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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 109 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws against 14.5 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 8 times, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 9 | 5th | 1915192135 |
| 2026-08-09 | 13 | 5th | 3614172126 |
| 2026-05-10 | 7 | 6th | 121314192021 |
| 2026-03-22 | 5 | 5th | 349162141 |
| 2026-02-15 | 12 | 3rd | 81921252639 |
| 2025-11-23 | 1 | 3rd | 11421233237 |
| 2025-11-16 | 6 | 4th | 121416212730 |
| 2025-10-05 | 6 | 3rd | 91121353644 |
| 2025-08-24 | 15 | 3rd | 11921243438 |
| 2025-05-11 | 26 | 4th | 71012212339 |
| 2024-11-10 | 3 | 3rd | 4921293438 |
| 2024-10-20 | 3 | 1st | 212232363744 |
| 2024-09-29 | — | 5th | 1410142136 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.