Number 10

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

255times drawn · chance expected 269 −0.91σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

46longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 255 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, −0.91σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 255 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 46 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest94 · chance 82.0
2nd smallest99 · chance 113.6
3rd smallest48 · chance 50.5
4th smallest14 · chance 8.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 26.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 9 26 30 15 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-10-03	4	2nd	8 10 16 24 39
2015-09-29	8	2nd	1 10 11 22 24
2015-09-21	39	1st	10 11 13 25 39
2015-08-13	25	1st	10 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-01-09	2	3rd	3 7 10 36 38
2015-01-07	6	1st	10 12 17 28 39
2015-01-01	7	3rd	2 7 10 32 39
2014-12-25	17	3rd	2 7 10 33 39
2014-12-08	2	2nd	9 10 16 21 28
2014-12-06	20	2nd	9 10 11 20 38
2014-11-16	1	1st	10 14 20 22 32
2014-11-15	17	1st	10 17 18 38 39
2014-10-29	2	1st	10 12 14 24 35
2014-10-27	1	2nd	1 10 20 25 29
2014-10-26	1	3rd	4 8 10 25 29
2014-10-25	9	2nd	4 10 11 32 33
2014-10-16	6	2nd	1 10 17 37 39
2014-10-10	1	3rd	4 7 10 12 29
2014-10-09	5	2nd	4 10 17 23 33
2014-10-04	8	2nd	5 10 22 26 27
2014-09-26	2	2nd	2 10 11 29 31
2014-09-24	5	2nd	8 10 19 26 29
2014-09-19	7	1st	10 12 16 22 32
2014-09-12	8	2nd	3 10 15 25 39
2014-09-04	42	3rd	1 2 10 16 22
2014-07-24	6	1st	10 16 18 19 21
2014-07-18	13	2nd	8 10 14 22 30
2014-07-05	15	2nd	2 10 15 17 28
2014-06-20	5	2nd	4 10 15 25 34
2014-06-15	10	3rd	1 6 10 11 21
2014-06-05	2	4th	2 6 9 10 33
2014-06-03	3	2nd	1 10 17 21 33
2014-05-31	7	1st	10 11 13 18 30
2014-05-24	5	3rd	5 7 10 19 33
2014-05-19	9	2nd	2 10 18 19 34
2014-05-10	3	2nd	7 10 13 14 20
2014-05-07	3	2nd	2 10 11 14 33
2014-05-04	6	3rd	2 6 10 18 21
2014-04-28	14	2nd	9 10 21 26 38
2014-04-14	3	2nd	4 10 15 19 33
2014-04-11	8	2nd	4 10 27 30 31
2014-04-03	2	3rd	3 5 10 14 30
2014-04-01	3	3rd	4 6 10 25 26
2014-03-29	6	1st	10 13 24 27 37
2014-03-23	13	2nd	1 10 11 15 23
2014-03-10	16	1st	10 15 27 29 33
2014-02-22	5	4th	3 5 8 10 23
2014-02-17	7	3rd	2 5 10 19 26
2014-02-10	3	3rd	7 9 10 32 33
2014-02-07	46	2nd	9 10 17 24 34
2013-12-23	6	2nd	9 10 15 36 37
2013-12-17	4	1st	10 15 22 27 38
2013-12-13	16	1st	10 17 21 25 30
2013-11-27	7	1st	10 15 20 30 34
2013-11-20	24	3rd	2 6 10 33 39
2013-10-27	15	2nd	9 10 15 30 35
2013-10-12	12	2nd	9 10 17 25 33
2013-09-30	4	1st	10 12 13 16 38
2013-09-26	6	1st	10 11 26 29 36
2013-09-20	18	2nd	6 10 26 38 39
2013-09-02	7	2nd	6 10 14 17 32
2013-08-26	1	1st	10 16 21 26 31
