Number 22

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

262times drawn · chance expected 269 −0.46σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 66% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

66longest completed wait · 3% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 262 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, −0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 262 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 66 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 8.4
2nd smallest48 · chance 50.7
3rd smallest98 · chance 101.4
4th smallest86 · chance 80.3
5th smallest24 · chance 21.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 27.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 6 28 4 8 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-29	7	4th	1 10 11 22 24
2015-09-22	2	4th	9 11 16 22 28
2015-09-20	7	3rd	4 8 22 37 39
2015-09-13	8	3rd	8 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-04-03	1	2nd	5 22 25 34 35
2015-04-02	7	4th	5 6 18 22 29
2015-03-26	3	4th	2 11 20 22 35
2015-03-23	15	3rd	1 13 22 28 35
2015-03-08	6	4th	3 11 19 22 27
2015-03-02	8	3rd	6 9 22 28 35
2015-02-22	1	3rd	9 20 22 25 39
2015-02-21	10	5th	12 14 15 18 22
2015-02-11	8	4th	1 8 14 22 34
2015-02-03	5	2nd	8 22 26 27 33
2015-01-29	1	3rd	5 8 22 24 32
2015-01-28	1	3rd	6 12 22 25 26
2015-01-27	10	1st	22 24 25 34 39
2015-01-17	5	5th	6 11 12 21 22
2015-01-12	23	3rd	5 13 22 28 37
2014-12-20	20	4th	8 15 19 22 39
2014-11-30	9	3rd	15 16 22 23 30
2014-11-21	5	3rd	7 13 22 25 29
2014-11-16	3	4th	10 14 20 22 32
2014-11-13	5	5th	1 4 6 18 22
2014-11-08	6	3rd	4 9 22 31 32
2014-11-02	9	4th	1 13 20 22 29
2014-10-24	13	2nd	11 22 32 33 37
2014-10-11	5	3rd	2 12 22 33 36
2014-10-06	2	4th	3 7 9 22 39
2014-10-04	1	3rd	5 10 22 26 27
2014-10-03	1	5th	6 9 14 20 22
2014-10-02	3	1st	22 28 30 36 37
2014-09-29	10	2nd	1 22 25 30 32
2014-09-19	14	4th	10 12 16 22 32
2014-09-05	1	3rd	15 19 22 24 38
2014-09-04	5	5th	1 2 10 16 22
2014-08-30	17	4th	3 11 20 22 38
2014-08-13	2	4th	2 5 6 22 38
2014-08-11	2	3rd	1 15 22 27 30
2014-08-09	5	4th	12 18 19 22 34
2014-08-04	1	4th	6 7 21 22 35
2014-08-03	11	4th	7 8 9 22 29
2014-07-23	5	2nd	13 22 26 31 34
2014-07-18	15	4th	8 10 14 22 30
2014-07-03	2	3rd	6 8 22 28 35
2014-07-01	8	4th	13 14 18 22 33
2014-06-23	5	5th	3 7 12 15 22
2014-06-18	6	2nd	14 22 26 30 33
2014-06-12	14	4th	3 12 15 22 34
2014-05-29	41	3rd	5 9 22 29 32
2014-04-18	12	2nd	3 22 34 37 39
2014-04-06	28	3rd	3 20 22 26 29
2014-03-09	8	4th	9 13 17 22 24
2014-03-01	8	1st	22 34 36 38 39
2014-02-21	19	4th	8 14 17 22 37
2014-02-02	3	3rd	8 21 22 33 34
2014-01-30	5	4th	1 8 16 22 30
2014-01-25	1	4th	3 9 12 22 37
2014-01-24	1	4th	5 18 20 22 38
2014-01-23	3	3rd	4 20 22 35 38
2014-01-20	7	4th	5 6 20 22 33
2014-01-13	2	3rd	13 20 22 23 28
2014-01-11	15	3rd	1 2 22 24 26
