Number 12

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

276times drawn · chance expected 269 +0.46σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

42longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 276 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, +0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 276 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest52 · chance 65.6
2nd smallest128 · chance 120.3
3rd smallest70 · chance 72.2
4th smallest24 · chance 16.7
5th smallest2 · chance 1.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 29.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 6 8 29 35 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-30	7	2nd	7 12 13 30 32
2015-09-23	5	4th	1 3 7 12 15
2015-09-18	10	2nd	1 12 14 19 36
2015-09-08	2	2nd	6 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-03-22	4	3rd	2 8 12 15 29
2015-03-18	2	2nd	7 12 16 24 25
2015-03-16	9	2nd	5 12 16 27 31
2015-03-07	8	2nd	11 12 15 20 38
2015-02-27	6	3rd	5 10 12 36 38
2015-02-21	15	1st	12 14 15 18 22
2015-02-06	9	2nd	1 12 21 23 27
2015-01-28	11	2nd	6 12 22 25 26
2015-01-17	1	3rd	6 11 12 21 22
2015-01-16	5	2nd	9 12 31 32 37
2015-01-11	1	2nd	11 12 19 29 36
2015-01-10	3	3rd	3 6 12 18 27
2015-01-07	10	2nd	10 12 17 28 39
2014-12-28	30	4th	2 5 9 12 14
2014-11-28	6	3rd	6 8 12 23 24
2014-11-22	11	1st	12 14 17 27 31
2014-11-11	13	3rd	2 3 12 25 28
2014-10-29	9	2nd	10 12 14 24 35
2014-10-20	3	2nd	6 12 21 31 35
2014-10-17	3	2nd	11 12 19 23 35
2014-10-14	3	2nd	8 12 24 31 34
2014-10-11	1	2nd	2 12 22 33 36
2014-10-10	5	4th	4 7 10 12 29
2014-10-05	7	4th	2 5 11 12 36
2014-09-28	7	4th	7 8 9 12 27
2014-09-21	2	2nd	7 12 17 23 27
2014-09-19	5	2nd	10 12 16 22 32
2014-09-14	8	1st	12 21 24 34 39
2014-09-06	8	3rd	1 8 12 23 33
2014-08-29	4	4th	6 7 11 12 26
2014-08-25	16	2nd	11 12 15 17 38
2014-08-09	2	1st	12 18 19 22 34
2014-08-07	10	3rd	8 9 12 24 28
2014-07-28	14	1st	12 19 29 37 39
2014-07-14	18	2nd	7 12 18 35 38
2014-06-26	3	1st	12 13 27 34 35
2014-06-23	4	3rd	3 7 12 15 22
2014-06-19	7	4th	1 2 11 12 19
2014-06-12	2	2nd	3 12 15 22 34
2014-06-10	1	1st	12 16 21 26 31
2014-06-09	10	2nd	4 12 18 24 30
2014-05-30	9	3rd	5 9 12 13 28
2014-05-21	18	2nd	11 12 24 30 39
2014-05-03	13	2nd	6 12 21 29 34
2014-04-20	13	2nd	5 12 15 23 34
2014-04-07	23	2nd	9 12 17 21 28
2014-03-15	3	3rd	1 6 12 29 30
2014-03-12	1	3rd	3 5 12 23 27
2014-03-11	7	2nd	1 12 15 21 29
2014-03-04	2	3rd	1 5 12 18 21
2014-03-02	12	3rd	7 9 12 13 18
2014-02-18	3	2nd	1 12 21 23 33
2014-02-15	6	5th	1 5 7 8 12
2014-02-09	15	4th	5 8 9 12 37
2014-01-25	7	3rd	3 9 12 22 37
2014-01-18	4	2nd	11 12 16 24 32
2014-01-14	42	2nd	4 12 24 27 31
2013-12-03	7	2nd	4 12 22 23 35
2013-11-26	22	2nd	6 12 19 32 36
2013-11-04	2	2nd	5 12 19 35 38
2013-11-02	7	1st	12 13 16 31 36
2013-10-26	16	2nd	4 12 16 21 22
2013-10-10	4	3rd	7 11 12 24 29
2013-10-06	2	2nd	6 12 24 27 35
2013-10-04	4	2nd	2 12 20 22 28
2013-09-30	1	2nd	10 12 13 16 38