2013-08-25	4	2nd	5 10 28 30 32
2013-08-21	16	3rd	1 5 10 26 36
2013-08-05	3	1st	10 20 29 34 37
2013-08-02	1	1st	10 12 14 25 30
2013-08-01	3	4th	3 4 9 10 34
2013-07-29	9	4th	2 5 7 10 39
2013-07-20	5	2nd	7 10 26 31 33
2013-07-15	3	1st	10 14 21 22 30
2013-07-12	12	2nd	9 10 15 17 22
2013-06-30	8	2nd	2 10 27 35 38
2013-06-22	4	1st	10 13 16 21 26
2013-06-18	3	1st	10 20 22 32 39
2013-06-15	2	4th	1 7 9 10 23
2013-06-13	3	1st	10 12 14 15 37
2013-06-10	15	2nd	5 10 29 30 32
2013-05-26	16	2nd	5 10 11 26 32
2013-05-10	4	3rd	2 4 10 11 19
2013-05-06	7	1st	10 15 24 36 38
2013-04-29	6	3rd	2 6 10 20 33
2013-04-23	5	3rd	2 9 10 21 22
2013-04-18	4	1st	10 15 26 34 39
2013-04-14	2	3rd	6 7 10 25 34
2013-04-12	9	1st	10 26 32 33 39
2013-04-03	1	4th	2 4 8 10 39
2013-04-02	9	3rd	1 6 10 17 39
2013-03-24	5	1st	10 23 26 31 32
2013-03-19	7	1st	10 13 21 30 31
2013-03-12	1	1st	10 12 28 34 39
2013-03-11	1	2nd	7 10 19 20 31
2013-03-10	19	1st	10 16 28 29 33
2013-02-19	7	1st	10 27 30 31 36
2013-02-12	28	2nd	3 10 22 31 32
2013-01-15	1	2nd	3 10 15 17 37
2013-01-14	5	4th	1 5 7 10 32
2013-01-09	1	3rd	3 9 10 20 32
2013-01-08	2	2nd	2 10 12 26 37
2013-01-06	10	3rd	1 5 10 14 33
2012-12-27	3	2nd	7 10 25 26 34
2012-12-24	10	2nd	8 10 14 35 36
2012-12-14	4	2nd	4 10 33 35 37
2012-12-10	13	1st	10 15 16 26 34
2012-11-27	3	3rd	2 5 10 12 26
2012-11-24	11	1st	10 19 23 29 33
2012-11-13	4	1st	10 11 18 25 39
2012-11-09	2	1st	10 12 15 28 39
2012-11-07	1	1st	10 19 23 26 27
2012-11-06	36	1st	10 14 16 30 37
2012-10-01	8	3rd	4 6 10 14 24
2012-09-23	4	2nd	6 10 27 35 39
2012-09-19	17	1st	10 12 15 27 34
2012-09-02	6	2nd	9 10 17 20 32
2012-08-27	18	2nd	2 10 18 29 35
2012-08-09	4	2nd	6 10 19 32 39
2012-08-05	1	2nd	1 10 24 28 36
2012-08-04	22	3rd	6 7 10 36 37
2012-07-13	8	1st	10 13 16 21 30
2012-07-05	5	3rd	5 8 10 12 36
2012-06-30	5	2nd	3 10 12 21 22
2012-06-25	1	1st	10 19 22 28 30
2012-06-24	2	1st	10 18 19 21 23
2012-06-22	13	1st	10 13 17 18 30
2012-06-09	8	2nd	2 10 23 33 35
2012-06-01	7	3rd	2 9 10 30 39
2012-05-25	1	1st	10 12 18 27 35
2012-05-24	16	2nd	9 10 18 30 34
2012-05-08	17	2nd	9 10 12 26 28
2012-04-21	6	1st	10 23 24 35 36
2012-04-15	6	3rd	1 2 10 26 39
2012-04-09	2	1st	10 18 29 33 38
2012-04-07	10	2nd	4 10 15 21 37
2012-03-28	3	1st	10 11 26 37 38
2012-03-25	4	2nd	4 10 33 34 36
2012-03-21	2	1st	10 17 22 23 28
2012-03-19	18	3rd	4 9 10 32 34
2012-03-01	8	1st	10 17 19 23 35
2012-02-22	14	1st	10 13 24 25 33
2012-02-08	8	1st	10 11 16 17 33
2012-01-31	2	2nd	8 10 21 35 38
2012-01-29	2	1st	10 15 27 35 36
2012-01-27	8	1st	10 13 16 32 34
2012-01-19	17	2nd	1 10 12 19 29
2012-01-02	10	2nd	6 10 17 36 38
2011-12-23	6	1st	10 14 28 33 38
2011-12-17	10	1st	10 14 16 24 34
2011-12-07	3	2nd	6 10 28 33 34
2011-12-04	2	2nd	2 10 11 20 22
2011-12-02	1	4th	1 4 9 10 24
