Number 16

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

266times drawn · chance expected 269 −0.19σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

47longest completed wait · 38% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 266 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, −0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 266 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 47 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest29 · chance 31.9
2nd smallest97 · chance 95.7
3rd smallest100 · chance 95.7
4th smallest40 · chance 37.7
5th smallest0 · chance 4.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 28.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 11 31 13 27 30

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-10-03	1	3rd	8 10 16 24 39
2015-10-02	10	2nd	13 16 17 23 39
2015-09-22	3	3rd	9 11 16 22 28
2015-09-19	9	2nd	15 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-04-27	2	3rd	1 2 16 34 36
2015-04-25	4	4th	10 11 13 16 36
2015-04-21	4	2nd	12 16 19 30 31
2015-04-17	4	3rd	4 13 16 19 36
2015-04-13	5	4th	1 7 11 16 18
2015-04-08	2	3rd	4 10 16 21 24
2015-04-06	6	2nd	9 16 27 28 37
2015-03-31	6	1st	16 25 28 34 37
2015-03-25	5	1st	16 21 28 30 35
2015-03-20	2	2nd	15 16 18 32 39
2015-03-18	2	3rd	7 12 16 24 25
2015-03-16	5	3rd	5 12 16 27 31
2015-03-11	6	2nd	2 16 36 38 39
2015-03-05	2	1st	16 20 23 30 38
2015-03-03	5	3rd	1 7 16 21 35
2015-02-26	2	4th	3 6 9 16 38
2015-02-24	4	1st	16 20 26 37 39
2015-02-20	2	2nd	9 16 23 34 37
2015-02-18	9	2nd	11 16 26 28 31
2015-02-09	5	2nd	5 16 18 25 37
2015-02-04	10	3rd	4 11 16 18 27
2015-01-25	5	4th	5 7 10 16 27
2015-01-20	15	2nd	6 16 26 35 37
2015-01-05	17	4th	4 5 6 16 21
2014-12-19	10	4th	9 14 15 16 38
2014-12-09	1	3rd	8 13 16 18 24
2014-12-08	8	3rd	9 10 16 21 28
2014-11-30	7	2nd	15 16 22 23 30
2014-11-23	3	3rd	11 15 16 25 39
2014-11-20	16	2nd	11 16 28 33 38
2014-11-04	1	3rd	7 15 16 19 29
2014-11-03	12	2nd	1 16 19 24 36
2014-10-22	4	3rd	9 11 16 21 30
2014-10-18	21	2nd	7 16 26 28 39
2014-09-27	8	4th	1 3 11 16 27
2014-09-19	2	3rd	10 12 16 22 32
2014-09-17	6	3rd	1 6 16 25 38
2014-09-11	7	3rd	1 8 16 24 32
2014-09-04	19	4th	1 2 10 16 22
2014-08-16	1	1st	16 18 21 25 35
2014-08-15	22	2nd	14 16 30 32 38
2014-07-24	4	2nd	10 16 18 19 21
2014-07-20	1	2nd	5 16 23 32 36
2014-07-19	39	1st	16 21 27 29 37
2014-06-10	8	2nd	12 16 21 26 31
2014-06-02	1	3rd	7 11 16 37 38
2014-06-01	9	2nd	9 16 23 35 37
2014-05-23	6	2nd	4 16 19 21 38
2014-05-17	8	4th	2 6 11 16 20
2014-05-09	16	2nd	1 16 17 19 31
2014-04-23	2	2nd	1 16 23 30 32
2014-04-21	8	2nd	4 16 21 25 36
2014-04-13	11	3rd	1 4 16 19 37
2014-04-02	2	1st	16 20 26 27 32
2014-03-31	7	3rd	7 9 16 24 27
2014-03-24	7	1st	16 17 27 30 31
2014-03-17	1	3rd	4 5 16 25 32
2014-03-16	20	1st	16 20 25 35 37
2014-02-24	11	4th	4 5 7 16 29
2014-02-13	12	2nd	3 16 20 25 28
2014-02-01	2	2nd	6 16 19 33 35