2013-09-29	5	2nd	5 12 23 36 39
2013-09-24	5	1st	12 13 29 31 39
2013-09-19	4	1st	12 17 27 34 36
2013-09-15	9	3rd	7 9 12 14 39
2013-09-06	1	3rd	2 9 12 25 34
2013-09-05	20	2nd	8 12 17 19 26
2013-08-16	4	1st	12 26 28 29 37
2013-08-12	1	2nd	8 12 17 20 38
2013-08-11	3	2nd	7 12 14 17 29
2013-08-08	4	4th	4 5 6 12 31
2013-08-04	2	3rd	3 5 12 19 26
2013-08-02	10	2nd	10 12 14 25 30
2013-07-23	1	3rd	1 2 12 33 38
2013-07-22	1	1st	12 13 24 26 37
2013-07-21	5	1st	12 13 20 27 38
2013-07-16	8	3rd	2 4 12 26 27
2013-07-08	2	2nd	9 12 29 34 35
2013-07-06	2	2nd	9 12 17 18 31
2013-07-04	7	3rd	1 2 12 16 23
2013-06-27	2	2nd	3 12 14 21 39
2013-06-25	12	1st	12 15 24 25 35
2013-06-13	4	2nd	10 12 14 15 37
2013-06-09	17	3rd	5 8 12 16 35
2013-05-23	2	2nd	3 12 20 31 34
2013-05-21	17	2nd	2 12 15 32 33
2013-05-04	2	4th	6 7 11 12 33
2013-05-02	4	2nd	6 12 28 29 30
2013-04-28	1	3rd	8 11 12 26 28
2013-04-27	1	2nd	11 12 17 20 26
2013-04-26	6	1st	12 18 27 31 36
2013-04-20	15	2nd	4 12 20 30 35
2013-04-05	24	3rd	5 8 12 13 23
2013-03-12	9	2nd	10 12 28 34 39
2013-03-03	1	1st	12 16 23 27 30
2013-03-02	14	3rd	3 6 12 15 18
2013-02-16	6	3rd	4 6 12 23 36
2013-02-10	5	3rd	5 11 12 29 38
2013-02-05	6	3rd	6 7 12 23 39
2013-01-30	12	2nd	5 12 30 33 39
2013-01-18	10	1st	12 14 20 27 38
2013-01-08	10	3rd	2 10 12 26 37
2012-12-29	7	2nd	11 12 18 26 30
2012-12-22	3	2nd	5 12 18 27 34
2012-12-19	6	3rd	5 11 12 30 34
2012-12-13	8	4th	1 2 8 12 18
2012-12-05	1	2nd	7 12 23 27 37
2012-12-04	6	3rd	8 9 12 22 28
2012-11-28	1	3rd	2 9 12 35 38
2012-11-27	1	4th	2 5 10 12 26
2012-11-26	5	2nd	9 12 24 26 34
2012-11-21	6	2nd	7 12 14 25 39
2012-11-15	3	2nd	3 12 16 32 38
2012-11-12	3	2nd	11 12 17 25 37
2012-11-09	8	2nd	10 12 15 28 39
2012-11-01	4	3rd	3 7 12 22 32
2012-10-28	19	5th	1 7 8 11 12
2012-10-09	2	4th	1 6 7 12 33
2012-10-07	10	1st	12 22 25 31 35
2012-09-27	2	3rd	4 5 12 31 34
2012-09-25	6	1st	12 20 35 36 37
2012-09-19	5	2nd	10 12 15 27 34
2012-09-14	14	2nd	7 12 20 23 30
2012-08-31	1	3rd	2 4 12 29 35
2012-08-30	1	2nd	7 12 25 27 28
2012-08-29	5	2nd	6 12 16 20 31
2012-08-24	7	3rd	2 7 12 13 34
2012-08-17	3	2nd	6 12 16 30 33
2012-08-14	16	1st	12 16 18 32 33
2012-07-29	14	3rd	1 6 12 14 25
2012-07-15	6	2nd	6 12 26 28 38
2012-07-09	4	1st	12 14 16 17 33
2012-07-05	3	4th	5 8 10 12 36
2012-07-02	2	2nd	9 12 30 35 36
2012-06-30	2	3rd	3 10 12 21 22
2012-06-28	14	2nd	3 12 28 29 37
2012-06-14	7	2nd	6 12 19 28 37
2012-06-07	13	2nd	6 12 20 22 33
2012-05-25	15	2nd	10 12 18 27 35
2012-05-10	2	2nd	9 12 15 19 31
2012-05-08	2	3rd	9 10 12 26 28
2012-05-06	5	2nd	7 12 18 31 35
2012-05-01	5	2nd	11 12 17 28 35
2012-04-26	2	1st	12 22 26 31 33
2012-04-24	2	1st	12 15 19 22 23
2012-04-22	27	1st	12 14 20 22 24
2012-03-26	10	2nd	3 12 15 27 28
2012-03-16	3	2nd	9 12 18 34 36
2012-03-13	2	3rd	8 9 12 16 38
2012-03-11	9	1st	12 15 16 33 35
2012-03-02	2	2nd	4 12 15 16 32
2012-02-29	8	3rd	4 11 12 18 34
2012-02-21	4	2nd	11 12 15 17 27
2012-02-17	1	4th	2 4 9 12 37