2013-12-27	10	4th	1 4 6 22 28
2013-12-17	9	3rd	10 15 22 27 38
2013-12-08	5	2nd	2 22 26 29 32
2013-12-03	10	3rd	4 12 22 23 35
2013-11-23	5	2nd	8 22 28 31 39
2013-11-18	4	2nd	2 22 26 37 39
2013-11-14	17	2nd	4 22 23 34 36
2013-10-28	2	4th	7 15 20 22 39
2013-10-26	3	5th	4 12 16 21 22
2013-10-23	12	3rd	2 3 22 23 37
2013-10-11	2	2nd	2 22 33 36 39
2013-10-09	5	1st	22 28 29 30 34
2013-10-04	66	4th	2 12 20 22 28
2013-07-30	15	4th	14 15 17 22 30
2013-07-15	2	4th	10 14 21 22 30
2013-07-13	1	4th	4 17 19 22 26
2013-07-12	1	5th	9 10 15 17 22
2013-07-11	10	3rd	5 8 22 24 39
2013-07-01	13	3rd	13 15 22 27 37
2013-06-18	10	3rd	10 20 22 32 39
2013-06-08	4	2nd	11 22 27 32 33
2013-06-04	2	4th	4 17 21 22 31
2013-06-02	8	3rd	15 18 22 25 34
2013-05-25	5	3rd	9 21 22 26 32
2013-05-20	3	4th	1 7 20 22 37
2013-05-17	1	3rd	2 6 22 24 27
2013-05-16	22	4th	1 11 19 22 32
2013-04-24	1	3rd	1 4 22 34 35
2013-04-23	19	5th	2 9 10 21 22
2013-04-04	3	2nd	20 22 32 38 39
2013-04-01	14	2nd	4 22 26 36 37
2013-03-18	3	4th	2 4 17 22 34
2013-03-15	8	2nd	3 22 24 30 38
2013-03-07	1	4th	5 7 8 22 38
2013-03-06	13	4th	1 11 19 22 33
2013-02-21	3	3rd	7 13 22 28 34
2013-02-18	1	4th	3 7 16 22 28
2013-02-17	3	5th	2 11 13 20 22
2013-02-14	2	2nd	8 22 27 28 32
2013-02-12	14	3rd	3 10 22 31 32
2013-01-29	4	2nd	8 22 36 37 38
2013-01-25	2	2nd	14 22 31 34 39
2013-01-23	21	3rd	2 11 22 23 24
2013-01-02	8	4th	3 4 18 22 39
2012-12-25	2	5th	4 7 11 18 22
2012-12-23	6	2nd	15 22 29 34 37
2012-12-17	6	4th	4 11 17 22 30
2012-12-11	4	4th	8 20 21 22 34
2012-12-07	3	3rd	15 17 22 27 36
2012-12-04	17	4th	8 9 12 22 28
2012-11-17	1	3rd	9 20 22 33 36
2012-11-16	2	4th	8 16 19 22 31
2012-11-14	6	4th	11 13 16 22 32
2012-11-08	7	2nd	21 22 29 33 34
2012-11-01	2	4th	3 7 12 22 32
2012-10-30	23	3rd	3 6 22 31 35
2012-10-07	9	2nd	12 22 25 31 35
2012-09-28	4	3rd	3 13 22 24 37
2012-09-24	8	3rd	11 18 22 32 39
2012-09-16	6	3rd	6 15 22 33 36
2012-09-10	29	1st	22 29 33 37 39
2012-08-12	2	4th	13 18 21 22 23
2012-08-10	8	3rd	4 18 22 26 33
2012-08-02	2	4th	3 11 18 22 36
2012-07-31	27	3rd	4 13 22 27 35
2012-07-04	4	2nd	9 22 25 30 35
2012-06-30	4	5th	3 10 12 21 22
2012-06-26	1	3rd	6 14 22 24 39
2012-06-25	12	3rd	10 19 22 28 30
2012-06-13	2	4th	7 16 18 22 36
2012-06-11	3	3rd	5 7 22 32 35
2012-06-08	1	4th	2 4 9 22 27
2012-06-07	12	4th	6 12 20 22 33
2012-05-26	14	4th	7 16 20 22 32
2012-05-12	13	2nd	14 22 25 34 36
2012-04-29	3	2nd	20 22 24 36 37
2012-04-26	2	2nd	12 22 26 31 33
2012-04-24	2	4th	12 15 19 22 23
2012-04-22	6	4th	12 14 20 22 24
2012-04-16	4	4th	6 7 21 22 38
2012-04-12	6	3rd	6 20 22 34 38
2012-04-06	14	3rd	16 17 22 23 39
2012-03-23	2	2nd	5 22 27 30 35
2012-03-21	1	3rd	10 17 22 23 28
2012-03-20	16	4th	3 8 20 22 25
2012-03-04	7	4th	6 8 17 22 29
2012-02-26	10	3rd	17 18 22 23 28
2012-02-16	2	4th	1 12 20 22 34
2012-02-14	2	4th	1 4 11 22 26
