Number 11

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

87times drawn · chance expected 88 −0.09σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

53longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 87 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, −0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 87 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 53 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest28 · chance 26.1
2nd smallest39 · chance 38.6
3rd smallest19 · chance 18.6
4th smallest1 · chance 3.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 3 12 22 35 37

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-13	26	2nd	8 11 29 30 33
2023-09-17	12	1st	11 16 17 19 36
2023-09-05	8	1st	11 21 25 29 36
2023-08-28	16	3rd	2 9 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-04-09	3	3rd	5 10 11 16 18
2023-04-06	8	2nd	6 11 13 21 38
2023-03-29	5	3rd	5 7 11 12 19
2023-03-24	4	3rd	6 8 11 13 23
2023-03-20	7	2nd	7 11 27 29 40
2023-03-13	4	1st	11 18 21 23 31
2023-03-09	1	1st	11 22 26 36 39
2023-03-08	4	3rd	6 9 11 16 35
2023-03-04	5	1st	11 12 21 32 39
2023-02-27	10	3rd	3 4 11 24 34
2023-02-17	2	1st	11 12 16 22 41
2023-02-15	4	2nd	9 11 15 19 32
2023-02-11	2	2nd	8 11 16 24 32
2023-02-09	25	3rd	4 5 11 20 40
2023-01-15	9	2nd	9 11 15 26 35
2023-01-06	6	1st	11 14 16 23 41
2021-12-31	18	1st	11 25 27 35 40
2021-12-13	13	1st	11 14 22 25 34
2021-11-30	1	2nd	3 11 20 33 40
2021-11-29	2	3rd	1 9 11 16 31
2021-11-27	2	3rd	3 9 11 27 34
2021-11-25	5	3rd	1 3 11 16 25
2021-11-20	9	1st	11 12 14 20 24
2021-11-11	13	1st	11 16 18 31 32
2021-10-29	4	3rd	5 6 11 25 35
2021-10-25	1	2nd	3 11 13 16 23
2021-10-24	6	2nd	10 11 12 18 31
2021-10-18	7	1st	11 15 20 22 39
2021-10-11	3	1st	11 12 24 28 29
2021-10-08	20	1st	11 13 32 37 41
2021-09-18	4	2nd	9 11 13 14 34
2021-09-14	1	3rd	2 4 11 29 32
2021-09-13	13	1st	11 15 17 22 24
2021-08-31	7	1st	11 16 28 32 39
2021-08-24	5	1st	11 13 18 20 31
2021-08-19	10	3rd	1 5 11 22 37
2021-08-09	19	1st	11 18 31 37 38
2021-07-21	14	2nd	4 11 17 19 30
2021-07-07	3	2nd	6 11 19 21 23
2021-07-04	10	4th	1 4 8 11 18
2021-06-24	12	2nd	7 11 26 27 29
2021-06-12	2	2nd	8 11 23 24 30
2021-06-10	5	2nd	5 11 24 27 36
2021-06-05	5	3rd	3 8 11 32 35
2021-05-31	2	3rd	3 6 11 39 40
2021-05-29	41	2nd	9 11 18 22 25
2021-04-18	5	2nd	1 11 13 31 35
2021-04-13	15	1st	11 16 34 37 41
2021-03-29	9	1st	11 14 20 23 24
2021-03-20	5	2nd	5 11 22 27 35
2021-03-15	12	2nd	9 11 25 36 41
2021-03-03	2	2nd	2 11 16 34 37
2021-03-01	5	2nd	3 11 12 36 40
2021-02-24	6	3rd	3 7 11 28 37
2021-02-18	20	2nd	1 11 24 27 29
2021-01-29	53	1st	11 26 30 31 35
2020-12-07	5	1st	11 23 28 36 37
2020-12-02	3	2nd	4 11 12 18 34
2020-11-29	8	2nd	3 11 13 22 39
2020-11-21	1	2nd	1 11 21 27 28
2020-11-20	1	3rd	6 8 11 25 26
2020-11-19	9	1st	11 21 22 37 38
2020-11-10	—	2nd	5 11 19 22 35