2012-02-16	17	2nd	1 12 20 22 34
2012-01-30	11	1st	12 18 23 28 33
2012-01-19	2	3rd	1 10 12 19 29
2012-01-17	3	1st	12 14 26 28 30
2012-01-14	5	1st	12 16 19 31 33
2012-01-09	3	4th	2 8 11 12 38
2012-01-06	1	3rd	1 5 12 15 29
2012-01-05	10	2nd	4 12 17 23 34
2011-12-26	10	2nd	8 12 21 25 26
2011-12-16	21	3rd	4 11 12 17 35
2011-11-25	14	2nd	8 12 16 30 37
2011-11-11	2	2nd	8 12 13 19 39
2011-11-09	14	2nd	1 12 27 29 32
2011-10-26	1	3rd	3 6 12 26 36
2011-10-25	21	2nd	3 12 20 25 36
2011-10-04	1	2nd	10 12 29 33 36
2011-10-03	16	2nd	11 12 17 32 37
2011-09-17	2	2nd	2 12 15 33 38
2011-09-15	5	3rd	6 10 12 23 24
2011-09-10	1	2nd	2 12 20 29 37
2011-09-09	28	3rd	1 11 12 22 25
2011-08-09	14	2nd	2 12 18 20 26
2011-07-26	3	2nd	11 12 17 23 35
2011-07-23	16	2nd	9 12 13 16 27
2011-07-07	13	2nd	11 12 24 33 35
2011-06-24	18	2nd	6 12 14 15 33
2011-06-06	1	2nd	4 12 17 18 31
2011-06-05	13	2nd	6 12 31 34 35
2011-05-23	5	1st	12 22 25 28 34
2011-05-18	12	2nd	5 12 17 29 33
2011-05-06	7	2nd	4 12 25 26 34
2011-04-29	4	2nd	8 12 18 25 30
2011-04-25	1	2nd	4 12 22 28 38
2011-04-24	17	3rd	2 3 12 16 18
2011-04-06	8	4th	2 4 8 12 13
2011-03-29	3	3rd	2 9 12 19 30
2011-03-26	1	2nd	2 12 26 30 34
2011-03-25	29	3rd	6 8 12 32 37
2011-02-24	18	2nd	5 12 18 22 31
2011-02-06	3	2nd	1 12 21 26 27
2011-02-03	5	2nd	5 12 13 33 39
2011-01-29	3	1st	12 21 28 29 34
2011-01-26	3	2nd	11 12 13 19 35
2011-01-23	4	1st	12 16 22 26 39
2011-01-19	11	1st	12 15 33 35 36
2011-01-08	2	2nd	8 12 21 29 30
2011-01-06	8	2nd	1 12 20 22 23
2010-12-29	10	4th	1 9 10 12 37
2010-12-19	3	2nd	1 12 18 25 26
2010-12-16	18	1st	12 15 26 28 29
2010-11-28	3	2nd	3 12 23 29 30
2010-11-25	2	2nd	11 12 25 26 35
2010-11-23	3	3rd	3 9 12 27 37
2010-11-20	2	2nd	9 12 23 30 31
2010-11-18	3	1st	12 16 25 36 38
2010-11-15	4	2nd	10 12 27 31 34
2010-11-11	22	4th	7 8 10 12 28
2010-10-20	18	2nd	7 12 21 28 39
2010-10-02	4	1st	12 21 28 30 35
2010-09-28	8	2nd	10 12 16 20 35
2010-09-20	6	3rd	7 8 12 15 37
2010-09-14	21	3rd	2 4 12 16 22
2010-08-24	10	3rd	3 6 12 14 17
2010-08-14	5	3rd	1 6 12 31 32
2010-08-09	13	3rd	2 7 12 29 36
2010-07-27	1	4th	7 8 11 12 27
2010-07-26	1	2nd	4 12 32 35 39
2010-07-25	4	3rd	3 8 12 14 38
2010-07-21	9	3rd	3 6 12 37 38
2010-07-12	7	3rd	3 5 12 17 31
2010-07-05	4	2nd	7 12 24 26 29
2010-07-01	1	4th	1 3 7 12 20
2010-06-30	15	1st	12 20 27 31 36
2010-06-15	7	1st	12 15 23 29 35
2010-06-08	1	1st	12 21 22 27 38
2010-06-07	22	2nd	6 12 15 17 25
2010-05-16	2	2nd	4 12 19 35 36
2010-05-14	22	4th	1 4 8 12 29
2010-04-22	3	1st	12 16 18 34 39
2010-04-19	5	3rd	5 8 12 31 36
2010-04-14	8	1st	12 23 29 37 39
2010-04-06	13	3rd	1 9 12 17 32
2010-03-24	2	1st	12 34 36 37 38
2010-03-22	3	2nd	5 12 17 28 32
2010-03-19	11	2nd	10 12 25 28 33
2010-03-08	6	1st	12 16 20 30 39
2010-03-02	1	1st	12 16 18 27 30
2010-03-01	5	3rd	9 11 12 21 26
2010-02-24	11	3rd	2 8 12 20 38
2010-02-13	2	2nd	1 12 19 27 30
2010-02-11	1	2nd	7 12 24 28 37
2010-02-10	1	1st	12 31 37 38 39
2010-02-09	—	1st	12 20 22 29 36