Fantasy 5 · every number
4
Number 4 In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
5/42 · since Oct 2015 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 250 times drawn · chance expected 269 −1.24σ
2 draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number
8.3 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
65 longest completed wait · 4% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 250 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, −1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 250 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 65 · waiting 2 draws now
7 draws: 2010-01-25 to 2010-02-01 2 draws: 2010-02-01 to 2010-02-03 65 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-04-09 3 draws: 2010-04-09 to 2010-04-12 4 draws: 2010-04-12 to 2010-04-16 2 draws: 2010-04-16 to 2010-04-18 13 draws: 2010-04-18 to 2010-05-01 1 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-02 12 draws: 2010-05-02 to 2010-05-14 2 draws: 2010-05-14 to 2010-05-16 3 draws: 2010-05-16 to 2010-05-19 1 draws: 2010-05-19 to 2010-05-20 15 draws: 2010-05-20 to 2010-06-04 6 draws: 2010-06-04 to 2010-06-10 8 draws: 2010-06-10 to 2010-06-18 10 draws: 2010-06-18 to 2010-06-28 4 draws: 2010-06-28 to 2010-07-02 24 draws: 2010-07-02 to 2010-07-26 3 draws: 2010-07-26 to 2010-07-29 5 draws: 2010-07-29 to 2010-08-03 8 draws: 2010-08-03 to 2010-08-11 9 draws: 2010-08-11 to 2010-08-20 8 draws: 2010-08-20 to 2010-08-28 3 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-08-31 2 draws: 2010-08-31 to 2010-09-02 12 draws: 2010-09-02 to 2010-09-14 1 draws: 2010-09-14 to 2010-09-15 12 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-09-27 11 draws: 2010-09-27 to 2010-10-08 10 draws: 2010-10-08 to 2010-10-18 4 draws: 2010-10-18 to 2010-10-22 1 draws: 2010-10-22 to 2010-10-23 17 draws: 2010-10-23 to 2010-11-09 4 draws: 2010-11-09 to 2010-11-13 9 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-11-22 25 draws: 2010-11-22 to 2010-12-17 13 draws: 2010-12-17 to 2010-12-30 1 draws: 2010-12-30 to 2010-12-31 21 draws: 2010-12-31 to 2011-01-21 19 draws: 2011-01-21 to 2011-02-09 7 draws: 2011-02-09 to 2011-02-16 9 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-02-25 6 draws: 2011-02-25 to 2011-03-03 1 draws: 2011-03-03 to 2011-03-04 5 draws: 2011-03-04 to 2011-03-09 6 draws: 2011-03-09 to 2011-03-15 4 draws: 2011-03-15 to 2011-03-19 3 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-03-22 15 draws: 2011-03-22 to 2011-04-06 2 draws: 2011-04-06 to 2011-04-08 16 draws: 2011-04-08 to 2011-04-25 11 draws: 2011-04-25 to 2011-05-06 3 draws: 2011-05-06 to 2011-05-09 28 draws: 2011-05-09 to 2011-06-06 6 draws: 2011-06-06 to 2011-06-12 1 draws: 2011-06-12 to 2011-06-13 7 draws: 2011-06-13 to 2011-06-20 13 draws: 2011-06-20 to 2011-07-03 21 draws: 2011-07-03 to 2011-07-24 43 draws: 2011-07-24 to 2011-09-08 10 draws: 2011-09-08 to 2011-09-18 8 draws: 2011-09-18 to 2011-09-26 2 draws: 2011-09-26 to 2011-09-28 4 draws: 2011-09-28 to 2011-10-02 18 draws: 2011-10-02 to 2011-10-20 8 draws: 2011-10-20 to 2011-10-28 10 draws: 2011-10-28 to 2011-11-07 25 draws: 2011-11-07 to 2011-12-02 6 draws: 2011-12-02 to 2011-12-08 1 draws: 2011-12-08 to 2011-12-09 5 draws: 2011-12-09 to 2011-12-14 2 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2011-12-16 6 draws: 2011-12-16 to 2011-12-22 14 draws: 2011-12-22 to 2012-01-05 