Number 14

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

285times drawn · chance expected 269 +1.05σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

39longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 285 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, +1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 285 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest49 · chance 48.8
2nd smallest124 · chance 115.4
3rd smallest83 · chance 90.3
4th smallest28 · chance 27.6
5th smallest1 · chance 2.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 30.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 30 6 7 38 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-25	7	3rd	6 9 14 31 39
2015-09-18	5	3rd	1 12 14 19 36
2015-09-13	1	2nd	8 14 22 30 37
2015-09-12	4	1st	14 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-03-21	11	2nd	7 14 19 24 32
2015-03-10	9	4th	3 7 11 14 24
2015-03-01	1	1st	14 17 21 23 32
2015-02-28	7	3rd	7 10 14 21 38
2015-02-21	10	2nd	12 14 15 18 22
2015-02-11	3	3rd	1 8 14 22 34
2015-02-08	3	4th	6 8 13 14 37
2015-02-05	28	2nd	4 14 18 25 27
2015-01-08	11	1st	14 19 21 27 38
2014-12-28	1	5th	2 5 9 12 14
2014-12-27	6	2nd	9 14 24 25 34
2014-12-21	2	1st	14 21 29 30 38
2014-12-19	1	2nd	9 14 15 16 38
2014-12-18	8	3rd	3 5 14 26 39
2014-12-10	11	2nd	6 14 21 29 30
2014-11-29	7	2nd	2 14 31 35 38
2014-11-22	4	2nd	12 14 17 27 31
2014-11-18	2	1st	14 24 27 28 34
2014-11-16	18	2nd	10 14 20 22 32
2014-10-29	6	3rd	10 12 14 24 35
2014-10-23	20	2nd	7 14 20 27 34
2014-10-03	2	3rd	6 9 14 20 22
2014-10-01	13	2nd	4 14 18 26 29
2014-09-18	34	1st	14 25 28 31 39
2014-08-15	7	1st	14 16 30 32 38
2014-08-08	10	3rd	6 13 14 28 33
2014-07-29	11	3rd	6 7 14 18 31
2014-07-18	5	3rd	8 10 14 22 30
2014-07-13	1	2nd	1 14 26 33 36
2014-07-12	1	2nd	11 14 23 27 33
2014-07-11	1	1st	14 18 19 37 38
2014-07-10	2	3rd	3 4 14 30 35
2014-07-08	7	1st	14 15 18 19 20
2014-07-01	1	2nd	13 14 18 22 33
2014-06-30	8	4th	7 9 11 14 18
2014-06-22	4	2nd	13 14 27 29 31
2014-06-18	2	1st	14 22 26 30 33
2014-06-16	3	2nd	9 14 15 34 36
2014-06-13	17	3rd	3 8 14 33 35
2014-05-27	2	2nd	5 14 15 26 35
2014-05-25	11	3rd	2 3 14 15 33
2014-05-14	4	3rd	6 8 14 25 36
2014-05-10	3	4th	7 10 13 14 20
2014-05-07	6	4th	2 10 11 14 33
2014-05-01	1	3rd	5 11 14 24 38
2014-04-30	14	2nd	11 14 21 25 33
2014-04-16	1	2nd	13 14 18 34 39
2014-04-15	12	3rd	4 6 14 29 30
2014-04-03	27	4th	3 5 10 14 30
2014-03-07	4	3rd	1 4 14 29 31
2014-03-03	5	4th	1 5 9 14 26
2014-02-26	5	3rd	4 7 14 15 32
2014-02-21	10	2nd	8 14 17 22 37
2014-02-11	6	2nd	11 14 28 31 33
2014-02-05	15	3rd	3 4 14 21 27
2014-01-21	16	1st	14 16 23 24 32
2014-01-05	3	3rd	5 11 14 32 38
2014-01-02	3	4th	2 5 7 14 18
2013-12-30	1	2nd	2 14 15 23 31
2013-12-29	5	1st	14 17 18 37 39
2013-12-24	12	2nd	6 14 23 30 37
2013-12-12	3	1st	14 27 28 37 38
2013-12-09	4	2nd	9 14 19 20 29
2013-12-05	1	2nd	4 14 15 33 38
2013-12-04	4	2nd	3 14 28 30 31
2013-11-30	11	2nd	2 14 19 28 34
2013-11-19	11	2nd	9 14 28 37 38
2013-11-08	2	3rd	4 13 14 17 20
2013-11-06	3	3rd	1 7 14 15 36
