Number 24

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

48times drawn · chance expected 51 −0.45σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

44longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

24 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 48 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, −0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 24, draw by draw

Drawn 48 times in 442 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 2.0
2nd smallest13 · chance 9.6
3rd smallest20 · chance 16.9
4th smallest12 · chance 13.7
5th smallest1 · chance 5.1
6th smallest0 · chance 0.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 27 31 39 41 42

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.5 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2012-10-27	13	3rd	8 12 24 25 26 52
2012-09-26	3	2nd	4 24 26 39 40 44
2012-09-19	1	4th	5 21 23 24 40 41
2012-09-17	1	2nd	5 24 36 37 39 48
2012-09-15	5	3rd	11 19 24 26 41 45
2012-09-03	30	3rd	6 17 24 31 35 50
2012-06-25	2	2nd	1 24 26 28 41 48
2012-06-20	11	3rd	9 19 24 29 35 47
2012-05-26	3	4th	2 15 22 24 27 50
2012-05-19	8	4th	2 4 8 24 29 38
2012-04-28	4	4th	3 4 12 24 25 42
2012-04-18	11	4th	3 8 22 24 26 39
2012-03-24	12	2nd	18 24 27 31 37 41
2012-02-25	8	3rd	12 21 24 26 34 51
2012-02-06	3	1st	24 31 32 37 42 45
2012-01-30	34	2nd	13 24 26 31 34 42
2011-11-12	8	4th	1 17 23 24 43 47
2011-10-24	9	2nd	18 24 42 48 50 51
2011-10-03	6	4th	9 11 19 24 42 51
2011-09-19	3	3rd	15 17 24 31 38 45
2011-09-12	9	2nd	14 24 26 30 39 51
2011-08-22	5	2nd	4 24 35 39 46 50
2011-08-10	8	2nd	6 24 31 39 41 44
2011-07-23	1	5th	4 14 17 20 24 34

The other 24 appearances

2011-07-20	16	3rd	6 20 24 41 44 50
2011-06-13	6	4th	11 12 17 24 49 51
2011-05-30	3	3rd	11 12 24 27 33 52
2011-05-23	3	3rd	8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Lotto · every number