15 draws: 2012-01-05 to 2012-01-20 2 draws: 2012-01-20 to 2012-01-22 2 draws: 2012-01-22 to 2012-01-24 12 draws: 2012-01-24 to 2012-02-05 9 draws: 2012-02-05 to 2012-02-14 3 draws: 2012-02-14 to 2012-02-17 3 draws: 2012-02-17 to 2012-02-20 9 draws: 2012-02-20 to 2012-02-29 2 draws: 2012-02-29 to 2012-03-02 17 draws: 2012-03-02 to 2012-03-19 6 draws: 2012-03-19 to 2012-03-25 2 draws: 2012-03-25 to 2012-03-27 5 draws: 2012-03-27 to 2012-04-01 6 draws: 2012-04-01 to 2012-04-07 4 draws: 2012-04-07 to 2012-04-11 7 draws: 2012-04-11 to 2012-04-18 5 draws: 2012-04-18 to 2012-04-23 4 draws: 2012-04-23 to 2012-04-27 5 draws: 2012-04-27 to 2012-05-02 2 draws: 2012-05-02 to 2012-05-04 16 draws: 2012-05-04 to 2012-05-20 8 draws: 2012-05-20 to 2012-05-28 11 draws: 2012-05-28 to 2012-06-08 2 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-06-10 10 draws: 2012-06-10 to 2012-06-20 1 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-21 6 draws: 2012-06-21 to 2012-06-27 13 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-07-10 1 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-07-11 14 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-07-25 6 draws: 2012-07-25 to 2012-07-31 10 draws: 2012-07-31 to 2012-08-10 21 draws: 2012-08-10 to 2012-08-31 6 draws: 2012-08-31 to 2012-09-06 7 draws: 2012-09-06 to 2012-09-13 5 draws: 2012-09-13 to 2012-09-18 9 draws: 2012-09-18 to 2012-09-27 4 draws: 2012-09-27 to 2012-10-01 19 draws: 2012-10-01 to 2012-10-20 1 draws: 2012-10-20 to 2012-10-21 43 draws: 2012-10-21 to 2012-12-03 3 draws: 2012-12-03 to 2012-12-06 6 draws: 2012-12-06 to 2012-12-12 2 draws: 2012-12-12 to 2012-12-14 3 draws: 2012-12-14 to 2012-12-17 1 draws: 2012-12-17 to 2012-12-18 7 draws: 2012-12-18 to 2012-12-25 3 draws: 2012-12-25 to 2012-12-28 2 draws: 2012-12-28 to 2012-12-30 3 draws: 2012-12-30 to 2013-01-02 10 draws: 2013-01-02 to 2013-01-12 27 draws: 2013-01-12 to 2013-02-08 1 draws: 2013-02-08 to 2013-02-09 7 draws: 2013-02-09 to 2013-02-16 20 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-03-08 10 draws: 2013-03-08 to 2013-03-18 14 draws: 2013-03-18 to 2013-04-01 2 draws: 2013-04-01 to 2013-04-03 8 draws: 2013-04-03 to 2013-04-11 9 draws: 2013-04-11 to 2013-04-20 4 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-04-24 1 draws: 2013-04-24 to 2013-04-25 12 draws: 2013-04-25 to 2013-05-07 3 draws: 2013-05-07 to 2013-05-10 4 draws: 2013-05-10 to 2013-05-14 21 draws: 2013-05-14 to 2013-06-04 12 draws: 2013-06-04 to 2013-06-16 17 draws: 2013-06-16 to 2013-07-03 10 draws: 2013-07-03 to 2013-07-13 3 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-16 16 draws: 2013-07-16 to 2013-08-01 7 draws: 2013-08-01 to 2013-08-08 2 draws: 2013-08-08 to 2013-08-10 9 draws: 2013-08-10 to 2013-08-19 12 draws: 2013-08-19 to 2013-08-31 4 draws: 2013-08-31 to 2013-09-04 7 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-09-11 5 draws: 2013-09-11 to 2013-09-16 1 draws: 2013-09-16 to 2013-09-17 21 draws: 2013-09-17 to 2013-10-08 12 draws: 2013-10-08 to 2013-10-20 5 draws: 2013-10-20 to 2013-10-25 1 draws: 2013-10-25 to 2013-10-26 3 draws: 2013-10-26 to 2013-10-29 3 draws: 2013-10-29 to 2013-11-01 4 draws: 2013-11-01 to 2013-11-05 3 draws: 2013-11-05 to 2013-11-08 6 draws: 2013-11-08 to 2013-11-14 7 draws: 2013-11-14 to 2013-11-21 3 draws: 2013-11-21 to 2013-11-24 9 draws: 2013-11-24 to 2013-12-03 2 draws: 2013-12-03 