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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Texas Two Step · every number

20

Number 20

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 rules — 1,266 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 20254/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 20255/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 20224/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022
145times drawn · chance expected 145 +0.03σ
16draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number
8.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
59longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long
20 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 145 times in 1,266 draws against 144.7 expected, +0.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

20

Number 20, draw by draw

Drawn 145 times in 1,266 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 59 · waiting 16 draws now

2 draws: 2010-02-15 to 2010-02-221 draws: 2010-02-22 to 2010-02-254 draws: 2010-02-25 to 2010-03-112 draws: 2010-03-11 to 2010-03-1812 draws: 2010-03-18 to 2010-04-292 draws: 2010-04-29 to 2010-05-068 draws: 2010-05-06 to 2010-06-037 draws: 2010-06-03 to 2010-06-284 draws: 2010-06-28 to 2010-07-1211 draws: 2010-07-12 to 2010-08-192 draws: 2010-08-19 to 2010-08-268 draws: 2010-08-26 to 2010-09-235 draws: 2010-09-23 to 2010-10-1117 draws: 2010-10-11 to 2010-12-094 draws: 2010-12-09 to 2010-12-232 draws: 2010-12-23 to 2010-12-3021 draws: 2010-12-30 to 2011-03-1414 draws: 2011-03-14 to 2011-05-0217 draws: 2011-05-02 to 2011-06-305 draws: 2011-06-30 to 2011-07-1814 draws: 2011-07-18 to 2011-09-0525 draws: 2011-09-05 to 2011-12-012 draws: 2011-12-01 to 2011-12-082 draws: 2011-12-08 to 2011-12-151 draws: 2011-12-15 to 2011-12-195 draws: 2011-12-19 to 2012-01-0516 draws: 2012-01-05 to 2012-03-0112 draws: 2012-03-01 to 2012-04-1215 draws: 2012-04-12 to 2012-06-046 draws: 2012-06-04 to 2012-06-255 draws: 2012-06-25 to 2012-07-125 draws: 2012-07-12 to 2012-07-306 draws: 2012-07-30 to 2012-08-201 draws: 2012-08-20 to 2012-08-236 draws: 2012-08-23 to 2012-09-131 draws: 2012-09-13 to 2012-09-178 draws: 2012-09-17 to 2012-10-152 draws: 2012-10-15 to 2012-10-221 draws: 2012-10-22 to 2012-10-255 draws: 2012-10-25 to 2012-11-1216 draws: 2012-11-12 to 2013-01-079 draws: 2013-01-07 to 2013-02-0723 draws: 2013-02-07 to 2013-04-292 draws: 2013-04-29 to 2013-05-064 draws: 2013-05-06 to 2013-05-204 draws: 2013-05-20 to 2013-06-037 draws: 2013-06-03 to 2013-06-278 draws: 2013-06-27 to 2013-07-251 draws: 2013-07-25 to 2013-07-293 draws: 2013-07-29 to 2013-08-085 draws: 2013-08-08 to 2013-08-2614 draws: 2013-08-26 to 2013-10-144 draws: 2013-10-14 to 2013-10-289 draws: 2013-10-28 to 2013-11-282 draws: 2013-11-28 to 2013-12-054 draws: 2013-12-05 to 2013-12-1912 draws: 2013-12-19 to 2014-01-301 draws: 2014-01-30 to 2014-02-034 draws: 2014-02-03 to 2014-02-171 draws: 2014-02-17 to 2014-02-207 draws: 2014-02-20 to 2014-03-1713 draws: 2014-03-17 to 2014-05-0117 draws: 2014-05-01 to 2014-06-301 draws: 2014-06-30 to 2014-07-0328 draws: 2014-07-03 to 2014-10-0959 draws: 2014-10-09 to 2015-05-044 draws: 2015-05-04 to 2015-05-1813 draws: 2015-05-18 to 2015-07-024 draws: 2015-07-02 to 2015-07-167 draws: 2015-07-16 to 2015-08-1013 draws: 2015-08-10 to 2015-09-2415 draws: 2015-09-24 to 2015-11-161 draws: 2015-11-16 to 2015-11-192 draws: 2015-11-19 to 2015-11-265 draws: 2015-11-26 to 2015-12-1412 draws: 2015-12-14 to 2016-01-255 draws: 2016-01-25 to 2016-02-1113 draws: 2016-02-11 to 2016-03-285 draws: 2016-03-28 to 2016-04-1416 draws: 2016-04-14 to 2016-06-094 draws: 