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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

38

Number 38

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 20256/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 20256/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 20156/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012
57times drawn · chance expected 51 +0.89σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number
7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
40longest completed wait · 38% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 57 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, +0.89σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

38

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 57 times in 442 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 8 draws now

12 draws: 2010-01-23 to 2010-02-205 draws: 2010-02-20 to 2010-03-033 draws: 2010-03-03 to 2010-03-104 draws: 2010-03-10 to 2010-03-208 draws: 2010-03-20 to 2010-04-074 draws: 2010-04-07 to 2010-04-171 draws: 2010-04-17 to 2010-04-193 draws: 2010-04-19 to 2010-04-269 draws: 2010-04-26 to 2010-05-172 draws: 2010-05-17 to 2010-05-2214 draws: 2010-05-22 to 2010-06-231 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-06-265 draws: 2010-06-26 to 2010-07-0723 draws: 2010-07-07 to 2010-08-303 draws: 2010-08-30 to 2010-09-064 draws: 2010-09-06 to 2010-09-155 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-09-273 draws: 2010-09-27 to 2010-10-047 draws: 2010-10-04 to 2010-10-201 draws: 2010-10-20 to 2010-10-2313 draws: 2010-10-23 to 2010-11-224 draws: 2010-11-22 to 2010-12-0126 draws: 2010-12-01 to 2011-01-311 draws: 2011-01-31 to 2011-02-028 draws: 2011-02-02 to 2011-02-2111 draws: 2011-02-21 to 2011-03-1918 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-04-305 draws: 2011-04-30 to 2011-05-119 draws: 2011-05-11 to 2011-06-017 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-1840 draws: 2011-06-18 to 2011-09-1919 draws: 2011-09-19 to 2011-11-025 draws: 2011-11-02 to 2011-11-141 draws: 2011-11-14 to 2011-11-162 draws: 2011-11-16 to 2011-11-214 draws: 2011-11-21 to 2011-11-302 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2011-12-051 draws: 2011-12-05 to 2011-12-0715 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2012-01-1120 draws: 2012-01-11 to 2012-02-276 draws: 2012-02-27 to 2012-03-124 draws: 2012-03-12 to 2012-03-214 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-313 draws: 2012-03-31 to 2012-04-077 draws: 2012-04-07 to 2012-04-233 draws: 2012-04-23 to 2012-04-307 draws: 2012-04-30 to 2012-05-194 draws: 2012-05-19 to 2012-05-282 draws: 2012-05-28 to 2012-06-0211 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-271 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-06-3010 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-07-232 draws: 2012-07-23 to 2012-07-2811 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-08-2217 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-10-014 draws: 2012-10-01 to 2012-10-10Still waiting — at least 8 draws since 2012-10-102010-01-232010-02-202010-03-032010-03-102010-03-202010-04-072010-04-172010-04-192010-04-262010-05-172010-05-222010-06-232010-06-262010-07-072010-08-302010-09-062010-09-152010-09-272010-10-042010-10-202010-10-232010-11-222010-12-012011-01-312011-02-022011-02-212011-03-192011-04-302011-05-112011-06-012011-06-182011-09-192011-11-022011-11-142011-11-162011-11-212011-11-302011-12-052011-12-072012-01-112012-02-272012-03-122012-03-212012-03-312012-04-072012-04-232012-04-302012-05-192012-05-282012-06-022012-06-272012-06-302012-07-232012-07-282012-08-222012-10-012012-10-102010-01-022012-10-29

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 7 times2 draws: 5 times3 draws: 6 times4 draws: 9 times5 draws: 5 times6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 2 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 1 time41 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest2 · chance 0.9
  • 3rd smallest7 · chance 5.9
  • 4th smallest14 · chance 17.2
  • 5th smallest25 · chance 22.4
  • 6th smallest9 · chance 10.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17469112129

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2012-10-1046th112021323438
2012-10-01175th51121253842
2012-08-22115th172732343847
2012-07-2825th202229363841
2012-07-23104th61726384950
2012-06-3014th121537384452
2012-06-27116th91214343638
2012-06-0224th112837383952
2012-05-2842nd253840424951
2012-05-1976th248242938
2012-04-3034th51732384552
2012-04-2375th73031323850
2012-04-0734th61432384649
2012-03-3144th212233384649
2012-03-2145th91026313851
2012-03-1265th31923273841
2012-02-27204th112136383946
2012-01-11156th31118232938
2011-12-0715th131718213851
2011-12-0525th4530313851
2011-11-3043rd1238404446
2011-11-2123rd92638424551
2011-11-1616th91521293738
2011-11-1455th71229363848
The other 33 appearances
2011-11-02194th212232384349
2011-09-19405th151724313845
2011-06-1875th51923363845
2011-06-0195th28
← number 37Every numbernumber 39 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

29
31
37
38
52
2011-05-1155th151825273847
2011-04-30183rd42838454752
2011-03-19115th91113223849
2011-02-2186th1610233038
2011-02-0214th31024384041
2011-01-31264th91736384042
2010-12-0146th21517182038
2010-11-22134th71322384546
2010-10-2315th21013293842
2010-10-2075th82023243847
2010-10-0434th7828384146
2010-09-2755th101719373844
2010-09-1545th52024303839
2010-09-0632nd143839404350
2010-08-30233rd222538404447
2010-07-0755th71620273850
2010-06-2615th4915253842
2010-06-23145th2718373846
2010-05-2224th111626384252
2010-05-1793rd23738434647
2010-04-2633rd13338394452
2010-04-1916th41830333538
2010-04-1745th31020363851
2010-04-0784th8932384048
2010-03-2045th101127373846
2010-03-1035th151723363844
2010-03-0355th161924293841
2010-02-20123rd193438394048
2010-01-23—6th41221263338