to 2013-12-05 13 draws: 2013-12-05 to 2013-12-18 2 draws: 2013-12-18 to 2013-12-20 1 draws: 2013-12-20 to 2013-12-21 6 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2013-12-27 12 draws: 2013-12-27 to 2014-01-08 6 draws: 2014-01-08 to 2014-01-14 9 draws: 2014-01-14 to 2014-01-23 13 draws: 2014-01-23 to 2014-02-05 19 draws: 2014-02-05 to 2014-02-24 2 draws: 2014-02-24 to 2014-02-26 9 draws: 2014-02-26 to 2014-03-07 10 draws: 2014-03-07 to 2014-03-17 2 draws: 2014-03-17 to 2014-03-19 7 draws: 2014-03-19 to 2014-03-26 6 draws: 2014-03-26 to 2014-04-01 7 draws: 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-08 3 draws: 2014-04-08 to 2014-04-11 2 draws: 2014-04-11 to 2014-04-13 1 draws: 2014-04-13 to 2014-04-14 1 draws: 2014-04-14 to 2014-04-15 2 draws: 2014-04-15 to 2014-04-17 4 draws: 2014-04-17 to 2014-04-21 32 draws: 2014-04-21 to 2014-05-23 3 draws: 2014-05-23 to 2014-05-26 14 draws: 2014-05-26 to 2014-06-09 2 draws: 2014-06-09 to 2014-06-11 3 draws: 2014-06-11 to 2014-06-14 6 draws: 2014-06-14 to 2014-06-20 9 draws: 2014-06-20 to 2014-06-29 11 draws: 2014-06-29 to 2014-07-10 5 draws: 2014-07-10 to 2014-07-15 18 draws: 2014-07-15 to 2014-08-02 12 draws: 2014-08-02 to 2014-08-14 12 draws: 2014-08-14 to 2014-08-26 36 draws: 2014-08-26 to 2014-10-01 8 draws: 2014-10-01 to 2014-10-09 1 draws: 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-10 15 draws: 2014-10-10 to 2014-10-25 1 draws: 2014-10-25 to 2014-10-26 13 draws: 2014-10-26 to 2014-11-08 5 draws: 2014-11-08 to 2014-11-13 12 draws: 2014-11-13 to 2014-11-25 1 draws: 2014-11-25 to 2014-11-26 5 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2014-12-01 14 draws: 2014-12-01 to 2014-12-15 9 draws: 2014-12-15 to 2014-12-24 12 draws: 2014-12-24 to 2015-01-05 1 draws: 2015-01-05 to 2015-01-06 12 draws: 2015-01-06 to 2015-01-18 5 draws: 2015-01-18 to 2015-01-23 7 draws: 2015-01-23 to 2015-01-30 5 draws: 2015-01-30 to 2015-02-04 1 draws: 2015-02-04 to 2015-02-05 7 draws: 2015-02-05 to 2015-02-12 55 draws: 2015-02-12 to 2015-04-08 9 draws: 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-17 3 draws: 2015-04-17 to 2015-04-20 6 draws: 2015-04-20 to 2015-04-26 4 draws: 2015-04-26 to 2015-04-30 6 draws: 2015-04-30 to 2015-05-06 10 draws: 2015-05-06 to 2015-05-16 7 draws: 2015-05-16 to 2015-05-23 1 draws: 2015-05-23 to 2015-05-24 11 draws: 2015-05-24 to 2015-06-04 2 draws: 2015-06-04 to 2015-06-06 2 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-06-08 36 draws: 2015-06-08 to 2015-07-14 1 draws: 2015-07-14 to 2015-07-15 10 draws: 2015-07-15 to 2015-07-25 2 draws: 2015-07-25 to 2015-07-27 5 draws: 2015-07-27 to 2015-08-01 2 draws: 2015-08-01 to 2015-08-03 4 draws: 2015-08-03 to 2015-08-07 14 draws: 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-21 7 draws: 2015-08-21 to 2015-08-28 2 draws: 2015-08-28 to 2015-08-30 4 draws: 2015-08-30 to 2015-09-03 2 draws: 2015-09-03 to 2015-09-05 1 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-09-06 3 draws: 2015-09-06 to 2015-09-09 8 draws: 2015-09-09 to 2015-09-17 3 draws: 2015-09-17 to 2015-09-20 11 draws: 2015-09-20 to 2015-10-01 Still waiting — at least 2 draws since 2015-10-01 2010-01-25 2010-02-01 2010-02-03 2010-04-09 2010-04-12 2010-04-16 2010-04-18 2010-05-01 2010-05-02 2010-05-14 2010-05-16 2010-05-19 2010-05-20 2010-06-04 2010-06-10 2010-06-18 2010-06-28 2010-07-02 2010-07-26 2010-07-29 