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-2310 draws: 2016-06-23 to 2016-07-2816 draws: 2016-07-28 to 2016-09-221 draws: 2016-09-22 to 2016-09-2611 draws: 2016-09-26 to 2016-11-031 draws: 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-078 draws: 2016-11-07 to 2016-12-055 draws: 2016-12-05 to 2016-12-2210 draws: 2016-12-22 to 2017-01-2616 draws: 2017-01-26 to 2017-03-237 draws: 2017-03-23 to 2017-04-172 draws: 2017-04-17 to 2017-04-2417 draws: 2017-04-24 to 2017-06-224 draws: 2017-06-22 to 2017-07-064 draws: 2017-07-06 to 2017-07-2010 draws: 2017-07-20 to 2017-08-2429 draws: 2017-08-24 to 2017-12-042 draws: 2017-12-04 to 2017-12-113 draws: 2017-12-11 to 2017-12-219 draws: 2017-12-21 to 2018-01-226 draws: 2018-01-22 to 2018-02-1215 draws: 2018-02-12 to 2018-04-096 draws: 2018-04-09 to 2018-04-302 draws: 2018-04-30 to 2018-05-0710 draws: 2018-05-07 to 2018-06-1123 draws: 2018-06-11 to 2018-08-3017 draws: 2018-08-30 to 2018-10-2910 draws: 2018-10-29 to 2018-12-0313 draws: 2018-12-03 to 2019-01-172 draws: 2019-01-17 to 2019-01-241 draws: 2019-01-24 to 2019-01-2817 draws: 2019-01-28 to 2019-03-288 draws: 2019-03-28 to 2019-04-253 draws: 2019-04-25 to 2019-05-0618 draws: 2019-05-06 to 2019-07-0811 draws: 2019-07-08 to 2019-08-1516 draws: 2019-08-15 to 2019-10-101 draws: 2019-10-10 to 2019-10-141 draws: 2019-10-14 to 2019-10-176 draws: 2019-10-17 to 2019-11-0722 draws: 2019-11-07 to 2020-01-237 draws: 2020-01-23 to 2020-02-177 draws: 2020-02-17 to 2020-03-125 draws: 2020-03-12 to 2020-03-3012 draws: 2020-03-30 to 2020-05-1122 draws: 2020-05-11 to 2020-07-272 draws: 2020-07-27 to 2020-08-037 draws: 2020-08-03 to 2020-08-2712 draws: 2020-08-27 to 2020-10-0812 draws: 2020-10-08 to 2020-11-195 draws: 2020-11-19 to 2020-12-077 draws: 2020-12-07 to 2020-12-317 draws: 2020-12-31 to 2021-01-252 draws: 2021-01-25 to 2021-02-0115 draws: 2021-02-01 to 2021-03-258 draws: 2021-03-25 to 2021-04-227 draws: 2021-04-22 to 2021-05-171 draws: 2021-05-17 to 2021-05-207 draws: 2021-05-20 to 2021-06-148 draws: 2021-06-14 to 2021-07-1226 draws: 2021-07-12 to 2021-10-112 draws: 2021-10-11 to 2021-10-187 draws: 2021-10-18 to 2021-11-1113 draws: 2021-11-11 to 2021-12-27Still waiting — at least 16 draws since 2021-12-272010-02-152010-02-222010-02-252010-03-112010-03-182010-04-292010-05-062010-06-032010-06-282010-07-122010-08-192010-08-262010-09-232010-10-112010-12-092010-12-232010-12-302011-03-142011-05-022011-06-302011-07-182011-09-052011-12-012011-12-082011-12-152011-12-192012-01-052012-03-012012-04-122012-06-042012-06-252012-07-122012-07-302012-08-202012-08-232012-09-132012-09-172012-10-152012-10-222012-10-252012-11-122013-01-072013-02-072013-04-292013-05-062013-05-202013-06-032013-06-272013-07-252013-07-292013-08-082013-08-262013-10-142013-10-282013-11-282013-12-052013-12-192014-01-302014-02-032014-02-172014-02-202014-03-172014-05-012014-06-302014-07-032014-10-092015-05-042015-05-182015-07-022015-07-162015-08-102015-09-242015-11-162015-11-192015-11-262015-12-142016-01-252016-02-112016-03-282016-04-142016-06-092016-06-232016-07-282016-09-222016-09-262016-11-032016-11-072016-12-052016-12-222017-01-262017-03-232017-04-172017-04-242017-06-222017-07-062017-07-202017-08-242017-12-042017-12-112017-12-212018-01-222018-02-122018-04-092018-04-302018-05-072018-06-112018-08-302018-10-292018-12-032019-01-172019-01-242019-01-282019-03-282019-04-252019-05-062019-07-082019-08-152019-10-102019-10-142019-10-172019-11-072020-01-232020-02-172020-03-122020-03-302020-05-112020-07-272020-08-032020-08-272020-10-082020-11-192020-12-072020-12-312021-01-252021-02-012021-03-252021-04-222021-05-172021-05-202021-06-142021-07-122021-10-112021-10-182021-11-112021-12-272010-01-042022-02-21