2011-12-01	3	1st	10 22 23 28 33
2011-11-28	9	2nd	2 10 11 14 17
2011-11-19	31	3rd	2 6 10 17 35
2011-10-19	1	2nd	7 10 17 21 32
2011-10-18	10	2nd	6 10 16 24 25
2011-10-08	3	3rd	1 5 10 19 28
2011-10-05	1	3rd	5 8 10 19 38
2011-10-04	3	1st	10 12 29 33 36
2011-10-01	4	2nd	1 10 14 21 30
2011-09-27	3	1st	10 14 21 30 35
2011-09-24	9	1st	10 19 25 28 30
2011-09-15	4	2nd	6 10 12 23 24
2011-09-11	4	1st	10 13 15 19 22
2011-09-07	7	1st	10 14 15 23 33
2011-08-31	12	1st	10 23 26 35 39
2011-08-18	1	1st	10 11 23 26 37
2011-08-17	5	2nd	5 10 13 19 34
2011-08-10	3	1st	10 16 27 31 36
2011-08-07	21	1st	10 28 31 32 36
2011-07-17	16	4th	3 5 9 10 28
2011-07-01	8	2nd	6 10 16 28 37
2011-06-23	5	4th	1 6 8 10 26
2011-06-18	10	1st	10 23 24 25 30
2011-06-08	1	3rd	5 9 10 19 35
2011-06-07	4	2nd	6 10 14 25 31
2011-06-03	4	2nd	8 10 19 21 36
2011-05-30	3	2nd	2 10 15 30 31
2011-05-27	2	2nd	5 10 17 21 36
2011-05-25	17	1st	10 11 14 29 36
2011-05-08	1	2nd	9 10 11 23 36
2011-05-07	4	1st	10 14 21 33 38
2011-05-03	17	2nd	5 10 15 16 27
2011-04-15	3	2nd	9 10 17 23 36
2011-04-12	35	2nd	2 10 17 20 27
2011-03-08	5	2nd	9 10 17 28 38
2011-03-03	4	3rd	2 4 10 17 22
2011-02-27	2	4th	1 3 5 10 26
2011-02-25	9	2nd	4 10 20 21 27
2011-02-16	2	2nd	4 10 16 29 33
2011-02-14	6	2nd	9 10 18 19 31
2011-02-08	9	3rd	7 8 10 23 25
2011-01-30	9	3rd	8 9 10 29 30
2011-01-21	5	2nd	4 10 29 30 33
2011-01-16	6	1st	10 21 22 30 39
2011-01-10	7	1st	10 18 19 29 37
2011-01-03	5	1st	10 17 18 22 25
2010-12-29	27	3rd	1 9 10 12 37
2010-12-02	17	3rd	2 9 10 31 37
2010-11-15	2	1st	10 12 27 31 34
2010-11-13	2	4th	4 6 7 10 26
2010-11-11	10	3rd	7 8 10 12 28
2010-11-01	5	1st	10 14 22 27 33
2010-10-27	2	2nd	9 10 16 18 28
2010-10-25	27	1st	10 15 18 20 31
2010-09-28	15	1st	10 12 16 20 35
2010-09-13	7	2nd	3 10 18 34 38
2010-09-06	2	1st	10 15 22 24 38
2010-09-04	4	2nd	6 10 15 22 35
2010-08-31	14	3rd	3 4 10 15 21
2010-08-17	25	2nd	7 10 15 19 28
2010-07-23	8	1st	10 16 18 28 36
2010-07-15	2	1st	10 15 18 19 35
2010-07-13	5	2nd	1 10 13 21 31
2010-07-08	4	3rd	6 8 10 27 31
2010-07-04	9	1st	10 14 32 33 37
2010-06-25	5	1st	10 16 18 22 31
2010-06-20	15	1st	10 24 30 38 39
2010-06-05	7	2nd	1 10 21 24 36
2010-05-29	3	2nd	5 10 16 24 30
2010-05-26	24	1st	10 17 18 33 38
2010-05-02	22	2nd	4 10 13 28 35
2010-04-10	10	1st	10 26 28 37 39
2010-03-31	11	1st	10 19 20 30 33
2010-03-20	1	2nd	5 10 24 26 33
2010-03-19	1	1st	10 12 25 28 33
2010-03-18	3	2nd	8 10 16 24 34
2010-03-15	25	2nd	9 10 20 24 26
2010-02-18	6	1st	10 15 16 33 34
2010-02-12	4	2nd	9 10 17 26 28
2010-02-08	6	1st	10 18 19 24 31
2010-02-02	4	2nd	7 10 18 19 21
2010-01-29	9	1st	10 24 25 31 36
2010-01-20	6	1st	10 11 21 30 32
2010-01-14	2	4th	1 8 9 10 35
2010-01-12	1	2nd	6 10 23 32 34
2010-01-11	—	3rd	2 8 10 29 37