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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

7

Number 7

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 20256/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 20256/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 20156/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012
62times drawn · chance expected 51 +1.64σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 78% for any number
7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
22longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long
7 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 62 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, +1.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

7

Number 7, draw by draw

Drawn 62 times in 442 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 3 draws now

3 draws: 2010-01-02 to 2010-01-094 draws: 2010-01-09 to 2010-01-186 draws: 2010-01-18 to 2010-02-011 draws: 2010-02-01 to 2010-02-033 draws: 2010-02-03 to 2010-02-1013 draws: 2010-02-10 to 2010-03-136 draws: 2010-03-13 to 2010-03-271 draws: 2010-03-27 to 2010-03-297 draws: 2010-03-29 to 2010-04-144 draws: 2010-04-14 to 2010-04-2411 draws: 2010-04-24 to 2010-05-199 draws: 2010-05-19 to 2010-06-096 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-233 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-06-301 draws: 2010-06-30 to 2010-07-032 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-073 draws: 2010-07-07 to 2010-07-141 draws: 2010-07-14 to 2010-07-179 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-08-073 draws: 2010-08-07 to 2010-08-146 draws: 2010-08-14 to 2010-08-2816 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-10-041 draws: 2010-10-04 to 2010-10-065 draws: 2010-10-06 to 2010-10-187 draws: 2010-10-18 to 2010-11-038 draws: 2010-11-03 to 2010-11-223 draws: 2010-11-22 to 2010-11-2911 draws: 2010-11-29 to 2010-12-2513 draws: 2010-12-25 to 2011-01-241 draws: 2011-01-24 to 2011-01-2615 draws: 2011-01-26 to 2011-03-0211 draws: 2011-03-02 to 2011-03-289 draws: 2011-03-28 to 2011-04-186 draws: 2011-04-18 to 2011-05-025 draws: 2011-05-02 to 2011-05-146 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-2812 draws: 2011-05-28 to 2011-06-253 draws: 2011-06-25 to 2011-07-026 draws: 2011-07-02 to 2011-07-168 draws: 2011-07-16 to 2011-08-036 draws: 2011-08-03 to 2011-08-175 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-08-2919 draws: 2011-08-29 to 2011-10-124 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-10-227 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-11-073 draws: 2011-11-07 to 2011-11-146 draws: 2011-11-14 to 2011-11-285 draws: 2011-11-28 to 2011-12-101 draws: 2011-12-10 to 2011-12-1220 draws: 2011-12-12 to 2012-01-285 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-085 draws: 2012-02-08 to 2012-02-205 draws: 2012-02-20 to 2012-03-0322 draws: 2012-03-03 to 2012-04-2317 draws: 2012-04-23 to 2012-06-041 draws: 2012-06-04 to 2012-06-0615 draws: 2012-06-06 to 2012-07-1121 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-08-295 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-1015 draws: 2012-09-10 to 2012-10-153 draws: 2012-10-15 to 2012-10-22Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2012-10-222010-01-022010-01-092010-01-182010-02-012010-02-032010-02-102010-03-132010-03-272010-03-292010-04-142010-04-242010-05-192010-06-092010-06-232010-06-302010-07-032010-07-072010-07-142010-07-172010-08-072010-08-142010-08-282010-10-042010-10-062010-10-182010-11-032010-11-222010-11-292010-12-252011-01-242011-01-262011-03-022011-03-282011-04-182011-05-022011-05-142011-05-282011-06-252011-07-022011-07-162011-08-032011-08-172011-08-292011-10-122011-10-222011-11-072011-11-142011-11-282011-12-102011-12-122012-01-282012-02-082012-02-202012-03-032012-04-232012-06-042012-06-062012-07-112012-08-292012-09-102012-10-152012-10-222010-01-022012-10-29

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 8 times2 draws: 1 time3 draws: 9 times4 draws: 3 times5 draws: 8 times6 draws: 9 times7 draws: 3 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 1 time17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest39 · chance 32.2
  • 2nd smallest20 · chance 23.6
  • 3rd smallest3 · chance 5.6
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.5
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11364746918

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • The number 7 ×1.15

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 7 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2012-10-2232nd3725283552
2012-10-15151st72327364248
2012-09-1051st71216172944
2012-08-29
← number 6Every numbernumber 8 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

21
1st
71633465152
2012-07-11152nd479122947
2012-06-0613rd567103752
2012-06-04172nd178303347
2012-04-23221st73031323850
2012-03-0351st71416343946
2012-02-2051st7818273133
2012-02-0851st71128373946
2012-01-28203rd257111429
2011-12-1211st71115264151
2011-12-1051st71015164044
2011-11-2862nd5714153641
2011-11-1431st71229363848
2011-11-0771st73344464951
2011-10-2242nd3710303950
2011-10-12191st71718474850
2011-08-2951st71213234243
2011-08-1761st7911133646
2011-08-0382nd3710283551
2011-07-1662nd6711475052
2011-07-0231st71830424850
The other 38 appearances
2011-06-25121st71119273643
2011-05-2861st72132394048
2011-05-1451st7923344849
2011-05-0261st71429343649
2011-04-1891st72022314451
2011-03-28112nd4718293649
2011-03-02151st7811223044
2011-01-2611st71823364151
2011-01-24132nd6711223149
2010-12-25111st72527434549
2010-11-2932nd279121516
2010-11-2281st71322384546
2010-11-0371st71517404952
2010-10-1851st71218192729
2010-10-0612nd4712224247
2010-10-04161st7828384146
2010-08-2862nd2722344647
2010-08-1431st7929354751
2010-08-0792nd4713374547
2010-07-1711st7910303237
2010-07-1431st71624252749
2010-07-0721st71620273850
2010-07-0311st7917182133
2010-06-3031st7812232636
2010-06-2362nd2718373846
2010-06-0991st7915161728
2010-05-19112nd6736394751
2010-04-2443rd157192930
2010-04-1471st71320214147
2010-03-2912nd4714263552
2010-03-2762nd2710194247
2010-03-13131st71039424546
2010-02-1032nd1711213043
2010-02-0311st71123242635
2010-02-0161st7811134249
2010-01-1842nd279274552
2010-01-0931st72128364550
2010-01-02—2nd2714182334