Number 58

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 rules — 776 draws, 5 from 1–70 (an earlier era).

61times drawn · chance expected 55 +0.78σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 60% for any number

12.7average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

89longest completed wait · 8% chance of one at least that long

58 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 61 times in 776 draws against 55.4 expected, +0.78σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 58, draw by draw

Drawn 61 times in 776 draws · average wait 12.7 draws · longest completed wait 89 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 58 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest8 · chance 7.4
4th smallest27 · chance 24.8
5th smallest25 · chance 27.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 4 14 22 48 7

Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 58 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 58 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-03-07	5	4th	8 20 48 58 60
2025-02-18	19	4th	1 20 25 58 61
2024-12-13	11	4th	36 43 52 58 65
2024-11-05	4	5th	2 24

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 58 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-01-11	6	5th	2 3 19 52 58
2021-12-21	5	3rd	25 31 58 64 67
2021-12-03	3	4th	22 45 48 58 61
2021-11-23	6	5th	7 24 54 57 58
2021-11-02	18	4th	5 10 26 58 65
2021-08-31	26	4th	8 14 31 58 68
2021-06-01	15	4th	7 11 33 58 63
2021-04-09	6	4th	22 26 27 58 66
2021-03-19	3	4th	9 14 40 58 69
2021-03-09	11	4th	4 33 46 58 65
2021-01-29	6	3rd	4 44 58 59 70
2021-01-08	12	5th	3 6 16 18 58
2020-11-27	5	5th	4 10 27 35 58
2020-11-10	6	4th	23 45 53 58 62
2020-10-20	18	4th	46 54 57 58 66
2020-08-18	7	5th	4 18 26 27 58
2020-07-24	17	5th	8 33 39 54 58
2020-05-26	15	3rd	34 52 58 59 62
2020-04-03	5	5th	24 38 44 57 58
2020-03-17	3	4th	20 27 28 58 59
2020-03-06	34	4th	15 48 56 58 70
2019-11-08	6	5th	3 4 10 39 58
2019-10-18	43	2nd	18 58 60 65 67
2019-05-21	12	5th	10 50 55 56 58
2019-04-09	2	5th	11 22 34 44 58
2019-04-02	2	3rd	33 47 58 59 64
2019-03-26	1	5th	4 14 22 43 58
2019-03-22	19	3rd	7 36 58 60 62
2019-01-15	66	3rd	29 52 58 60 62
2018-05-29	22	4th	2 11 55 58 67
2018-03-13	5	3rd	6 30 58 60 61
2018-02-23	2	5th	7 11 13 19 58
2018-02-16	3	5th	14 38 48 53 58
2018-02-06	14	5th	14 17 25 48 58
2017-12-19	9	5th	28 37 39 42 58
2017-11-17	2	4th	3 26 55 58 70
2017-11-10	—	5th	6 23 38 42 58