2010-08-03 2010-08-11 2010-08-20 2010-08-28 2010-08-31 2010-09-02 2010-09-14 2010-09-15 2010-09-27 2010-10-08 2010-10-18 2010-10-22 2010-10-23 2010-11-09 2010-11-13 2010-11-22 2010-12-17 2010-12-30 2010-12-31 2011-01-21 2011-02-09 2011-02-16 2011-02-25 2011-03-03 2011-03-04 2011-03-09 2011-03-15 2011-03-19 2011-03-22 2011-04-06 2011-04-08 2011-04-25 2011-05-06 2011-05-09 2011-06-06 2011-06-12 2011-06-13 2011-06-20 2011-07-03 2011-07-24 2011-09-08 2011-09-18 2011-09-26 2011-09-28 2011-10-02 2011-10-20 2011-10-28 2011-11-07 2011-12-02 2011-12-08 2011-12-09 2011-12-14 2011-12-16 2011-12-22 2012-01-05 2012-01-20 2012-01-22 2012-01-24 2012-02-05 2012-02-14 2012-02-17 2012-02-20 2012-02-29 2012-03-02 2012-03-19 2012-03-25 2012-03-27 2012-04-01 2012-04-07 2012-04-11 2012-04-18 2012-04-23 2012-04-27 2012-05-02 2012-05-04 2012-05-20 2012-05-28 2012-06-08 2012-06-10 2012-06-20 2012-06-21 2012-06-27 2012-07-10 2012-07-11 2012-07-25 2012-07-31 2012-08-10 2012-08-31 2012-09-06 2012-09-13 2012-09-18 2012-09-27 2012-10-01 2012-10-20 2012-10-21 2012-12-03 2012-12-06 2012-12-12 2012-12-14 2012-12-17 2012-12-18 2012-12-25 2012-12-28 2012-12-30 2013-01-02 2013-01-12 2013-02-08 2013-02-09 2013-02-16 2013-03-08 2013-03-18 2013-04-01 2013-04-03 2013-04-11 2013-04-20 2013-04-24 2013-04-25 2013-05-07 2013-05-10 2013-05-14 2013-06-04 2013-06-16 2013-07-03 2013-07-13 2013-07-16 2013-08-01 2013-08-08 2013-08-10 2013-08-19 2013-08-31 2013-09-04 2013-09-11 2013-09-16 2013-09-17 2013-10-08 2013-10-20 2013-10-25 2013-10-26 2013-10-29 2013-11-01 2013-11-05 2013-11-08 2013-11-14 2013-11-21 2013-11-24 2013-12-03 2013-12-05 2013-12-18 2013-12-20 2013-12-21 2013-12-27 2014-01-08 2014-01-14 2014-01-23 2014-02-05 2014-02-24 2014-02-26 2014-03-07 2014-03-17 2014-03-19 2014-03-26 2014-04-01 2014-04-08 2014-04-11 2014-04-13 2014-04-14 2014-04-15 2014-04-17 2014-04-21 2014-05-23 2014-05-26 2014-06-09 2014-06-11 2014-06-14 2014-06-20 2014-06-29 2014-07-10 2014-07-15 2014-08-02 2014-08-14 2014-08-26 2014-10-01 2014-10-09 2014-10-10 2014-10-25 2014-10-26 2014-11-08 2014-11-13 2014-11-25 2014-11-26 2014-12-01 2014-12-15 2014-12-24 2015-01-05 2015-01-06 2015-01-18 2015-01-23 2015-01-30 2015-02-04 2015-02-05 2015-02-12 2015-04-08 2015-04-17 2015-04-20 2015-04-26 2015-04-30 2015-05-06 2015-05-16 2015-05-23 2015-05-24 2015-06-04 2015-06-06 2015-06-08 2015-07-14 2015-07-15 2015-07-25 2015-07-27 2015-08-01 2015-08-03 2015-08-07 2015-08-21 2015-08-28 2015-08-30 2015-09-03 2015-09-05 2015-09-06 2015-09-09 2015-09-17 2015-09-20 2015-10-01 2010-01-01 2015-10-03
1 draws: 27 times 2 draws: 30 times 3 draws: 24 times 4 draws: 17 times 5 draws: 15 times 6 draws: 19 times 7 draws: 16 times 8 draws: 9 times 9 draws: 14 times 10 draws: 12 times 11 draws: 6 times 12 draws: 14 times 13 draws: 7 times 14 draws: 6 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 3 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 5 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 2 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 2 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 1 time 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 1 time 66 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 175 · chance 177.3 2nd smallest 73 · chance 66.5 3rd smallest 2 · chance 6.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 26.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.