2015-01-06 to 2015-01-1310 draws: 2015-01-13 to 2015-02-173 draws: 2015-02-17 to 2015-02-2714 draws: 2015-02-27 to 2015-04-219 draws: 2015-04-21 to 2015-05-224 draws: 2015-05-22 to 2015-06-058 draws: 2015-06-05 to 2015-07-038 draws: 2015-07-03 to 2015-07-312 draws: 2015-07-31 to 2015-08-0716 draws: 2015-08-07 to 2015-10-0229 draws: 2015-10-02 to 2016-01-151 draws: 2016-01-15 to 2016-01-197 draws: 2016-01-19 to 2016-02-121 draws: 2016-02-12 to 2016-02-1635 draws: 2016-02-16 to 2016-06-172 draws: 2016-06-17 to 2016-06-243 draws: 2016-06-24 to 2016-07-0514 draws: 2016-07-05 to 2016-08-232 draws: 2016-08-23 to 2016-08-3017 draws: 2016-08-30 to 2016-10-289 draws: 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-296 draws: 2016-11-29 to 2016-12-2012 draws: 2016-12-20 to 2017-01-315 draws: 2017-01-31 to 2017-02-171 draws: 2017-02-17 to 2017-02-211 draws: 2017-02-21 to 2017-02-241 draws: 2017-02-24 to 2017-02-286 draws: 2017-02-28 to 2017-03-213 draws: 2017-03-21 to 2017-03-3110 draws: 2017-03-31 to 2017-05-053 draws: 2017-05-05 to 2017-05-161 draws: 2017-05-16 to 2017-05-1914 draws: 2017-05-19 to 2017-07-0723 draws: 2017-07-07 to 2017-09-2612 draws: 2017-09-26 to 2017-11-0711 draws: 2017-11-07 to 2017-12-152 draws: 2017-12-15 to 2017-12-2222 draws: 2017-12-22 to 2018-03-095 draws: 2018-03-09 to 2018-03-275 draws: 2018-03-27 to 2018-04-136 draws: 2018-04-13 to 2018-05-0412 draws: 2018-05-04 to 2018-06-15Still waiting — at least 2 draws since 2018-06-152009-11-172010-02-262010-03-232010-03-302010-05-042010-05-282010-06-182010-06-292010-07-022010-07-302010-08-102010-08-132010-10-192010-11-232010-12-282011-01-072011-01-252011-01-282011-05-062011-07-012011-07-152011-08-022011-08-052011-11-042011-11-182012-02-032012-03-202012-04-132012-05-082012-05-252012-06-012012-06-052012-07-102012-08-102012-08-242012-08-312012-09-072012-10-052012-10-162012-11-062012-11-272013-01-292013-03-052013-03-222013-04-052013-04-092013-06-282013-08-302013-10-222014-01-212014-02-142014-03-112014-07-222014-07-252014-07-292014-09-192014-10-102014-10-282014-12-162014-12-192015-01-062015-01-132015-02-172015-02-272015-04-212015-05-222015-06-052015-07-032015-07-312015-08-072015-10-022016-01-152016-01-192016-02-122016-02-162016-06-172016-06-242016-07-052016-08-232016-08-302016-10-282016-11-292016-12-202017-01-312017-02-172017-02-212017-02-242017-02-282017-03-212017-03-312017-05-052017-05-162017-05-192017-07-072017-09-262017-11-072017-12-152017-12-222018-03-092018-03-272018-04-132018-05-042018-06-152009-10-232018-06-22

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 15 times2 draws: 9 times3 draws: 9 times4 draws: 4 times5 draws: 9 times6 draws: 8 times7 draws: 6 times8 draws: 4 times9 draws: 4 times10 draws: 6 times11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 3 times13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 4 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 2 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 2 times23 draws: 2 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 2 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 1 time36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 1 time38 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest39 · chance 44.7
  • 2nd smallest52 · chance 43.3
  • 3rd smallest9 · chance 13.4
  • 4th smallest3 · chance 1.5
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1710414311

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2018-06-15122nd89142841
2018-05-0462nd49111225
2018-04-1352nd69212330
2018-03-2752nd49
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

12
18
31
2018-03-09221st911202634
2017-12-2222nd59161931
2017-12-15112nd29101744
2017-11-07121st910223444
2017-09-26231st917334245
2017-07-07141st916183243
2017-05-1913rd1291737
2017-05-1631st920303638
2017-05-05102nd89212426
2017-03-3131st911202236
2017-03-2162nd79103334
2017-02-2811st915204245
2017-02-2412nd69203038
2017-02-2111st911142937
2017-02-1751st920233942
2017-01-31122nd29314045
2016-12-2062nd19172023
2016-11-2992nd49223141
2016-10-28171st910182536
2016-08-3022nd49141834
The other 79 appearances
2016-08-23141st913192643
2016-07-0531st917192942
2016-06-2423rd1792143
2016-06-17352nd79233945
2016-02-1612nd59111442
2016-02-1271st932404244
2016-01-1913rd1493539
2016-01-15292nd49193132
2015-10-02162nd69143243
2015-08-0721st910192845
2015-07-3182nd49283538
2015-07-0382nd29192426
2015-06-0542nd59212535
2015-05-2291st931324041
2015-04-21142nd79222835
2015-02-2732nd49273141
2015-02-17103rd1591840
2015-01-1322nd39151835
2015-01-0652nd29141820
2014-12-1912nd79102945
2014-12-16141st910111534
2014-10-2851st910172333
2014-10-1062nd49141726
2014-09-19151st913252834
2014-07-2912nd19232942
2014-07-2511st913284045
2014-07-22371st921273943
2014-03-1171st919212537
2014-02-1472nd69182124
2014-01-21263rd1691539
2013-10-22151st915192430
2013-08-30181st913173841
2013-06-28232nd39273241
2013-04-0912nd89203839
2013-04-0532nd49172223
2013-03-2254th157914
2013-03-05101st912222638
2013-01-29171st921293738
2012-11-2761st917303444
2012-11-0661st917183741
2012-10-1632nd79112941
2012-10-0582nd19113940
2012-09-0721st914173441
2012-08-3123rd5792029
2012-08-2442nd39142426
2012-08-1092nd29262745
2012-07-10102nd89152336
2012-06-0511st910263233
2012-06-0121st912152832
2012-05-2552nd19192632
2012-05-0872nd49101620
2012-04-1362nd29234344
2012-03-20131st914212844
2012-02-03222nd79141543
2011-11-1841st924363745
2011-11-04261st925313442
2011-08-0512nd59102144
2011-08-0252nd39162731
2011-07-1541st916192428
2011-07-01162nd29313537
2011-05-06272nd49203845
2011-01-2812nd59112237
2011-01-2552nd39121838
2011-01-0731st912262934
2010-12-28104th567917
2010-11-23102nd29103343
2010-10-19191st911173538
2010-08-1312nd89103139
2010-08-1031st919313345
2010-07-3082nd29212537
2010-07-0214th267931
2010-06-2933rd5892335
2010-06-1863rd6891122
2010-05-2872nd29242642
2010-05-0491st917283643
2010-03-3021st927303542
2010-03-2373rd1691015
2010-02-26282nd49142337
2009-11-17—2nd19234143