Number 12

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 rules — 1,266 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

146times drawn · chance expected 145 +0.12σ

26draws waiting · a wait this long: 5% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8

38longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 146 times in 1,266 draws against 144.7 expected, +0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 146 times in 1,266 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 26 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest47 · chance 43.2
2nd smallest58 · chance 67.9
3rd smallest38 · chance 30.9
4th smallest3 · chance 4.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 28 6 15 19 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2021-11-22	5	2nd	8 12 27 29
2021-11-04	2	1st	12 17 28 32
2021-10-28	1	1st	12 18 30 35
2021-10-25	11	3rd	8 10 12 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-06-17	3	2nd	3 12 16 19
2019-06-06	1	3rd	7 9 12 17
2019-06-03	19	3rd	8 9 12 35
2019-03-28	11	2nd	8 12 20 21
2019-02-18	5	2nd	1 12 31 34
2019-01-31	19	4th	1 4 11 12
2018-11-26	7	1st	12 23 30 34
2018-11-01	1	1st	12 15 18 21
2018-10-29	2	2nd	6 12 17 20
2018-10-22	2	1st	12 13 15 24
2018-10-15	8	1st	12 23 26 27
2018-09-17	5	1st	12 26 31 35
2018-08-30	7	1st	12 13 20 33
2018-08-06	4	2nd	5 12 14 28
2018-07-23	10	1st	12 15 30 34
2018-06-18	8	3rd	9 11 12 31
2018-05-21	9	2nd	11 12 24 35
2018-04-19	10	1st	12 13 17 29
2018-03-12	1	1st	12 22 31 33
2018-03-08	21	1st	12 15 21 35
2017-12-25	5	2nd	2 12 19 29
2017-12-07	6	1st	12 14 25 26
2017-11-16	11	2nd	10 12 17 21
2017-10-09	28	3rd	7 11 12 27
2017-07-03	3	2nd	3 12 24 29
2017-06-22	4	2nd	2 12 20 27
2017-06-08	7	1st	12 15 18 26
2017-05-15	3	1st	12 17 24 26
2017-05-04	11	2nd	2 12 30 34
2017-03-27	11	2nd	7 12 18 26
2017-02-16	8	2nd	6 12 29 34
2017-01-19	18	3rd	6 7 12 19
2016-11-17	7	2nd	11 12 19 29
2016-10-24	3	1st	12 14 18 25
2016-10-13	1	3rd	2 10 12 17
2016-10-10	6	2nd	10 12 13 32
2016-09-19	3	3rd	5 7 12 35
2016-09-08	10	1st	12 23 26 28
2016-08-04	1	1st	12 19 28 30
2016-08-01	27	1st	12 16 21 35
2016-04-28	8	4th	1 5 7 12
2016-03-31	2	2nd	3 12 22 25
2016-03-24	2	3rd	8 11 12 14
2016-03-17	14	4th	3 8 10 12
2016-01-28	15	2nd	6 12 14 21
2015-12-07	10	1st	12 15 16 32
2015-11-02	17	1st	12 19 34 35
2015-09-03	5	3rd	5 8 12 18
2015-08-17	5	3rd	7 11 12 17
2015-07-30	7	2nd	6 12 16 17
2015-07-06	8	3rd	2 6 12 31
2015-06-08	19	2nd	10 12 19 29
2015-04-02	2	1st	12 32 33 34
2015-03-26	5	2nd	10 12 15 25
2015-03-09	6	3rd	5 6 12 35
2015-02-16	16	3rd	8 11 12 19
2014-12-22	2	2nd	10 12 21 32
2014-12-15	9	1st	12 22 28 32
2014-11-13	3	2nd	1 12 27 33
2014-11-03	4	1st	12 15 21 27
2014-10-20	14	3rd	6 9 12 28
2014-09-01	7	1st	12 18 28 33
2014-08-07	5	2nd	3 12 14 26
2014-07-21	1	3rd	3 7 12 22
2014-07-17	11	3rd	2 3 12 28
2014-06-09	4	3rd	5 9 12 28
2014-05-26	2	3rd	3 6 12 19
2014-05-19	2	1st	12 13 28 31
2014-05-12	32	3rd	1 4 12 35
2014-01-20	13	1st	12 23 28 33
2013-12-05	1	1st	12 17 20 34
2013-12-02	19	2nd	5 12 13 33
2013-09-26	3	3rd	7 10 12 21
2013-09-16	18	2nd	8 12 15 18
2013-07-15	2	3rd	5 6 12 16
2013-07-08	2	2nd	2 12 14 26
2013-07-01	3	2nd	7 12 16 31
2013-06-20	8	3rd	7 9 12 32
2013-05-23	9	1st	12 15 29 34
2013-04-22	3	2nd	8 12 17 35
2013-04-11	7	2nd	7 12 18 21
2013-03-18	2	1st	12 14 25 29
2013-03-11	30	3rd	6 9 12 19
2012-11-26	3	2nd	8 12 13 23
2012-11-15	7	2nd	3 12 14 29
2012-10-22	3	2nd	2 12 20 25
2012-10-11	34	3rd	2 5 12 22
2012-06-14	2	2nd	8 12 26 28
2012-06-07	2	2nd	3 12 30 32
2012-05-31	5	2nd	7 12 19 23
2012-05-14	8	2nd	9 12 15 25
2012-04-16	9	2nd	9 12 19 33
2012-03-15	9	3rd	5 6 12 30
2012-02-13	6	2nd	4 12 24 34
2012-01-23	10	2nd	5 12 19 35
2011-12-19	13	2nd	1 12 20 33
2011-11-03	2	1st	12 16 19 25
2011-10-27	4	2nd	3 12 17 29
2011-10-13	16	1st	12 17 33 34
2011-08-18	5	2nd	11 12 33 34
2011-08-01	10	2nd	4 12 13 35
2011-06-27	6	1st	12 13 17 28
2011-06-06	12	1st	12 15 25 29
2011-04-25	4	3rd	8 9 12 35
2011-04-11	6	2nd	11 12 28 31
2011-03-21	4	1st	12 25 28 34
2011-03-07	5	3rd	1 7 12 34
2011-02-17	5	1st	12 13 16 18
2011-01-31	13	2nd	4 12 17 18
2010-12-16	8	1st	12 27 30 32
2010-11-18	5	2nd	2 12 13 14
2010-11-01	13	2nd	5 12 17 35
2010-09-16	33	1st	12 19 22 28
2010-05-24	4	3rd	8 10 12 16
2010-05-10	3	2nd	6 12 15 18
2010-04-29	4	3rd	6 11 12 20
2010-04-15	9	1st	12 14 15 28
2010-03-15	7	2nd	9 12 13 23
2010-02-18	2	2nd	6 12 23 26
2010-02-11	3	1st	12 13 15 32
2010-02-01	3	2nd	7 12 18 29
2010-01-21	—	3rd	3 5 12 17