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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Texas Two Step · every number

1

Number 1

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 rules — 1,266 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 20254/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 20255/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 20224/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022
151times drawn · chance expected 145 +0.56σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number
8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
38longest completed wait · 82% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 151 times in 1,266 draws against 144.7 expected, +0.56σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

1

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 151 times in 1,266 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 4 draws now

3 draws: 2010-02-22 to 2010-03-0438 draws: 2010-03-04 to 2010-07-1521 draws: 2010-07-15 to 2010-09-2716 draws: 2010-09-27 to 2010-11-225 draws: 2010-11-22 to 2010-12-0919 draws: 2010-12-09 to 2011-02-146 draws: 2011-02-14 to 2011-03-078 draws: 2011-03-07 to 2011-04-043 draws: 2011-04-04 to 2011-04-144 draws: 2011-04-14 to 2011-04-2820 draws: 2011-04-28 to 2011-07-072 draws: 2011-07-07 to 2011-07-1415 draws: 2011-07-14 to 2011-09-054 draws: 2011-09-05 to 2011-09-195 draws: 2011-09-19 to 2011-10-061 draws: 2011-10-06 to 2011-10-102 draws: 2011-10-10 to 2011-10-174 draws: 2011-10-17 to 2011-10-3114 draws: 2011-10-31 to 2011-12-196 draws: 2011-12-19 to 2012-01-093 draws: 2012-01-09 to 2012-01-1922 draws: 2012-01-19 to 2012-04-0515 draws: 2012-04-05 to 2012-05-287 draws: 2012-05-28 to 2012-06-215 draws: 2012-06-21 to 2012-07-0926 draws: 2012-07-09 to 2012-10-089 draws: 2012-10-08 to 2012-11-088 draws: 2012-11-08 to 2012-12-063 draws: 2012-12-06 to 2012-12-1719 draws: 2012-12-17 to 2013-02-2110 draws: 2013-02-21 to 2013-03-281 draws: 2013-03-28 to 2013-04-0116 draws: 2013-04-01 to 2013-05-2724 draws: 2013-05-27 to 2013-08-191 draws: 2013-08-19 to 2013-08-2225 draws: 2013-08-22 to 2013-11-186 draws: 2013-11-18 to 2013-12-0913 draws: 2013-12-09 to 2014-01-231 draws: 2014-01-23 to 2014-01-272 draws: 2014-01-27 to 2014-02-0310 draws: 2014-02-03 to 2014-03-104 draws: 2014-03-10 to 2014-03-2413 draws: 2014-03-24 to 2014-05-081 draws: 2014-05-08 to 2014-05-1222 draws: 2014-05-12 to 2014-07-2817 draws: 2014-07-28 to 2014-09-258 draws: 2014-09-25 to 2014-10-236 draws: 2014-10-23 to 2014-11-131 draws: 2014-11-13 to 2014-11-1712 draws: 2014-11-17 to 2014-12-298 draws: 2014-12-29 to 2015-01-262 draws: 2015-01-26 to 2015-02-0211 draws: 2015-02-02 to 2015-03-127 draws: 2015-03-12 to 2015-04-069 draws: 2015-04-06 to 2015-05-075 draws: 2015-05-07 to 2015-05-252 draws: 2015-05-25 to 2015-06-0116 draws: 2015-06-01 to 2015-07-2715 draws: 2015-07-27 to 2015-09-171 draws: 2015-09-17 to 2015-09-218 draws: 2015-09-21 to 2015-10-1912 draws: 2015-10-19 to 2015-11-3019 draws: 2015-11-30 to 2016-02-042 draws: 2016-02-04 to 2016-02-111 draws: 2016-02-11 to 2016-02-152 draws: 2016-02-15 to 2016-02-2210 draws: 2016-02-22 to 2016-03-289 draws: 2016-03-28 to 2016-04-285 draws: 2016-04-28 to 2016-05-162 draws: 2016-05-16 to 2016-05-237 draws: 2016-05-23 to 2016-06-1615 draws: 2016-06-16 to 2016-08-0831 draws: 2016-08-08 to 2016-11-242 draws: 2016-11-24 to 2016-12-0111 draws: 2016-12-01 to 2017-01-098 draws: 2017-01-09 to 2017-02-061 draws: 2017-02-06 to 2017-02-0917 draws: 2017-02-09 to 2017-04-1015 draws: 2017-04-10 to 2017-06-0116 draws: 2017-06-01 to 2017-07-278 draws: 2017-07-27 to 2017-08-244 draws: 2017-08-24 to 2017-09-0714 draws: 2017-09-07 to 2017-10-268 draws: 2017-10-26 to 2017-11-232 draws: 2017-11-23 