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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

31

Number 31

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 20256/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 20256/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 20156/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012
43times drawn · chance expected 51 −1.19σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 29% for any number
9.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
34longest completed wait · 52% chance of one at least that long
31 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 43 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, −1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

31

Number 31, draw by draw

Drawn 43 times in 442 draws · average wait 9.8 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 11 draws now

17 draws: 2010-02-13 to 2010-03-2427 draws: 2010-03-24 to 2010-05-265 draws: 2010-05-26 to 2010-06-0714 draws: 2010-06-07 to 2010-07-104 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-07-1912 draws: 2010-07-19 to 2010-08-163 draws: 2010-08-16 to 2010-08-2311 draws: 2010-08-23 to 2010-09-1834 draws: 2010-09-18 to 2010-12-065 draws: 2010-12-06 to 2010-12-1816 draws: 2010-12-18 to 2011-01-246 draws: 2011-01-24 to 2011-02-072 draws: 2011-02-07 to 2011-02-122 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-02-1621 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-04-062 draws: 2011-04-06 to 2011-04-113 draws: 2011-04-11 to 2011-04-1812 draws: 2011-04-18 to 2011-05-167 draws: 2011-05-16 to 2011-06-0111 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-275 draws: 2011-06-27 to 2011-07-091 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-07-118 draws: 2011-07-11 to 2011-07-305 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-08-106 draws: 2011-08-10 to 2011-08-243 draws: 2011-08-24 to 2011-08-318 draws: 2011-08-31 to 2011-09-1917 draws: 2011-09-19 to 2011-10-2916 draws: 2011-10-29 to 2011-12-054 draws: 2011-12-05 to 2011-12-1420 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2012-01-303 draws: 2012-01-30 to 2012-02-066 draws: 2012-02-06 to 2012-02-207 draws: 2012-02-20 to 2012-03-076 draws: 2012-03-07 to 2012-03-211 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-247 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-096 draws: 2012-04-09 to 2012-04-2332 draws: 2012-04-23 to 2012-07-092 draws: 2012-07-09 to 2012-07-1422 draws: 2012-07-14 to 2012-09-0313 draws: 2012-09-03 to 2012-10-03Still waiting — at least 11 draws since 2012-10-032010-02-132010-03-242010-05-262010-06-072010-07-102010-07-192010-08-162010-08-232010-09-182010-12-062010-12-182011-01-242011-02-072011-02-122011-02-162011-04-062011-04-112011-04-182011-05-162011-06-012011-06-272011-07-092011-07-112011-07-302011-08-102011-08-242011-08-312011-09-192011-10-292011-12-052011-12-142012-01-302012-02-062012-02-202012-03-072012-03-212012-03-242012-04-092012-04-232012-07-092012-07-142012-09-032012-10-032010-01-022012-10-29

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 2 times2 draws: 4 times3 draws: 4 times4 draws: 2 times5 draws: 4 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 3 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 2 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 1 time33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 31 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest1 · chance 0.4
  • 2nd smallest3 · chance 3.3
  • 3rd smallest10 · chance 10.6
  • 4th smallest19 · chance 15.6
  • 5th smallest8 · chance 10.5
  • 6th smallest2 · chance 2.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24537451727

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.8 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 31 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 31 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2012-10-03134th32127313739
2012-09-03224th61724313550
2012-07-1425th358173132
2012-07-09
← number 30Every numbernumber 32 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 31 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

32
4th
3511313740
2012-04-2363rd73031323850
2012-04-0973rd151631364145
2012-03-2414th182427313741
2012-03-2164th91026313851
2012-03-0773rd42531364248
2012-02-2065th7818273133
2012-02-0632nd243132374245
2012-01-30204th132426313442
2011-12-1443rd172731495051
2011-12-05164th4530313851
2011-10-29175th142325273137
2011-09-1984th151724313845
2011-08-3133rd152831414551
2011-08-2461st313643455051
2011-08-1053rd62431394144
2011-07-3083rd41331364649
2011-07-1112nd113133404445
2011-07-0954th162829314445
2011-06-27114th111419314245
2011-06-0173rd282931373852
The other 19 appearances
2011-05-16124th2824313449
2011-04-1834th72022314451
2011-04-1124th3517313637
2011-04-06216th51617202531
2011-02-1626th11217232531
2011-02-1224th51120314042
2011-02-0764th31213314146
2011-01-24165th6711223149
2010-12-1852nd293133363749
2010-12-06345th41013213149
2010-09-18115th91315243140
2010-08-2334th51618314352
2010-08-16125th161925293142
2010-07-1944th222627314048
2010-07-10144th141922313452
2010-06-0753rd42931324043
2010-05-26274th21024313234
2010-03-24173rd52031345051
2010-02-13—5th12427303147