Number 44

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2012 rules — 442 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

54times drawn · chance expected 51 +0.45σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 33% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

32longest completed wait · 70% chance of one at least that long

44 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 54 times in 442 draws against 51.0 expected, +0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 44, draw by draw

Drawn 54 times in 442 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 44 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1
3rd smallest1 · chance 1.2
4th smallest7 · chance 7.9
5th smallest29 · chance 22.7
6th smallest17 · chance 22.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 20 16 22 15 33

Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 0.3 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 44 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 44 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2012-10-06	4	4th	14 22 32 44 46 51
2012-09-26	1	6th	4 24 26 39 40 44
2012-09-24	6	4th	3 13 20 44 49 51
2012-09-10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 44 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2011-07-09	15	5th	16 28 29 31 44 45
2011-06-04	11	5th	8 13 28 34 44 51
2011-05-09	7	5th	20 28 33 40 44 46
2011-04-23	2	5th	8 16 26 37 44 48
2011-04-18	2	5th	7 20 22 31 44 51
2011-04-13	2	5th	8 13 21 26 44 46
2011-04-09	11	6th	5 13 22 25 42 44
2011-03-14	5	6th	13 18 19 22 25 44
2011-03-02	20	6th	7 8 11 22 30 44
2011-01-15	4	5th	15 25 37 41 44 52
2011-01-05	7	6th	2 4 12 16 34 44
2010-12-20	29	4th	18 20 37 44 47 48
2010-10-13	5	6th	5 20 32 33 41 44
2010-10-02	2	5th	5 16 17 23 44 47
2010-09-27	1	6th	10 17 19 37 38 44
2010-09-25	5	5th	12 13 14 22 44 45
2010-09-13	4	5th	4 17 20 28 44 49
2010-09-04	2	6th	13 18 25 36 42 44
2010-08-30	5	5th	22 25 38 40 44 47
2010-08-18	26	5th	6 19 39 41 44 45
2010-06-19	1	5th	4 16 32 34 44 47
2010-06-16	8	6th	1 5 15 21 35 44
2010-05-29	9	5th	8 13 23 34 44 51
2010-05-08	5	4th	10 20 33 44 47 52
2010-04-26	11	5th	1 33 38 39 44 52
2010-03-31	6	4th	2 3 26 44 51 52
2010-03-17	3	6th	6 21 24 29 30 44
2010-03-10	2	6th	15 17 23 36 38 44
2010-03-06	17	5th	15 25 32 36 44 47
2010-01-25	—	5th	15 17 24 32 44 52