to 2017-11-309 draws: 2017-11-30 to 2018-01-0113 draws: 2018-01-01 to 2018-02-155 draws: 2018-02-15 to 2018-03-0513 draws: 2018-03-05 to 2018-04-239 draws: 2018-04-23 to 2018-05-242 draws: 2018-05-24 to 2018-05-312 draws: 2018-05-31 to 2018-06-0714 draws: 2018-06-07 to 2018-07-262 draws: 2018-07-26 to 2018-08-023 draws: 2018-08-02 to 2018-08-131 draws: 2018-08-13 to 2018-08-1612 draws: 2018-08-16 to 2018-09-2728 draws: 2018-09-27 to 2019-01-036 draws: 2019-01-03 to 2019-01-242 draws: 2019-01-24 to 2019-01-311 draws: 2019-01-31 to 2019-02-044 draws: 2019-02-04 to 2019-02-182 draws: 2019-02-18 to 2019-02-2520 draws: 2019-02-25 to 2019-05-064 draws: 2019-05-06 to 2019-05-201 draws: 2019-05-20 to 2019-05-232 draws: 2019-05-23 to 2019-05-3015 draws: 2019-05-30 to 2019-07-221 draws: 2019-07-22 to 2019-07-252 draws: 2019-07-25 to 2019-08-012 draws: 2019-08-01 to 2019-08-081 draws: 2019-08-08 to 2019-08-1222 draws: 2019-08-12 to 2019-10-285 draws: 2019-10-28 to 2019-11-1412 draws: 2019-11-14 to 2019-12-265 draws: 2019-12-26 to 2020-01-1317 draws: 2020-01-13 to 2020-03-121 draws: 2020-03-12 to 2020-03-1610 draws: 2020-03-16 to 2020-04-2014 draws: 2020-04-20 to 2020-06-082 draws: 2020-06-08 to 2020-06-155 draws: 2020-06-15 to 2020-07-021 draws: 2020-07-02 to 2020-07-069 draws: 2020-07-06 to 2020-08-061 draws: 2020-08-06 to 2020-08-1011 draws: 2020-08-10 to 2020-09-172 draws: 2020-09-17 to 2020-09-247 draws: 2020-09-24 to 2020-10-1915 draws: 2020-10-19 to 2020-12-107 draws: 2020-12-10 to 2021-01-041 draws: 2021-01-04 to 2021-01-071 draws: 2021-01-07 to 2021-01-112 draws: 2021-01-11 to 2021-01-183 draws: 2021-01-18 to 2021-01-282 draws: 2021-01-28 to 2021-02-042 draws: 2021-02-04 to 2021-02-1117 draws: 2021-02-11 to 2021-04-126 draws: 2021-04-12 to 2021-05-0318 draws: 2021-05-03 to 2021-07-059 draws: 2021-07-05 to 2021-08-054 draws: 2021-08-05 to 2021-08-191 draws: 2021-08-19 to 2021-08-235 draws: 2021-08-23 to 2021-09-092 draws: 2021-09-09 to 2021-09-168 draws: 2021-09-16 to 2021-10-1413 draws: 2021-10-14 to 2021-11-294 draws: 2021-11-29 to 2021-12-131 draws: 2021-12-13 to 2021-12-1610 draws: 2021-12-16 to 2022-01-205 draws: 2022-01-20 to 2022-02-07Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2022-02-072010-02-222010-03-042010-07-152010-09-272010-11-222010-12-092011-02-142011-03-072011-04-042011-04-142011-04-282011-07-072011-07-142011-09-052011-09-192011-10-062011-10-102011-10-172011-10-312011-12-192012-01-092012-01-192012-04-052012-05-282012-06-212012-07-092012-10-082012-11-082012-12-062012-12-172013-02-212013-03-282013-04-012013-05-272013-08-192013-08-222013-11-182013-12-092014-01-232014-01-272014-02-032014-03-102014-03-242014-05-082014-05-122014-07-282014-09-252014-10-232014-11-132014-11-172014-12-292015-01-262015-02-022015-03-122015-04-062015-05-072015-05-252015-06-012015-07-272015-09-172015-09-212015-10-192015-11-302016-02-042016-02-112016-02-152016-02-222016-03-282016-04-282016-05-162016-05-232016-06-162016-08-082016-11-242016-12-012017-01-092017-02-062017-02-092017-04-102017-06-012017-07-272017-08-242017-09-072017-10-262017-11-232017-11-302018-01-012018-02-152018-03-052018-04-232018-05-242018-05-312018-06-072018-07-262018-08-022018-08-132018-08-162018-09-272019-01-032019-01-242019-01-312019-02-042019-02-182019-02-252019-05-062019-05-202019-05-232019-05-302019-07-222019-07-252019-08-012019-08-082019-08-122019-10-282019-11-142019-12-262020-01-132020-03-122020-03-162020-04-202020-06-082020-06-152020-07-022020-07-062020-08-062020-08-102020-09-172020-09-242020-10-192020-12-102021-01-042021-01-072021-01-112021-01-182021-01-282021-02-042021-02-112021-04-122021-05-032021-07-052021-08-052021-08-192021-08-232021-09-092021-09-162021-10-142021-11-292021-12-132021-12-162022-01-202022-02-072010-01-042022-02-21

