Number 18

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

290times drawn · chance expected 269 +1.37σ

31draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

35longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 290 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, +1.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 31 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 290 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 31 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest24 · chance 23.5
2nd smallest77 · chance 88.8
3rd smallest128 · chance 112.2
4th smallest53 · chance 56.1
5th smallest8 · chance 9.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 30.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 31 33 6 15 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-02	1	4th	6 11 16 18 37
2015-09-01	10	2nd	16 18 21 31 38
2015-08-22	24	2nd	11 18 21 23 25
2015-07-29	4	4th	8 9

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-02-05	1	3rd	4 14 18 25 27
2015-02-04	13	4th	4 11 16 18 27
2015-01-22	3	3rd	7 9 18 23 29
2015-01-19	9	3rd	7 9 18 24 29
2015-01-10	17	4th	3 6 12 18 27
2014-12-24	15	2nd	4 18 26 28 36
2014-12-09	15	4th	8 13 16 18 24
2014-11-24	5	1st	18 19 21 25 30
2014-11-19	4	2nd	8 18 21 37 39
2014-11-15	2	3rd	10 17 18 38 39
2014-11-13	6	4th	1 4 6 18 22
2014-11-07	1	3rd	2 6 18 23 26
2014-11-06	1	3rd	2 11 18 23 33
2014-11-05	15	1st	18 25 31 36 39
2014-10-21	20	1st	18 25 29 30 36
2014-10-01	15	3rd	4 14 18 26 29
2014-09-16	1	1st	18 29 31 32 33
2014-09-15	20	4th	2 7 8 18 39
2014-08-26	2	4th	4 11 15 18 39
2014-08-24	5	2nd	1 18 24 28 35
2014-08-19	3	3rd	1 15 18 23 26
2014-08-16	2	2nd	16 18 21 25 35
2014-08-14	5	3rd	4 17 18 28 39
2014-08-09	4	2nd	12 18 19 22 34
2014-08-05	7	2nd	3 18 31 35 37
2014-07-29	3	4th	6 7 14 18 31
2014-07-26	1	1st	18 23 27 36 38
2014-07-25	1	2nd	6 18 25 30 36
2014-07-24	2	3rd	10 16 18 19 21
2014-07-22	8	3rd	6 11 18 31 37
2014-07-14	3	3rd	7 12 18 35 38
2014-07-11	3	2nd	14 18 19 37 38
2014-07-08	2	3rd	14 15 18 19 20
2014-07-06	2	3rd	6 15 18 30 32
2014-07-04	3	3rd	6 13 18 20 21
2014-07-01	1	3rd	13 14 18 22 33
2014-06-30	16	5th	7 9 11 14 18
2014-06-14	5	4th	4 15 17 18 20
2014-06-09	9	3rd	4 12 18 24 30
2014-05-31	12	4th	10 11 13 18 30
2014-05-19	1	3rd	2 10 18 19 34
2014-05-18	14	3rd	1 6 18 26 36
2014-05-04	18	4th	2 6 10 18 21
