Number 14

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

85times drawn · chance expected 88 −0.32σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

46longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 85 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, −0.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 85 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 46 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest24 · chance 16.3
2nd smallest37 · chance 35.4
3rd smallest19 · chance 25.5
4th smallest5 · chance 7.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

34 36 39 20 27 25

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-17	5	3rd	6 8 14 37 39
2023-10-12	1	1st	14 22 23 25 28
2023-10-11	3	1st	14 25 27 30 36
2023-10-08	10	2nd	3 14 25

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-04-11	16	1st	14 15 16 23 32
2023-03-26	46	2nd	12 14 16 32 35
2023-02-08	19	1st	14 17 26 33 40
2023-01-20	2	1st	14 15 36 37 39
2023-01-18	12	2nd	6 14 17 23 31
2023-01-06	7	2nd	11 14 16 23 41
2021-12-30	4	3rd	4 10 14 28 29
2021-12-26	13	2nd	4 14 15 23 33
2021-12-13	23	2nd	11 14 22 25 34
2021-11-20	5	3rd	11 12 14 20 24
2021-11-15	19	1st	14 30 35 36 38
2021-10-27	12	3rd	7 8 14 27 34
2021-10-15	9	1st	14 18 25 33 38
2021-10-06	9	3rd	3 12 14 32 35
2021-09-27	3	2nd	12 14 24 39 40
2021-09-24	4	3rd	3 7 14 27 33
2021-09-20	2	3rd	1 10 14 16 27
2021-09-18	2	4th	9 11 13 14 34
2021-09-16	7	2nd	7 14 16 22 27
2021-09-09	14	2nd	10 14 18 20 35
2021-08-26	10	2nd	7 14 25 35 39
2021-08-16	2	2nd	8 14 15 36 37
2021-08-14	11	2nd	13 14 19 21 33
2021-08-03	5	2nd	7 14 20 26 27
2021-07-29	10	3rd	2 9 14 20 27
2021-07-19	17	3rd	2 10 14 35 39
2021-07-02	7	2nd	7 14 37 38 41
2021-06-25	2	4th	5 6 8 14 29
2021-06-23	2	3rd	4 5 14 23 29
2021-06-21	7	1st	14 16 18 33 35
2021-06-14	1	2nd	13 14 32 34 35
2021-06-13	17	1st	14 15 16 29 40
2021-05-27	2	1st	14 16 20 26 30
2021-05-25	1	2nd	1 14 21 35 36
2021-05-24	27	3rd	3 13 14 16 31
2021-04-27	1	1st	14 24 30 32 41
2021-04-26	9	1st	14 17 18 19 21
2021-04-17	5	1st	14 18 20 33 39
2021-04-12	9	1st	14 22 23 33 34
2021-04-03	5	2nd	10 14 23 28 41
2021-03-29	1	2nd	11 14 20 23 24
2021-03-28	7	2nd	4 14 19 25 30
2021-03-21	14	1st	14 19 22 27 28
2021-03-07	7	3rd	6 7 14 28 35
2021-02-28	2	1st	14 15 16 17 21
2021-02-26	7	2nd	3 14 25 34 38
2021-02-19	10	1st	14 21 24 27 33
2021-02-09	6	3rd	2 12 14 35 36
2021-02-03	4	2nd	1 14 29 30 36
2021-01-30	7	3rd	2 4 14 29 36
2021-01-23	6	2nd	7 14 20 25 36
2021-01-17	10	4th	3 5 8 14 17
2021-01-07	1	2nd	2 14 27 31 35
2021-01-06	4	2nd	5 14 27 31 33
2021-01-02	15	1st	14 18 25 28 34
2020-12-18	3	3rd	9 12 14 33 39
2020-12-15	1	3rd	1 4 14 20 28
2020-12-14	5	3rd	5 6 14 20 39
2020-12-09	23	1st	14 16 20 24 25
2020-11-16	9	1st	14 18 30 34 39
2020-11-07	—	2nd	6 14 23 34 41