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 21 times2 draws: 24 times3 draws: 6 times4 draws: 9 times5 draws: 11 times6 draws: 6 times7 draws: 5 times8 draws: 9 times9 draws: 7 times10 draws: 5 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 4 times13 draws: 5 times14 draws: 4 times15 draws: 7 times16 draws: 4 times17 draws: 4 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 3 times20 draws: 2 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 3 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 1 time32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 1 time39 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest151 · chance 151.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

41723252831

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2022-02-0751st1172329
2022-01-20101st151528
2021-12-1611st1283132
2021-12-1341st142428
Lowest in the poolEvery numbernumber 2 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-11-29131st1222629
2021-10-1481st1152628
2021-09-1621st181213
2021-09-0951st142332
2021-08-2311st12429
2021-08-1941st1172334
2021-08-0591st16830
2021-07-05181st192331
2021-05-0361st1111227
2021-04-12171st151019
2021-02-1121st161014
2021-02-0421st181218
2021-01-2831st1152125
2021-01-1821st151828
2021-01-1111st14831
2021-01-0711st1172123
2021-01-0471st161125
2020-12-10151st141425
2020-10-1971st1102629
2020-09-2421st1151822
The other 127 appearances
2020-09-17111st142832
2020-08-1011st1152328
2020-08-0691st141334
2020-07-0611st171521
2020-07-0251st142230
2020-06-1521st1152227
2020-06-08141st1132124
2020-04-20101st1152329
2020-03-1611st122527
2020-03-12171st141820
2020-01-1351st1112527
2019-12-26121st121324
2019-11-1451st191732
2019-10-28221st16714
2019-08-1211st171934
2019-08-0821st1459
2019-08-0121st121023
2019-07-2511st161729
2019-07-22151st15624
2019-05-3021st152428
2019-05-2311st1193133
2019-05-2041st181617
2019-05-06201st162025
2019-02-2521st1102729
2019-02-1841st1123134
2019-02-0411st14919
2019-01-3121st141112
2019-01-2461st1202226
2019-01-03281st1151624
2018-09-27121st141723
2018-08-1611st14517
2018-08-1331st131833
2018-08-0221st161523
2018-07-26141st131333
2018-06-0721st141322
2018-05-3121st1222531
2018-05-2491st181833
2018-04-23131st1183133
2018-03-0551st1192335
2018-02-15131st1152530
2018-01-0191st1142227
2017-11-3021st15821
2017-11-2381st151013
2017-10-26141st131025
2017-09-0741st1163233
2017-08-2481st1162021
2017-07-27161st141722
2017-06-01151st123132
2017-04-10171st1152934
2017-02-0911st1101117
2017-02-0681st182226
2017-01-09111st1272834
2016-12-0121st131732
2016-11-24311st1111823
2016-08-08151st161119
2016-06-1671st152334
2016-05-2321st17828
2016-05-1651st132527
2016-04-2891st15712
2016-03-28101st172030
2016-02-2221st1183132
2016-02-1511st1182833
2016-02-1121st13620
2016-02-04191st161522
2015-11-30121st122425
2015-10-1981st14621
2015-09-2111st1132933
2015-09-17151st141735
2015-07-27161st1242833
2015-06-0121st1102629
2015-05-2551st151035
2015-05-0791st161631
2015-04-0671st14823
2015-03-12111st181727
2015-02-0221st12422
2015-01-2681st13425
2014-12-29121st171728
2014-11-1711st1101728
2014-11-1361st1122733
2014-10-2381st191819
2014-09-25171st141131
2014-07-28221st1132831
2014-05-1211st141235
2014-05-08131st141029
2014-03-2441st142122
2014-03-10101st121724
2014-02-0321st1202534
2014-01-2711st171617
2014-01-23131st171526
2013-12-0961st171626
2013-11-18251st14710
2013-08-2211st162124
2013-08-19241st1212534
2013-05-27161st181119
2013-04-0111st1173133
2013-03-28101st1182328
2013-02-21191st191133
2012-12-1731st1112526
2012-12-0681st12731
2012-11-0891st182530
2012-10-08261st141633
2012-07-0951st192131
2012-06-2171st1111719
2012-05-28151st1132534
2012-04-05221st142123
2012-01-1931st121631
2012-01-0961st17928
2011-12-19141st1122033
2011-10-3141st13724
2011-10-1721st193134
2011-10-1011st161327
2011-10-0651st1252733
2011-09-1941st193334
2011-09-05151st13420
2011-07-1421st1113034
2011-07-07201st151722
2011-04-2841st192933
2011-04-1431st122934
2011-04-0481st192732
2011-03-0761st171234
2011-02-14191st191423
2010-12-0951st162022
2010-11-22161st191132
2010-09-27211st1111623
2010-07-15381st1132325
2010-03-0431st1232935
2010-02-22—1st122030