2014-04-16	4	3rd	13 14 18 34 39
2014-04-12	3	3rd	1 11 18 30 32
2014-04-09	1	3rd	6 13 18 29 33
2014-04-08	9	3rd	2 4 18 20 30
2014-03-30	2	2nd	3 18 23 27 37
2014-03-28	2	3rd	3 17 18 23 34
2014-03-26	6	3rd	2 4 18 27 31
2014-03-20	12	2nd	11 18 19 23 36
2014-03-08	4	2nd	1 18 26 32 34
2014-03-04	2	4th	1 5 12 18 21
2014-03-02	7	5th	7 9 12 13 18
2014-02-23	3	3rd	9 13 18 23 32
2014-02-20	20	3rd	13 17 18 20 24
2014-01-31	7	3rd	1 8 18 36 38
2014-01-24	5	2nd	5 18 20 22 38
2014-01-19	10	3rd	8 16 18 27 30
2014-01-09	7	3rd	5 16 18 27 36
2014-01-02	4	5th	2 5 7 14 18
2013-12-29	11	3rd	14 17 18 37 39
2013-12-18	3	3rd	4 17 18 20 36
2013-12-15	16	3rd	1 17 18 33 38
2013-11-29	12	1st	18 19 24 30 35
2013-11-17	16	2nd	2 18 21 28 37
2013-11-01	18	4th	4 13 16 18 37
2013-10-14	35	1st	18 28 33 35 37
2013-09-09	6	3rd	11 16 18 33 38
2013-09-03	6	2nd	3 18 31 33 35
2013-08-28	1	4th	7 13 16 18 25
2013-08-27	4	3rd	13 14 18 24 35
2013-08-23	14	1st	18 19 32 34 36
2013-08-09	34	2nd	15 18 23 31 34
2013-07-06	13	4th	9 12 17 18 31
2013-06-23	3	3rd	2 7 18 20 21
2013-06-20	6	3rd	7 16 18 29 35
2013-06-14	3	2nd	6 18 20 34 39
2013-06-11	5	2nd	11 18 20 34 35
2013-06-06	1	3rd	3 9 18 26 30
2013-06-05	3	5th	1 5 6 13 18
2013-06-02	1	2nd	15 18 22 25 34
2013-06-01	13	2nd	17 18 21 26 33
2013-05-19	14	3rd	15 17 18 28 35
2013-05-05	9	1st	18 23 26 35 38
2013-04-26	26	2nd	12 18 27 31 36
2013-03-31	18	2nd	13 18 29 36 38
2013-03-13	11	4th	1 7 15 18 19
2013-03-02	2	5th	3 6 12 15 18
2013-02-28	17	3rd	6 15 18 21 33
2013-02-11	3	2nd	17 18 23 26 36
2013-02-08	1	3rd	4 13 18 34 37
2013-02-07	5	3rd	5 9 18 24 29
2013-02-02	20	3rd	5 9 18 21 26
2013-01-13	3	4th	6 11 15 18 36
2013-01-10	8	1st	18 23 26 30 33
2013-01-02	4	3rd	3 4 18 22 39
2012-12-29	4	3rd	11 12 18 26 30
2012-12-25	3	4th	4 7 11 18 22
2012-12-22	9	3rd	5 12 18 27 34
2012-12-13	12	5th	1 2 8 12 18
2012-12-01	18	3rd	11 15 18 29 30
2012-11-13	2	3rd	10 11 18 25 39
2012-11-11	8	4th	7 9 16 18 24
2012-11-03	3	3rd	8 14 18 35 38
2012-10-31	2	3rd	9 11 18 21 36
2012-10-29	3	1st	18 24 27 32 35
2012-10-26	2	2nd	14 18 30 31 36
2012-10-24	5	3rd	1 15 18 20 26
2012-10-19	1	3rd	6 11 18 27 30
2012-10-18	10	2nd	14 18 23 26 27
2012-10-08	12	2nd	5 18 19 29 32
2012-09-26	2	2nd	2 18 19 35 36
2012-09-24	4	2nd	11 18 22 32 39
2012-09-20	14	3rd	13 17 18 19 37
2012-09-06	10	2nd	4 18 24 25 27
2012-08-27	8	3rd	2 10 18 29 35