2014-01-30	3	3rd	1 8 16 22 30
2014-01-27	6	1st	16 28 34 37 38
2014-01-21	2	2nd	14 16 23 24 32
2014-01-19	1	2nd	8 16 18 27 30
2014-01-18	3	3rd	11 12 16 24 32
2014-01-15	6	2nd	13 16 20 26 28
2014-01-09	12	2nd	5 16 18 27 36
2013-12-28	14	2nd	15 16 17 26 37
2013-12-14	13	1st	16 19 32 33 39
2013-12-01	10	3rd	7 11 16 36 39
2013-11-21	6	2nd	4 16 17 28 31
2013-11-15	2	1st	16 19 28 30 31
2013-11-13	11	3rd	6 13 16 31 33
2013-11-02	1	3rd	12 13 16 31 36
2013-11-01	6	3rd	4 13 16 18 37
2013-10-26	24	3rd	4 12 16 21 22
2013-10-02	1	1st	16 17 27 31 38
2013-10-01	1	2nd	14 16 26 27 31
2013-09-30	3	4th	10 12 13 16 38
2013-09-27	4	1st	16 17 23 29 33
2013-09-23	14	3rd	11 14 16 21 28
2013-09-09	1	2nd	11 16 18 33 38
2013-09-08	9	3rd	1 2 16 24 37
2013-08-30	2	2nd	3 16 19 26 29
2013-08-28	2	3rd	7 13 16 18 25
2013-08-26	31	2nd	10 16 21 26 31
2013-07-26	7	4th	11 13 14 16 39
2013-07-19	1	4th	6 8 13 16 23
2013-07-18	14	2nd	13 16 20 21 26
2013-07-04	12	4th	1 2 12 16 23
2013-06-22	2	3rd	10 13 16 21 26
2013-06-20	11	2nd	7 16 18 29 35
2013-06-09	13	4th	5 8 12 16 35
2013-05-27	14	3rd	11 13 16 31 35
2013-05-13	35	1st	16 19 21 25 33
2013-04-08	29	2nd	14 16 25 33 36
2013-03-10	7	2nd	10 16 28 29 33
2013-03-03	4	2nd	12 16 23 27 30
2013-02-27	3	3rd	1 11 16 19 36
2013-02-24	2	2nd	6 16 25 28 31
2013-02-22	4	3rd	9 14 16 25 30
2013-02-18	18	3rd	3 7 16 22 28
2013-01-31	11	3rd	5 15 16 33 35
2013-01-20	33	4th	5 7 13 16 37
2012-12-18	8	2nd	4 16 19 25 36
2012-12-10	1	3rd	10 15 16 26 34
2012-12-09	9	3rd	6 14 16 25 34
2012-11-30	14	4th	5 6 8 16 19
2012-11-16	1	2nd	8 16 19 22 31
2012-11-15	1	3rd	3 12 16 32 38
2012-11-14	3	3rd	11 13 16 22 32
2012-11-11	5	3rd	7 9 16 18 24
2012-11-06	4	3rd	10 14 16 30 37
2012-11-02	13	3rd	6 8 16 30 33
2012-10-20	8	4th	4 8 14 16 36
2012-10-12	12	2nd	13 16 20 27 37
2012-09-30	12	2nd	13 16 20 29 38
2012-09-18	3	2nd	4 16 17 35 38
2012-09-15	10	4th	6 9 11 16 33
2012-09-05	7	2nd	1 16 17 19 32
2012-08-29	10	3rd	6 12 16 20 31
2012-08-19	1	2nd	1 16 18 31 34
2012-08-18	1	2nd	3 16 19 29 38
2012-08-17	3	3rd	6 12 16 30 33
2012-08-14	6	2nd	12 16 18 32 33
2012-08-08	1	2nd	1 16 30 35 39
2012-08-07	14	3rd	1 5 16 20 39
2012-07-24	11	1st	16 20 24 31 32
2012-07-13	4	3rd	10 13 16 21 30
2012-07-09	1	3rd	12 14 16 17 33
2012-07-08	7	3rd	5 8 16 19 34
2012-07-01	8	3rd	9 15 16 19 33
2012-06-23	10	3rd	11 13 16 23 26
2012-06-13	16	2nd	7 16 18 22 36
2012-05-28	2	4th	1 3 4 16 30
2012-05-26	12	2nd	7 16 20 22 32
2012-05-14	25	4th	8 13 14 16 24
2012-04-19	11	2nd	5 16 18 31 35
2012-04-08	2	3rd	9 13 16 23 31
2012-04-06	2	1st	16 17 22 23 39
2012-04-04	1	2nd	6 16 27 29 32
2012-04-03	21	4th	6 8 9 16 25
2012-03-13	2	4th	8 9 12 16 38
2012-03-11	8	3rd	12 15 16 33 35
2012-03-03	1	3rd	1 11 16 23 31
2012-03-02	7	4th	4 12 15 16 32
2012-02-24	13	2nd	9 16 20 24 29
2012-02-11	3	3rd	5 6 16 17 29
2012-02-08	1	3rd	10 11 16 17 33
2012-02-07	1	3rd	2 5 16 30 31