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 16 times2 draws: 18 times3 draws: 3 times4 draws: 13 times5 draws: 13 times6 draws: 6 times7 draws: 13 times8 draws: 8 times9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 5 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 7 times13 draws: 6 times14 draws: 3 times15 draws: 4 times16 draws: 6 times17 draws: 6 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 2 times23 draws: 2 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 0 times46 draws: 0 times47 draws: 0 times48 draws: 0 times49 draws: 0 times50 draws: 0 times51 draws: 0 times52 draws: 0 times53 draws: 0 times54 draws: 0 times55 draws: 0 times56 draws: 0 times57 draws: 0 times58 draws: 0 times59 draws: 1 time60 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest4 · chance 11.0
  • 2nd smallest58 · chance 48.3
  • 3rd smallest63 · chance 62.2
  • 4th smallest20 · chance 23.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38162542

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2021-12-27132nd13203133
2021-11-1173rd272024
2021-10-1823rd5172032
2021-10-11263rd4192030
← number 19Every numbernumber 21 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-07-1283rd3132025
2021-06-1472nd11202129
2021-05-2014th4111520
2021-05-1773rd7132028
2021-04-2282nd16202527
2021-03-25152nd17202527
2021-02-0123rd12172025
2021-01-2572nd4202429
2020-12-3173rd12162033
2020-12-0753rd382026
2020-11-19124th14151920
2020-10-08123rd12142034
2020-08-2774th10131620
2020-08-0322nd17202335
2020-07-27221st20253034
2020-05-11122nd8202630
2020-03-3053rd5192035
2020-03-1274th141820
2020-02-1772nd16202131
2020-01-23224th3161820
The other 121 appearances
2019-11-0762nd5202627
2019-10-1712nd9202332
2019-10-1414th241220
2019-10-10162nd8202235
2019-08-15112nd4202632
2019-07-08182nd7202829
2019-05-0633rd162025
2019-04-2583rd6142028
2019-03-28173rd8122021
2019-01-2812nd3202435
2019-01-2422nd1202226
2019-01-17132nd16202631
2018-12-03102nd16202934
2018-10-29174th6121720
2018-08-30233rd12132033
2018-06-11102nd2202329
2018-05-0723rd10172021
2018-04-3063rd3142025
2018-04-09153rd242024
2018-02-1262nd2202733
2018-01-2293rd2192033
2017-12-2132nd8202526
2017-12-1122nd4202528
2017-12-04293rd7192031
2017-08-24103rd1162021
2017-07-2042nd16202728
2017-07-0643rd6162034
2017-06-22173rd2122027
2017-04-2422nd11202527
2017-04-1773rd382035
2017-03-23162nd5202234
2017-01-26102nd3202327
2016-12-2253rd15172033
2016-12-0583rd10172025
2016-11-0713rd9192031
2016-11-03111st20232833
2016-09-2612nd18203435
2016-09-22162nd4203032
2016-07-28103rd8162033
2016-06-2342nd19202128
2016-06-09162nd8202426
2016-04-1453rd13162030
2016-03-28133rd172030
2016-02-1154th13620
2016-01-25122nd16202629
2015-12-1453rd4142022
2015-11-2622nd13203034
2015-11-1913rd10172031
2015-11-16154th3171920
2015-09-24133rd16192023
2015-08-1074th35620
2015-07-1642nd3202834
2015-07-02133rd272026
2015-05-1843rd892024
2015-05-04593rd9162026
2014-10-09282nd3202230
2014-07-0313rd2152022
2014-06-30173rd9102028
2014-05-01133rd2172024
2014-03-1773rd11162032
2014-02-2013rd562032
2014-02-1743rd10182030
2014-02-0312nd1202534
2014-01-30123rd8112029
2013-12-1943rd9152030
2013-12-0523rd12172034
2013-11-2892nd9202731
2013-10-2844th361520
2013-10-14142nd5202128
2013-08-2654th351520
2013-08-0834th4151820
2013-07-2913rd2182024
2013-07-2582nd13202335
2013-06-2773rd8182025
2013-06-0343rd6182034
2013-05-2044th351120
2013-05-0622nd3202122
2013-04-29232nd10203233
2013-02-0792nd4202533
2013-01-07163rd282023
2012-11-1253rd14192021
2012-10-2512nd8202835
2012-10-2223rd2122025
2012-10-1584th381520
2012-09-1713rd9172023
2012-09-1363rd6152031
2012-08-2312nd13203133
2012-08-2062nd10202832
2012-07-3052nd19202133
2012-07-1253rd14162026
2012-06-2564th261920
2012-06-04153rd8192034
2012-04-12123rd342024
2012-03-01162nd9203134
2012-01-0552nd5202328
2011-12-1913rd1122033
2011-12-1522nd8202930
2011-12-0823rd13182032
2011-12-01253rd17182033
2011-09-05144th13420
2011-07-1852nd4202729
2011-06-30172nd8202132
2011-05-02142nd19202122
2011-03-14212nd11202331
2010-12-3023rd472031
2010-12-2341st20212526
2010-12-09173rd162022
2010-10-1152nd5202223
2010-09-2382nd8202633
2010-08-2623rd9102030
2010-08-19114th11141620
2010-07-1243rd482031
2010-06-2872nd11202527
2010-06-0382nd16202225
2010-05-0624th7181920
2010-04-29124th6111220
2010-03-1821st20243234
2010-03-1142nd18202231
2010-02-2512nd2202225
2010-02-2223rd122030
2010-02-15—2nd4202832