2012-02-12	3	3rd	2 6 22 23 38
2012-02-09	3	3rd	6 19 22 27 38
2012-02-06	1	4th	14 16 21 22 31
2012-02-05	21	4th	4 14 21 22 28
2012-01-15	2	2nd	16 22 23 24 30
2012-01-13	40	4th	3 11 15 22 37
2011-12-04	3	5th	2 10 11 20 22
2011-12-01	2	2nd	10 22 23 28 33
2011-11-29	2	2nd	6 22 28 29 35
2011-11-27	5	3rd	7 20 22 23 25
2011-11-22	18	4th	2 6 7 22 33
2011-11-04	14	4th	3 18 19 22 30
2011-10-21	10	2nd	14 22 24 26 34
2011-10-11	5	2nd	5 22 23 30 37
2011-10-06	18	4th	11 13 20 22 25
2011-09-18	7	3rd	4 19 22 32 37
2011-09-11	2	5th	10 13 15 19 22
2011-09-09	1	4th	1 11 12 22 25
2011-09-08	10	4th	3 4 9 22 26
2011-08-29	5	3rd	8 18 22 37 39
2011-08-23	10	3rd	6 7 22 29 35
2011-08-11	6	3rd	8 20 22 27 29
2011-08-05	3	3rd	11 17 22 34 39
2011-08-02	43	4th	2 6 9 22 25
2011-06-20	4	3rd	2 4 22 25 30
2011-06-16	3	3rd	7 15 22 28 29
2011-06-13	11	4th	4 9 11 22 39
2011-06-02	1	4th	6 9 20 22 39
2011-06-01	1	3rd	9 14 22 23 28
2011-05-31	8	3rd	1 16 22 37 38
2011-05-23	18	2nd	12 22 25 28 34
2011-05-05	10	3rd	3 20 22 27 30
2011-04-25	3	3rd	4 12 22 28 38
2011-04-22	2	4th	5 6 14 22 28
2011-04-20	6	2nd	18 22 29 32 34
2011-04-13	16	3rd	17 19 22 23 32
2011-03-28	16	5th	1 3 18 20 22
2011-03-12	1	5th	2 3 7 9 22
2011-03-11	8	2nd	14 22 27 29 36
2011-03-03	1	5th	2 4 10 17 22
2011-03-02	1	4th	6 7 8 22 24
2011-03-01	5	3rd	5 13 22 26 27
2011-02-24	3	4th	5 12 18 22 31
2011-02-21	10	3rd	7 14 22 24 28
2011-02-11	1	2nd	2 22 28 31 38
2011-02-10	9	4th	5 8 14 22 36
2011-02-01	1	3rd	11 20 22 25 28
2011-01-31	8	3rd	1 13 22 32 36
2011-01-23	7	3rd	12 16 22 26 39
2011-01-16	10	3rd	10 21 22 30 39
2011-01-06	2	4th	1 12 20 22 23
2011-01-04	1	3rd	15 20 22 34 37
2011-01-03	22	4th	10 17 18 22 25
2010-12-12	11	2nd	19 22 31 36 37
2010-12-01	25	4th	2 13 18 22 35
2010-11-06	5	3rd	2 13 22 27 28
2010-11-01	6	3rd	10 14 22 27 33
2010-10-26	18	3rd	1 18 22 25 33
2010-10-08	12	2nd	4 22 25 31 33
2010-09-26	12	5th	5 9 11 19 22
2010-09-14	8	5th	2 4 12 16 22
2010-09-06	2	3rd	10 15 22 24 38
2010-09-04	3	4th	6 10 15 22 35
2010-09-01	5	1st	22 24 27 33 37
2010-08-27	26	2nd	9 22 23 26 33
2010-08-01	10	3rd	6 20 22 34 35
2010-07-22	4	3rd	7 14 22 30 35
2010-07-18	20	3rd	3 14 22 30 35
2010-06-28	3	3rd	4 17 22 26 33
2010-06-25	8	4th	10 16 18 22 31
2010-06-17	3	3rd	7 21 22 28 34
2010-06-14	6	3rd	20 21 22 31 36
2010-06-08	9	3rd	12 21 22 27 38
2010-05-30	2	2nd	7 22 28 35 39
2010-05-28	17	4th	5 6 8 22 31
2010-05-11	17	3rd	16 19 22 29 35
2010-04-24	4	2nd	13 22 26 33 34
2010-04-20	15	3rd	14 16 22 23 26
2010-04-05	3	2nd	16 22 26 29 36
2010-04-02	12	4th	2 8 15 22 35
2010-03-21	27	2nd	18 22 25 35 38
2010-02-22	6	3rd	6 8 22 37 38
2010-02-16	7	4th	1 2 9 22 30
2010-02-09	8	3rd	12 20 22 29 36
2010-02-01	6	5th	4 15 16 20 22
2010-01-26	5	3rd	8 9 22 24 31
2010-01-21	3	2nd	11 22 26 36 39
2010-01-18	11	4th	7 9 20 22 30
2010-01-07	6	4th	19 20 21 22 23
2010-01-01	—	5th	3 7 8 18 22