2012-02-06	10	2nd	14 16 21 22 31
2012-01-27	12	3rd	10 13 16 32 34
2012-01-15	1	1st	16 22 23 24 30
2012-01-14	24	2nd	12 16 19 31 33
2011-12-21	4	2nd	8 16 18 33 36
2011-12-17	2	3rd	10 14 16 24 34
2011-12-15	7	3rd	9 15 16 18 24
2011-12-08	13	3rd	3 4 16 18 34
2011-11-25	8	3rd	8 12 16 30 37
2011-11-17	2	3rd	11 13 16 32 34
2011-11-15	10	2nd	6 16 25 26 34
2011-11-05	5	1st	16 20 25 28 33
2011-10-31	13	2nd	11 16 29 32 34
2011-10-18	4	3rd	6 10 16 24 25
2011-10-14	15	1st	16 28 34 36 39
2011-09-29	6	2nd	1 16 26 29 38
2011-09-23	11	3rd	5 15 16 27 36
2011-09-12	7	4th	5 8 9 16 20
2011-09-05	10	3rd	2 13 16 33 38
2011-08-25	5	1st	16 18 31 37 39
2011-08-20	8	4th	1 8 15 16 31
2011-08-10	12	2nd	10 16 27 31 36
2011-07-29	2	4th	5 8 9 16 32
2011-07-27	2	3rd	1 14 16 27 30
2011-07-25	2	2nd	8 16 19 27 28
2011-07-23	2	4th	9 12 13 16 27
2011-07-21	2	3rd	2 15 16 34 36
2011-07-19	1	3rd	7 11 16 21 23
2011-07-18	3	3rd	3 14 16 19 31
2011-07-15	4	3rd	2 7 16 27 39
2011-07-11	5	2nd	6 16 18 19 32
2011-07-06	5	2nd	11 16 23 25 37
2011-07-01	22	3rd	6 10 16 28 37
2011-06-09	9	1st	16 18 28 35 37
2011-05-31	18	2nd	1 16 22 37 38
2011-05-13	10	4th	2 3 5 16 23
2011-05-03	7	4th	5 10 15 16 27
2011-04-26	2	1st	16 18 34 35 37
2011-04-24	47	4th	2 3 12 16 18
2011-03-07	19	2nd	6 16 27 29 30
2011-02-16	20	3rd	4 10 16 29 33
2011-01-27	4	1st	16 26 30 35 37
2011-01-23	5	2nd	12 16 22 26 39
2011-01-18	5	2nd	2 16 18 21 30
2011-01-13	40	4th	5 6 11 16 20
2010-12-04	16	2nd	13 16 21 25 35
2010-11-18	8	2nd	12 16 25 36 38
2010-11-10	11	3rd	13 14 16 17 21
2010-10-30	3	2nd	9 16 18 19 35
2010-10-27	6	3rd	9 10 16 18 28
2010-10-21	23	3rd	11 13 16 28 29
2010-09-28	4	3rd	10 12 16 20 35
2010-09-24	5	3rd	9 14 16 26 36
2010-09-19	2	3rd	2 14 16 29 39
2010-09-17	3	4th	2 11 15 16 17
2010-09-14	7	4th	2 4 12 16 22
2010-09-07	10	2nd	5 16 30 35 36
2010-08-28	13	3rd	4 8 16 23 31
2010-08-15	3	2nd	2 16 25 27 32
2010-08-12	7	2nd	3 16 23 24 38
2010-08-05	2	3rd	5 7 16 27 37
2010-08-03	11	3rd	4 14 16 18 24
2010-07-23	4	2nd	10 16 18 28 36
2010-07-19	2	3rd	2 8 16 25 31
2010-07-17	15	2nd	5 16 19 26 30
2010-07-02	7	3rd	4 8 16 18 33
2010-06-25	6	2nd	10 16 18 22 31
2010-06-19	21	4th	8 9 13 16 26
2010-05-29	4	3rd	5 10 16 24 30
2010-05-25	2	2nd	2 16 25 31 35
2010-05-23	2	2nd	6 16 29 32 39
2010-05-21	1	2nd	15 16 24 28 38
2010-05-20	5	4th	4 7 9 16 27
2010-05-15	4	4th	2 8 11 16 27
2010-05-11	8	1st	16 19 22 29 35
2010-05-03	3	3rd	7 11 16 25 37
2010-04-30	2	3rd	1 11 16 17 25
2010-04-28	6	2nd	5 16 20 27 34
2010-04-22	2	2nd	12 16 18 34 39
2010-04-20	15	2nd	14 16 22 23 26
2010-04-05	18	1st	16 22 26 29 36
2010-03-18	10	3rd	8 10 16 24 34
2010-03-08	6	2nd	12 16 20 30 39
2010-03-02	2	2nd	12 16 18 27 30
2010-02-28	10	2nd	5 16 30 33 38
2010-02-18	14	3rd	10 15 16 33 34
2010-02-04	3	4th	7 8 15 16 39
2010-02-01	1	3rd	4 15 16 20 22
2010-01-31	3	1st	16 18 21 24 31
2010-01-28	22	2nd	11 16 24 27 37
2010-01-06	—	3rd	13 15 16 31 35