2013-11-03	5	3rd	3 9 14 17 35
2013-10-29	7	3rd	4 5 14 19 39
2013-10-22	3	3rd	1 7 14 15 29
2013-10-19	14	2nd	8 14 20 38 39
2013-10-05	4	2nd	8 14 15 20 30
2013-10-01	8	1st	14 16 26 27 31
2013-09-23	1	2nd	11 14 16 21 28
2013-09-22	1	3rd	6 8 14 34 36
2013-09-21	6	2nd	11 14 25 30 37
2013-09-15	13	4th	7 9 12 14 39
2013-09-02	6	3rd	6 10 14 17 32
2013-08-27	3	2nd	13 14 18 24 35
2013-08-24	6	2nd	6 14 24 25 30
2013-08-18	7	1st	14 24 27 28 39
2013-08-11	9	3rd	7 12 14 17 29
2013-08-02	3	3rd	10 12 14 25 30
2013-07-30	2	1st	14 15 17 22 30
2013-07-28	2	2nd	6 14 21 27 33
2013-07-26	2	3rd	11 13 14 16 39
2013-07-24	9	2nd	5 14 15 19 33
2013-07-15	6	2nd	10 14 21 22 30
2013-07-09	12	3rd	6 11 14 27 33
2013-06-27	14	3rd	3 12 14 21 39
2013-06-13	1	3rd	10 12 14 15 37
2013-06-12	13	2nd	1 14 20 27 32
2013-05-30	8	2nd	1 14 15 30 39
2013-05-22	7	1st	14 17 20 25 26
2013-05-15	3	3rd	9 11 14 32 38
2013-05-12	4	4th	2 3 7 14 26
2013-05-08	13	3rd	2 3 14 21 33
2013-04-25	17	3rd	4 7 14 24 38
2013-04-08	1	1st	14 16 25 33 36
2013-04-07	12	3rd	1 7 14 29 33
2013-03-26	10	4th	3 7 13 14 15
2013-03-16	15	1st	14 25 31 34 36
2013-03-01	7	3rd	5 6 14 17 30
2013-02-22	28	2nd	9 14 16 25 30
2013-01-25	7	1st	14 22 31 34 39
2013-01-18	7	2nd	12 14 20 27 38
2013-01-11	5	3rd	7 13 14 24 28
2013-01-06	11	4th	1 5 10 14 33
2012-12-26	2	2nd	1 14 20 31 38
2012-12-24	15	3rd	8 10 14 35 36
2012-12-09	18	2nd	6 14 16 25 34
2012-11-21	2	3rd	7 12 14 25 39
2012-11-19	13	3rd	1 5 14 29 36
2012-11-06	3	2nd	10 14 16 30 37
2012-11-03	8	2nd	8 14 18 35 38
2012-10-26	5	1st	14 18 30 31 36
2012-10-21	1	4th	2 4 7 14 30
2012-10-20	2	3rd	4 8 14 16 36
2012-10-18	12	1st	14 18 23 26 27
2012-10-06	5	1st	14 26 35 37 38
2012-10-01	2	4th	4 6 10 14 24
2012-09-29	16	2nd	2 14 19 20 36
2012-09-13	1	2nd	4 14 21 30 32
2012-09-12	37	2nd	3 14 29 34 36
2012-08-06	8	3rd	3 8 14 25 35
2012-07-29	2	4th	1 6 12 14 25
2012-07-27	6	2nd	5 14 26 33 37
2012-07-21	11	4th	3 6 11 14 23
2012-07-10	1	4th	4 7 13 14 37
2012-07-09	3	2nd	12 14 16 17 33
2012-07-06	10	2nd	6 14 17 18 31
2012-06-26	8	2nd	6 14 22 24 39
2012-06-18	1	1st	14 15 18 32 36
2012-06-17	7	2nd	6 14 15 30 32
2012-06-10	11	3rd	4 5 14 24 33
2012-05-30	8	2nd	8 14 15 25 34
2012-05-22	3	3rd	1 11 14 18 33
2012-05-19	2	3rd	7 8 14 20 27
2012-05-17	3	2nd	2 14 17 26 31
2012-05-14	2	3rd	8 13 14 16 24
2012-05-12	5	1st	14 22 25 34 36
2012-05-07	4	2nd	8 14 19 30 32
2012-05-03	11	3rd	1 5 14 17 39
2012-04-22	21	2nd	12 14 20 22 24
2012-04-01	5	4th	4 9 11 14 35
2012-03-27	9	2nd	4 14 17 27 34
2012-03-18	3	2nd	1 14 15 27 35
2012-03-15	26	3rd	1 13 14 24 31
2012-02-18	12	2nd	5 14 17 26 36
2012-02-06	1	1st	14 16 21 22 31
2012-02-05	12	2nd	4 14 21 22 28
2012-01-24	7	2nd	4 14 15 17 33
2012-01-17	1	2nd	12 14 26 28 30
2012-01-16	19	3rd	2 8 14 15 30
2011-12-28	5	2nd	13 14 15 21 29
2011-12-23	6	2nd	10 14 28 33 38
2011-12-17	5	2nd	10 14 16 24 34
2011-12-12	6	1st	14 17 20 26 35
2011-12-06	1	1st	14 20 21 26 28
2011-12-05	5	2nd	5 14 25 29 37
2011-11-30	2	2nd	11 14 19 21 23
2011-11-28	8	4th	2 10 11 14 17
2011-11-20	30	3rd	8 9 14 24 32
