Number 30

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 rules — 776 draws, 5 from 1–70 (an earlier era).

56times drawn · chance expected 55 +0.08σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number

13.6average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

75longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 56 times in 776 draws against 55.4 expected, +0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 56 times in 776 draws · average wait 13.6 draws · longest completed wait 75 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 5.9
2nd smallest21 · chance 18.6
3rd smallest22 · chance 20.5
4th smallest7 · chance 9.5
5th smallest2 · chance 1.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

15 28 38 42 56 60

Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 3 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-02-28	5	3rd	9 19 30 35 66
2025-02-11	6	2nd	7 30 39 41 70
2025-01-21	43	2nd	27 30 56 64 65
2024-08-23	7	2nd	28 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-12-31	9	3rd	2 5 30 46 61
2021-11-30	5	4th	7 8 26 30 39
2021-11-12	11	1st	30 32 42 46 48
2021-10-05	2	4th	7 11 18 30 36
2021-09-28	20	2nd	18 30 43 68 69
2021-07-20	13	3rd	10 26 30 52 57
2021-06-04	11	2nd	4 30 34 41 64
2021-04-27	1	3rd	15 22 30 41 42
2021-04-23	75	4th	4 28 29 30 60
2020-08-04	8	3rd	2 22 30 42 62
2020-07-07	19	4th	16 20 25 30 43
2020-05-01	30	2nd	28 30 31 35 66
2020-01-17	5	3rd	3 25 30 54 70
2019-12-31	4	1st	30 44 49 53 56
2019-12-17	10	2nd	22 30 53 55 56
2019-11-12	9	2nd	19 30 44 56 65
2019-10-11	7	3rd	14 22 30 37 60
2019-09-17	25	3rd	12 15 30 50 65
2019-06-21	16	2nd	13 30 36 48 62
2019-04-26	1	4th	9 17 23 30 46
2019-04-23	25	3rd	7 24 30 48 67
2019-01-25	18	3rd	8 16 30 38 61
2018-11-23	20	3rd	7 10 30 33 59
2018-09-14	1	2nd	23 30 40 43 66
2018-09-11	11	2nd	15 30 51 62 67
2018-08-03	4	3rd	9 28 30 54 60
2018-07-20	12	3rd	1 14 30 44 62
2018-06-08	25	2nd	14 30 33 44 56
2018-03-13	14	2nd	6 30 58 60 61
2018-01-23	5	3rd	2 6 30 31 55
2018-01-05	4	2nd	28 30 39 59 70
2017-12-22	—	3rd	1 20 30 33 42