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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

9

Number 9

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 20256/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 20256/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 20156/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012
42times drawn · chance expected 51 −1.34σ
9draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number
10.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
34longest completed wait · 52% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 42 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, −1.34σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 42 times in 442 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 9 draws now

34 draws: 2010-01-18 to 2010-04-0716 draws: 2010-04-07 to 2010-05-1511 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-06-097 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-263 draws: 2010-06-26 to 2010-07-036 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-1710 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-08-092 draws: 2010-08-09 to 2010-08-1415 draws: 2010-08-14 to 2010-09-189 draws: 2010-09-18 to 2010-10-098 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-10-275 draws: 2010-10-27 to 2010-11-089 draws: 2010-11-08 to 2010-11-2919 draws: 2010-11-29 to 2011-01-122 draws: 2011-01-12 to 2011-01-176 draws: 2011-01-17 to 2011-01-316 draws: 2011-01-31 to 2011-02-145 draws: 2011-02-14 to 2011-02-269 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-1924 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-05-1416 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-06-2021 draws: 2011-06-20 to 2011-08-084 draws: 2011-08-08 to 2011-08-1720 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-10-031 draws: 2011-10-03 to 2011-10-0515 draws: 2011-10-05 to 2011-11-093 draws: 2011-11-09 to 2011-11-162 draws: 2011-11-16 to 2011-11-2118 draws: 2011-11-21 to 2012-01-023 draws: 2012-01-02 to 2012-01-0916 draws: 2012-01-09 to 2012-02-151 draws: 2012-02-15 to 2012-02-185 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-02-299 draws: 2012-02-29 to 2012-03-213 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-2819 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-05-1416 draws: 2012-05-14 to 2012-06-203 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-276 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-07-1114 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-08-1324 draws: 2012-08-13 to 2012-10-08Still waiting — at least 9 draws since 2012-10-082010-01-182010-04-072010-05-152010-06-092010-06-262010-07-032010-07-172010-08-092010-08-142010-09-182010-10-092010-10-272010-11-082010-11-292011-01-122011-01-172011-01-312011-02-142011-02-262011-03-192011-05-142011-06-202011-08-082011-08-172011-10-032011-10-052011-11-092011-11-162011-11-212012-01-022012-01-092012-02-152012-02-182012-02-292012-03-212012-03-282012-05-142012-06-202012-06-272012-07-112012-08-132012-10-082010-01-022012-10-29

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 2 times2 draws: 3 times3 draws: 5 times4 draws: 1 time5 draws: 3 times6 draws: 4 times7 draws: 1 time8 draws: 1 time9 draws: 4 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 4 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 2 times20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 2 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest22 · chance 17.2
  • 2nd smallest13 · chance 17.7
  • 3rd smallest7 · chance 6.2
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.9
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.1
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

73638474915

Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 0.8 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2012-10-08241st91517323349
2012-08-13141st91820414550
2012-07-1163rd479122947
2012-06-27
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

3
1st
91214343638
2012-06-20161st91924293547
2012-05-14193rd129164650
2012-03-2831st91725284149
2012-03-2191st91026313851
2012-02-2951st91018263647
2012-02-1811st91529394049
2012-02-15162nd1914223340
2012-01-0931st91219263032
2012-01-02181st91721324349
2011-11-2121st92638424551
2011-11-1631st91521293738
2011-11-09152nd8914224850
2011-10-0512nd1921283236
2011-10-03201st91119244251
2011-08-1742nd7911133646
2011-08-08211st91727293646
2011-06-20163rd369203342
2011-05-14242nd7923344849
2011-03-1991st91113223849
2011-02-2651st91420344751
The other 18 appearances
2011-02-1462nd2920284043
2011-01-3161st91736384042
2011-01-1722nd5910214149
2011-01-12191st91020223645
2010-11-2993rd279121516
2010-11-0851st93536374849
2010-10-2783rd359192136
2010-10-0991st92122242747
2010-09-18151st91315243140
2010-08-1422nd7929354751
2010-08-09103rd469333747
2010-07-1762nd7910303237
2010-07-0332nd7917182133
2010-06-2672nd4915253842
2010-06-09112nd7915161728
2010-05-15161st92037414547
2010-04-07342nd8932384048
2010-01-18—3rd279274552