Number 23

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 rules — 1,266 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

143times drawn · chance expected 145 −0.15σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number

8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8

35longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 143 times in 1,266 draws against 144.7 expected, −0.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 143 times in 1,266 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 5.3
2nd smallest41 · chance 34.7
3rd smallest59 · chance 66.2
4th smallest38 · chance 36.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 34 5 25 9 18

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-02-07	7	3rd	1 17 23 29
2022-01-13	35	3rd	17 18 23 25
2021-09-13	1	2nd	7 23 26 33
2021-09-09	6	3rd	1 4 23 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-04-16	12	4th	2 3 18 23
2020-03-05	7	1st	23 28 32 33
2020-02-10	20	2nd	21 23 25 33
2019-12-02	13	2nd	21 23 31 32
2019-10-17	3	3rd	9 20 23 32
2019-10-07	7	3rd	10 12 23 32
2019-09-12	12	2nd	4 23 26 28
2019-08-01	22	4th	1 2 10 23
2019-05-16	10	2nd	14 23 31 34
2019-04-11	6	4th	7 16 17 23
2019-03-21	6	3rd	15 21 23 34
2019-02-28	19	3rd	9 22 23 28
2018-12-24	1	2nd	17 23 33 34
2018-12-20	7	2nd	5 23 33 35
2018-11-26	3	2nd	12 23 30 34
2018-11-15	9	2nd	17 23 24 27
2018-10-15	5	2nd	12 23 26 27
2018-09-27	11	4th	1 4 17 23
2018-08-20	5	2nd	18 23 24 26
2018-08-02	7	4th	1 6 15 23
2018-07-09	3	4th	2 7 13 23
2018-06-28	5	3rd	5 15 23 31
2018-06-11	27	3rd	2 20 23 29
2018-03-05	4	3rd	1 19 23 35
2018-02-19	4	3rd	4 9 23 26
2018-02-05	8	4th	2 4 10 23
2018-01-08	7	3rd	11 18 23 29
2017-12-14	22	3rd	4 16 23 35
2017-09-28	7	4th	4 7 15 23
2017-09-04	23	4th	8 9 15 23
2017-06-15	32	2nd	19 23 32 35
2017-02-23	8	3rd	5 18 23 30
2017-01-26	1	3rd	3 20 23 27
2017-01-23	2	3rd	8 10 23 34
2017-01-16	4	2nd	22 23 25 28
2017-01-02	11	3rd	2 14 23 25
2016-11-24	6	4th	1 11 18 23
2016-11-03	16	2nd	20 23 28 33
2016-09-08	4	2nd	12 23 26 28
2016-08-25	16	3rd	8 21 23 25
2016-06-30	3	3rd	14 18 23 33
2016-06-20	1	2nd	22 23 31 35
2016-06-16	32	3rd	1 5 23 34
2016-02-25	5	4th	5 8 16 23
2016-02-08	19	3rd	10 11 23 32
2015-12-03	8	4th	3 5 17 23
2015-11-05	3	4th	10 14 15 23
2015-10-26	3	2nd	15 23 27 34
2015-10-15	6	4th	14 15 18 23
2015-09-24	5	4th	16 19 20 23
2015-09-07	20	3rd	2 13 23 32
2015-06-29	3	3rd	10 16 23 30
2015-06-18	6	3rd	2 5 23 28
2015-05-28	15	3rd	3 4 23 34
2015-04-06	10	4th	1 4 8 23
2015-03-02	2	4th	5 18 19 23
2015-02-23	1	2nd	8 23 25 33
2015-02-19	2	2nd	16 23 25 28
2015-02-12	6	2nd	22 23 24 34
2015-01-22	29	3rd	18 21 23 28
2014-10-13	10	2nd	11 23 26 30
2014-09-08	5	1st	23 24 30 35
2014-08-21	3	3rd	5 6 23 25
2014-08-11	30	3rd	7 21 23 25
2014-04-28	21	2nd	7 23 30 35
2014-02-13	1	3rd	4 14 23 33
2014-02-10	1	3rd	3 4 23 26
2014-02-06	5	3rd	3 16 23 30
2014-01-20	6	2nd	12 23 28 33
2013-12-30	10	4th	13 14 18 23
2013-11-25	3	4th	8 16 18 23
2013-11-14	7	3rd	16 17 23 33
2013-10-21	11	3rd	6 15 23 34
2013-09-12	14	4th	3 9 19 23
2013-07-25	6	3rd	13 20 23 35
2013-07-04	26	2nd	15 23 25 26
2013-04-04	2	1st	23 31 33 34
2013-03-28	2	3rd	1 18 23 28
2013-03-21	21	4th	4 8 9 23
2013-01-07	12	4th	2 8 20 23
2012-11-26	1	4th	8 12 13 23
2012-11-22	14	2nd	7 23 26 33
2012-10-04	5	3rd	6 15 23 25
2012-09-17	2	4th	9 17 20 23
2012-09-10	13	3rd	5 16 23 25
2012-07-26	1	2nd	5 23 29 30
2012-07-23	6	4th	9 15 18 23
2012-07-02	4	3rd	3 15 23 27
2012-06-18	5	2nd	21 23 28 34
2012-05-31	11	4th	7 12 19 23
2012-04-23	1	4th	9 15 18 23
2012-04-19	3	2nd	8 23 26 33
2012-04-09	1	4th	5 10 22 23
2012-04-05	4	4th	1 4 21 23
2012-03-22	12	3rd	8 13 23 32
2012-02-09	10	2nd	5 23 25 30
2012-01-05	29	3rd	5 20 23 28
2011-09-26	29	3rd	8 22 23 25
2011-06-16	17	2nd	14 23 24 34
2011-04-18	9	3rd	3 11 23 24
2011-03-17	1	3rd	5 16 23 29
2011-03-14	4	3rd	11 20 23 31
2011-02-28	4	1st	23 29 30 34
2011-02-14	3	4th	1 9 14 23
2011-02-03	5	2nd	19 23 30 32
2011-01-17	10	2nd	2 23 34 35
2010-12-13	9	3rd	8 13 23 30
2010-11-11	9	4th	4 5 22 23
2010-10-11	4	4th	5 20 22 23
2010-09-27	12	4th	1 11 16 23
2010-08-16	8	3rd	13 21 23 24
2010-07-19	1	3rd	21 22 23 27
2010-07-15	13	3rd	1 13 23 25
2010-05-31	4	3rd	19 22 23 35
2010-05-17	15	3rd	7 9 23 30
2010-03-25	3	3rd	21 22 23 31
2010-03-15	3	4th	9 12 13 23
2010-03-04	4	2nd	1 23 29 35
2010-02-18	—	3rd	6 12 23 26