Number 11

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 rules — 776 draws, 5 from 1–70 (an earlier era).

61times drawn · chance expected 55 +0.78σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

12.6average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

63longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 61 times in 776 draws against 55.4 expected, +0.78σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 61 times in 776 draws · average wait 12.6 draws · longest completed wait 63 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest33 · chance 32.1
2nd smallest21 · chance 22.9
3rd smallest7 · chance 5.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 44 46 7 29 31

Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-04-04	1	1st	11 28 35 37 69
2025-04-01	10	1st	11 12 21 29 49
2025-02-25	3	3rd	4 8 11 32 52
2025-02-14	15	1st	11 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-02-18	2	2nd	6 11 50 63 68
2022-02-11	3	1st	11 16 23 24 30
2022-02-01	34	1st	11 24 38 62 66
2021-10-05	36	2nd	7 11 18 30 36
2021-06-01	18	2nd	7 11 33 58 63
2021-03-30	7	1st	11 37 47 53 56
2021-03-05	2	2nd	10 11 17 27 54
2021-02-26	12	1st	11 15 37 62 64
2021-01-15	27	2nd	3 11 12 38 43
2020-10-13	1	1st	11 44 45 46 70
2020-10-09	14	2nd	5 11 25 27 64
2020-08-21	18	1st	11 15 31 42 63
2020-06-19	10	1st	11 34 36 52 66
2020-05-15	10	1st	11 17 32 33 46
2020-04-10	25	2nd	2 11 21 57 60
2020-01-14	24	2nd	9 11 13 31 47
2019-10-22	5	2nd	5 11 14 23 25
2019-10-04	8	1st	11 38 44 48 70
2019-09-06	2	2nd	4 11 13 19 31
2019-08-30	2	3rd	3 9 11 34 39
2019-08-23	5	1st	11 15 37 54 68
2019-08-06	1	1st	11 17 31 43 55
2019-08-02	2	1st	11 20 26 48 70
2019-07-26	21	3rd	4 6 11 43 48
2019-05-14	8	1st	11 59 66 67 68
2019-04-16	2	1st	11 29 34 48 54
2019-04-09	57	1st	11 22 34 44 58
2018-09-21	11	3rd	1 2 11 52 64
2018-08-14	15	1st	11 26 44 45 46
2018-06-22	1	3rd	2 6 11 27 44
2018-06-19	1	1st	11 13 28 65 70
2018-06-15	5	2nd	1 11 37 47 51
2018-05-29	1	2nd	2 11 55 58 67
2018-05-25	16	1st	11 14 51 64 68
2018-03-30	10	1st	11 28 31 46 59
2018-02-23	11	2nd	7 11 13 19 58
2018-01-16	—	2nd	3 11 23 29 59