2012-08-19	5	3rd	1 16 18 31 34
2012-08-14	2	3rd	12 16 18 32 33
2012-08-12	2	2nd	13 18 21 22 23
2012-08-10	8	2nd	4 18 22 26 33
2012-08-02	7	3rd	3 11 18 22 36
2012-07-26	3	1st	18 23 27 30 39
2012-07-23	16	2nd	3 18 21 30 31
2012-07-07	1	2nd	1 18 30 32 39
2012-07-06	7	4th	6 14 17 18 31
2012-06-29	5	2nd	1 18 31 33 38
2012-06-24	2	2nd	10 18 19 21 23
2012-06-22	3	4th	10 13 17 18 30
2012-06-19	1	2nd	2 18 27 32 38
2012-06-18	3	3rd	14 15 18 32 36
2012-06-15	2	1st	18 20 24 26 38
2012-06-13	1	3rd	7 16 18 22 36
2012-06-12	18	2nd	3 18 21 37 39
2012-05-25	1	3rd	10 12 18 27 35
2012-05-24	2	3rd	9 10 18 30 34
2012-05-22	16	4th	1 11 14 18 33
2012-05-06	2	3rd	7 12 18 31 35
2012-05-04	15	4th	4 7 13 18 39
2012-04-19	10	3rd	5 16 18 31 35
2012-04-09	18	2nd	10 18 29 33 38
2012-03-22	5	2nd	8 18 31 34 35
2012-03-17	1	3rd	11 17 18 24 36
2012-03-16	10	3rd	9 12 18 34 36
2012-03-06	6	1st	18 21 26 36 39
2012-02-29	2	4th	4 11 12 18 34
2012-02-27	1	3rd	8 9 18 23 38
2012-02-26	3	2nd	17 18 22 23 28
2012-02-23	24	2nd	1 18 19 20 28
2012-01-30	7	2nd	12 18 23 28 33
2012-01-23	12	3rd	3 5 18 32 36
2012-01-11	1	3rd	3 7 18 26 34
2012-01-10	3	2nd	17 18 23 25 32
2012-01-07	3	2nd	7 18 19 24 28
2012-01-04	3	3rd	15 17 18 19 29
2012-01-01	11	3rd	6 15 18 21 33
2011-12-21	6	3rd	8 16 18 33 36
2011-12-15	2	4th	9 15 16 18 24
2011-12-13	5	2nd	3 18 29 33 35
2011-12-08	34	4th	3 4 16 18 34
2011-11-04	1	2nd	3 18 19 22 30
2011-11-03	22	3rd	1 13 18 24 35
2011-10-12	5	3rd	5 15 18 19 33
2011-10-07	16	4th	2 6 14 18 26
2011-09-21	23	4th	13 15 17 18 28
2011-08-29	3	2nd	8 18 22 37 39
2011-08-25	10	2nd	16 18 31 37 39
2011-08-15	4	3rd	8 13 18 38 39
2011-08-09	3	3rd	2 12 18 20 26
2011-08-06	3	1st	18 24 29 33 38
2011-08-03	23	2nd	11 18 24 31 38
2011-07-11	1	3rd	6 16 18 19 32
2011-07-10	1	1st	18 20 24 33 38
2011-07-09	14	1st	18 19 21 27 34
2011-06-25	3	4th	6 11 15 18 34
2011-06-22	1	4th	2 5 6 18 32
2011-06-21	2	3rd	7 14 18 24 38
2011-06-19	2	2nd	17 18 20 21 31
2011-06-17	8	4th	5 6 11 18 32
2011-06-09	3	2nd	16 18 28 35 37
2011-06-06	13	4th	4 12 17 18 31
2011-05-24	5	1st	18 27 30 36 37
2011-05-19	7	2nd	14 18 28 31 39
2011-05-12	13	3rd	1 15 18 31 36
2011-04-29	2	3rd	8 12 18 25 30
2011-04-27	1	3rd	3 14 18 25 27
2011-04-26	2	2nd	16 18 34 35 37
2011-04-24	3	5th	2 3 12 16 18
2011-04-21	1	3rd	7 17 18 26 33
2011-04-20	11	1st	18 22 29 32 34
2011-04-08	11	3rd	4 14 18 28 33
