Number 14

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 rules — 1,266 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

116times drawn · chance expected 145 −2.53σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number

10.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8

92longest completed wait · 0.2% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 116 times in 1,266 draws against 144.7 expected, −2.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 116 times in 1,266 draws · average wait 10.7 draws · longest completed wait 92 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest22 · chance 25.8
2nd smallest56 · chance 52.9
3rd smallest32 · chance 31.8
4th smallest6 · chance 5.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 18 19 26 30 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-01-31	4	2nd	6 14 30 33
2022-01-17	11	3rd	4 5 14 35
2021-12-09	6	4th	4 7 10 14
2021-11-18	33	2nd	6 14 17 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-10-21	5	2nd	13 14 15 33
2019-10-03	4	2nd	2 14 32 34
2019-09-19	6	1st	14 15 19 26
2019-08-29	22	2nd	11 14 24 26
2019-06-13	8	3rd	6 8 14 33
2019-05-16	6	1st	14 23 31 34
2019-04-25	15	2nd	6 14 20 28
2019-03-04	6	1st	14 19 29 30
2019-02-11	10	2nd	6 14 17 24
2019-01-07	7	2nd	2 14 18 24
2018-12-13	6	1st	14 19 21 26
2018-11-22	30	1st	14 32 33 34
2018-08-09	1	2nd	6 14 19 26
2018-08-06	2	3rd	5 12 14 28
2018-07-30	26	2nd	4 14 19 27
2018-04-30	16	2nd	3 14 20 25
2018-03-01	8	2nd	11 14 16 19
2018-02-01	9	3rd	4 7 14 19
2018-01-01	7	2nd	1 14 22 27
2017-12-07	22	2nd	12 14 25 26
2017-09-21	3	2nd	9 14 18 30
2017-09-11	4	2nd	10 14 24 30
2017-08-28	24	3rd	4 13 14 17
2017-06-05	13	2nd	8 14 18 35
2017-04-20	14	1st	14 16 25 34
2017-03-02	5	2nd	6 14 18 27
2017-02-13	9	3rd	5 13 14 15
2017-01-12	3	3rd	9 10 14 16
2017-01-02	6	2nd	2 14 23 25
2016-12-12	14	1st	14 18 27 34
2016-10-24	33	2nd	12 14 18 25
2016-06-30	19	1st	14 18 23 33
2016-04-25	4	2nd	9 14 18 25
2016-04-11	5	1st	14 19 22 35
2016-03-24	6	4th	8 11 12 14
2016-03-03	10	2nd	9 14 15 24
2016-01-28	8	3rd	6 12 14 21
2015-12-31	5	3rd	7 9 14 34
2015-12-14	11	2nd	4 14 20 22
2015-11-05	6	2nd	10 14 15 23
2015-10-15	44	1st	14 15 18 23
2015-05-14	17	2nd	4 14 18 34
2015-03-16	3	2nd	7 14 25 35
2015-03-05	7	1st	14 19 30 35
2015-02-09	9	2nd	4 14 29 30
2015-01-08	8	2nd	9 14 26 34
2014-12-11	5	3rd	2 3 14 30
2014-11-24	5	2nd	4 14 22 30
2014-11-06	14	2nd	2 14 27 35
2014-09-18	1	2nd	7 14 17 22
2014-09-15	11	2nd	2 14 18 33
2014-08-07	15	3rd	3 12 14 26
2014-06-16	5	1st	14 26 30 31
2014-05-29	11	3rd	5 8 14 22
2014-04-21	7	3rd	2 6 14 34
2014-03-27	12	2nd	7 14 19 32
2014-02-13	11	2nd	4 14 23 33
2014-01-06	2	3rd	8 10 14 29
2013-12-30	4	2nd	13 14 18 23
2013-12-16	19	3rd	10 13 14 30
2013-10-10	2	2nd	3 14 27 34
2013-10-03	22	2nd	8 14 19 28
2013-07-18	3	3rd	5 6 14 17
2013-07-08	8	3rd	2 12 14 26
2013-06-10	24	3rd	5 10 14 34
2013-03-18	1	2nd	12 14 25 29
2013-03-14	4	4th	2 3 13 14
2013-02-28	3	3rd	4 13 14 21
2013-02-18	5	2nd	2 14 24 29
2013-01-31	9	2nd	2 14 30 31
2012-12-31	13	3rd	9 13 14 22
2012-11-15	1	3rd	3 12 14 29
2012-11-12	15	1st	14 19 20 21
2012-09-20	12	3rd	4 9 14 21
2012-08-09	8	2nd	13 14 24 31
2012-07-12	92	1st	14 16 20 26
2011-08-25	20	3rd	5 8 14 33
2011-06-16	8	1st	14 23 24 34
2011-05-19	1	1st	14 17 19 26
2011-05-16	2	2nd	6 14 16 22
2011-05-09	21	3rd	3 6 14 27
2011-02-24	3	3rd	7 8 14 22
2011-02-14	1	3rd	1 9 14 23
2011-02-10	6	1st	14 17 19 35
2011-01-20	18	3rd	10 13 14 22
2010-11-18	26	4th	2 12 13 14
2010-08-19	7	2nd	11 14 16 20
2010-07-26	6	2nd	8 14 22 35
2010-07-05	18	3rd	2 9 14 21
2010-05-03	5	1st	14 18 22 35
2010-04-15	4	2nd	12 14 15 28
2010-04-01	—	1st	14 15 30 31