2011-10-21	14	1st	14 22 24 26 34
2011-10-07	6	3rd	2 6 14 18 26
2011-10-01	1	3rd	1 10 14 21 30
2011-09-30	3	2nd	13 14 31 33 34
2011-09-27	2	2nd	10 14 21 30 35
2011-09-25	9	2nd	6 14 23 27 29
2011-09-16	9	4th	3 11 13 14 17
2011-09-07	39	2nd	10 14 15 23 33
2011-07-27	9	2nd	1 14 16 27 30
2011-07-18	5	2nd	3 14 16 19 31
2011-07-13	13	3rd	1 7 14 20 32
2011-06-30	3	2nd	5 14 15 17 30
2011-06-27	3	1st	14 15 23 24 34
2011-06-24	3	3rd	6 12 14 15 33
2011-06-21	6	2nd	7 14 18 24 38
2011-06-15	4	2nd	6 14 26 29 36
2011-06-11	4	2nd	5 14 20 28 33
2011-06-07	3	3rd	6 10 14 25 31
2011-06-04	3	2nd	11 14 17 34 39
2011-06-01	7	2nd	9 14 22 23 28
2011-05-25	6	3rd	10 11 14 29 36
2011-05-19	4	1st	14 18 28 31 39
2011-05-15	8	3rd	1 6 14 26 34
2011-05-07	10	2nd	10 14 21 33 38
2011-04-27	5	2nd	3 14 18 25 27
2011-04-22	11	3rd	5 6 14 22 28
2011-04-10	1	2nd	6 14 19 31 36
2011-04-09	1	1st	14 23 34 35 36
2011-04-08	28	2nd	4 14 18 28 33
2011-03-11	2	1st	14 22 27 29 36
2011-03-09	9	3rd	2 4 14 21 37
2011-02-28	7	4th	3 5 7 14 38
2011-02-21	1	2nd	7 14 22 24 28
2011-02-20	7	3rd	5 13 14 27 38
2011-02-13	1	1st	14 26 32 38 39
2011-02-12	2	2nd	3 14 21 28 29
2011-02-10	5	3rd	5 8 14 22 36
2011-02-05	1	4th	6 7 8 14 24
2011-02-04	10	3rd	3 7 14 26 38
2011-01-25	3	1st	14 19 20 32 38
2011-01-22	13	1st	14 15 20 24 37
2011-01-09	8	2nd	7 14 19 23 35
2011-01-01	4	3rd	5 13 14 30 33
2010-12-28	2	2nd	11 14 18 33 35
2010-12-26	3	3rd	1 13 14 27 33
2010-12-23	9	3rd	1 7 14 24 33
2010-12-14	7	3rd	5 7 14 24 26
2010-12-07	11	4th	2 5 8 14 34
2010-11-26	4	1st	14 19 20 30 36
2010-11-22	12	3rd	1 4 14 27 33
2010-11-10	1	2nd	13 14 16 17 21
2010-11-09	8	2nd	4 14 24 27 33
2010-11-01	8	2nd	10 14 22 27 33
2010-10-24	2	2nd	1 14 18 20 27
2010-10-22	3	2nd	4 14 20 32 35
2010-10-19	7	1st	14 15 18 24 29
2010-10-12	7	2nd	1 14 24 25 26
2010-10-05	6	2nd	9 14 35 37 38
2010-09-29	5	2nd	13 14 21 28 39
2010-09-24	1	2nd	9 14 16 26 36
2010-09-23	4	2nd	2 14 18 28 30
2010-09-19	8	2nd	2 14 16 29 39
2010-09-11	2	2nd	7 14 15 18 31
2010-09-09	10	3rd	2 5 14 20 25
2010-08-30	4	2nd	8 14 29 31 39
2010-08-26	2	1st	14 18 20 33 35
2010-08-24	2	4th	3 6 12 14 17
2010-08-22	3	3rd	2 7 14 34 38
2010-08-19	16	2nd	3 14 21 29 30
2010-08-03	5	2nd	4 14 16 18 24
2010-07-29	4	2nd	4 14 21 32 39
2010-07-25	3	4th	3 8 12 14 38
2010-07-22	2	2nd	7 14 22 30 35
2010-07-20	2	3rd	1 2 14 33 38
2010-07-18	4	2nd	3 14 22 30 35
2010-07-14	4	2nd	2 14 24 33 39
2010-07-10	4	2nd	6 14 26 30 38
2010-07-06	2	1st	14 18 30 31 37
2010-07-04	13	2nd	10 14 32 33 37
2010-06-21	15	1st	14 24 30 33 37
2010-06-06	3	3rd	2 5 14 20 37
2010-06-03	3	2nd	6 14 28 34 38
2010-05-31	12	2nd	3 14 17 23 28
2010-05-19	11	4th	4 6 13 14 37
2010-05-08	9	1st	14 29 32 33 39
2010-04-29	9	2nd	11 14 15 26 32
2010-04-20	9	1st	14 16 22 23 26
2010-04-11	14	3rd	5 13 14 26 38
2010-03-28	36	2nd	6 14 24 28 29
2010-02-20	1	2nd	2 14 25 30 31
2010-02-19	14	3rd	7 8 14 28 36
2010-02-05	9	1st	14 17 29 33 35
2010-01-27	2	1st	14 19 27 28 33
2010-01-25	9	2nd	4 14 17 26 38
2010-01-16	11	2nd	1 14 30 33 36
2010-01-05	—	1st	14 19 21 35 37