2011-03-28	7	3rd	1 3 18 20 22
2011-03-21	1	2nd	2 18 19 26 37
2011-03-20	3	2nd	5 18 24 29 33
2011-03-17	2	3rd	6 17 18 23 24
2011-03-15	1	4th	3 4 17 18 31
2011-03-14	1	4th	6 7 15 18 25
2011-03-13	7	2nd	9 18 29 36 39
2011-03-06	1	3rd	8 11 18 30 35
2011-03-05	9	4th	6 8 15 18 35
2011-02-24	5	3rd	5 12 18 22 31
2011-02-19	5	1st	18 19 21 29 38
2011-02-14	27	3rd	9 10 18 19 31
2011-01-18	1	3rd	2 16 18 21 30
2011-01-17	3	1st	18 25 28 29 35
2011-01-14	3	2nd	5 18 25 26 33
2011-01-11	1	2nd	3 18 27 31 37
2011-01-10	7	2nd	10 18 19 29 37
2011-01-03	1	3rd	10 17 18 22 25
2011-01-02	2	3rd	7 15 18 30 32
2010-12-31	3	3rd	1 4 18 20 33
2010-12-28	8	3rd	11 14 18 33 35
2010-12-20	1	2nd	2 18 24 27 36
2010-12-19	4	3rd	1 12 18 25 26
2010-12-15	2	3rd	5 15 18 20 26
2010-12-13	12	2nd	6 18 19 24 34
2010-12-01	4	3rd	2 13 18 22 35
2010-11-27	10	3rd	7 15 18 33 34
2010-11-17	14	3rd	3 13 18 28 37
2010-11-03	1	3rd	1 9 18 32 38
2010-11-02	2	3rd	5 7 18 19 39
2010-10-31	1	4th	3 7 9 18 34
2010-10-30	3	3rd	9 16 18 19 35
2010-10-27	1	4th	9 10 16 18 28
2010-10-26	1	2nd	1 18 22 25 33
2010-10-25	1	3rd	10 15 18 20 31
2010-10-24	1	3rd	1 14 18 20 27
2010-10-23	4	3rd	4 5 18 28 32
2010-10-19	12	3rd	14 15 18 24 29
2010-10-07	4	3rd	1 6 18 27 33
2010-10-03	10	2nd	9 18 20 28 31
2010-09-23	1	3rd	2 14 18 28 30
2010-09-22	9	4th	3 8 9 18 37
2010-09-13	2	3rd	3 10 18 34 38
2010-09-11	16	4th	7 14 15 18 31
2010-08-26	3	2nd	14 18 20 33 35
2010-08-23	15	4th	6 7 8 18 20
2010-08-08	1	3rd	9 15 18 23 27
2010-08-07	4	4th	1 11 15 18 25
2010-08-03	3	4th	4 14 16 18 24
2010-07-31	8	2nd	5 18 24 30 33
2010-07-23	8	3rd	10 16 18 28 36
2010-07-15	9	3rd	10 15 18 19 35
2010-07-06	4	2nd	14 18 30 31 37
2010-07-02	7	4th	4 8 16 18 33
2010-06-25	1	3rd	10 16 18 22 31
2010-06-24	6	3rd	8 9 18 20 37
2010-06-18	14	3rd	4 17 18 31 38
2010-06-04	9	2nd	4 18 20 25 34
2010-05-26	16	3rd	10 17 18 33 38
2010-05-10	5	2nd	6 18 21 27 34
2010-05-05	13	2nd	11 18 24 27 30
2010-04-22	6	3rd	12 16 18 34 39
2010-04-16	13	3rd	4 6 18 36 38
2010-04-03	2	3rd	13 15 18 24 29
2010-04-01	3	3rd	2 17 18 31 32
2010-03-29	2	3rd	8 11 18 20 25
2010-03-27	1	3rd	5 13 18 19 30
2010-03-26	1	4th	1 2 8 18 23
2010-03-25	4	4th	6 7 8 18 35
2010-03-21	19	1st	18 22 25 35 38
2010-03-02	22	3rd	12 16 18 27 30
2010-02-08	6	2nd	10 18 19 24 31
2010-02-02	2	3rd	7 10 18 19 21
2010-01-31	30	2nd	16 18 21 24 31
2010-01-01	—	4th	3 7 8 18 22