Number 14

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 rules — 776 draws, 5 from 1–70 (an earlier era).

68times drawn · chance expected 55 +1.75σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number

11.4average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

49longest completed wait · 86% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 68 times in 776 draws against 55.4 expected, +1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 68 times in 776 draws · average wait 11.4 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest26 · chance 28.9
2nd smallest30 · chance 28.3
3rd smallest12 · chance 9.4
4th smallest0 · chance 1.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 9 12 25 26 31

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 69 numbers; chance expected about 1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-03-04	8	1st	14 19 47 52 70
2025-02-04	6	1st	14 24 31 53 54
2025-01-14	6	2nd	4 14 35 49 62
2024-12-24	4	2nd	11 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-04-12	8	3rd	2 8 14 20 31
2022-03-15	36	2nd	9 14 28 59 60
2021-11-09	4	2nd	9 14 16 26 49
2021-10-26	1	2nd	6 14 19 56 62
2021-10-22	15	2nd	9 14 26 29 66
2021-08-31	21	2nd	8 14 31 58 68
2021-06-18	6	1st	14 36 44 46 53
2021-05-28	1	2nd	10 14 20 47 70
2021-05-25	19	1st	14 21 31 34 54
2021-03-19	10	2nd	9 14 40 58 69
2021-02-12	2	2nd	5 14 24 25 27
2021-02-05	7	1st	14 17 28 29 44
2021-01-12	17	2nd	12 14 26 28 33
2020-11-13	4	3rd	6 7 14 28 59
2020-10-30	9	1st	14 19 34 39 59
2020-09-29	20	1st	14 39 43 44 67
2020-07-21	11	1st	14 25 26 41 43
2020-06-12	30	2nd	9 14 57 67 70
2020-02-28	6	3rd	2 3 14 41 64
2020-02-07	31	2nd	9 14 27 36 52
2019-10-22	2	3rd	5 11 14 23 25
2019-10-15	1	3rd	4 12 14 35 70
2019-10-11	5	1st	14 22 30 37 60
2019-09-24	10	2nd	6 14 24 42 46
2019-08-20	1	2nd	8 14 25 51 63
2019-08-16	17	2nd	4 14 24 26 46
2019-06-18	7	2nd	12 14 22 24 48
2019-05-24	16	1st	14 41 44 56 62
2019-03-29	1	2nd	5 14 15 62 66
2019-03-26	8	2nd	4 14 22 43 58
2019-02-26	5	3rd	10 12 14 24 60
2019-02-08	26	1st	14 24 31 42 48
2018-11-09	23	2nd	8 14 27 57 67
2018-08-21	9	1st	14 16 19 38 57
2018-07-20	12	2nd	1 14 30 44 62
2018-06-08	4	1st	14 30 33 44 56
2018-05-25	4	2nd	11 14 51 64 68
2018-05-11	15	1st	14 38 40 53 70
2018-03-20	9	1st	14 38 51 64 70
2018-02-16	3	1st	14 38 48 53 58
2018-02-06	1	1st	14 17 25 48 58
2018-02-02	17	3rd	1 4 14 17 40
2017-12-05	6	1st	14 15 37 42 67
2017-11-14	—	2nd	1 14 21 22 28