Number 16

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

89times drawn · chance expected 88 +0.14σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

35longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, +0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest11 · chance 12.3
2nd smallest35 · chance 33.6
3rd smallest26 · chance 30.7
4th smallest16 · chance 11.1
5th smallest1 · chance 1.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 21 3 9 29 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-16	29	4th	4 6 9 16 18
2023-09-17	2	2nd	11 16 17 19 36
2023-09-15	8	3rd	3 12 16 37 39
2023-09-07	4	3rd	4 5 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-03-02	1	3rd	9 12 16 30 31
2023-03-01	12	3rd	7 13 16 28 39
2023-02-17	6	3rd	11 12 16 22 41
2023-02-11	6	3rd	8 11 16 24 32
2023-02-05	14	3rd	1 15 16 19 28
2023-01-22	16	4th	2 5 8 16 29
2023-01-06	10	3rd	11 14 16 23 41
2021-12-27	10	2nd	5 16 17 28 35
2021-12-17	13	4th	1 3 5 16 27
2021-12-04	5	2nd	6 16 21 35 36
2021-11-29	4	4th	1 9 11 16 31
2021-11-25	1	4th	1 3 11 16 25
2021-11-24	3	1st	16 18 20 29 31
2021-11-21	3	3rd	1 6 16 23 30
2021-11-18	7	2nd	4 16 21 34 38
2021-11-11	3	2nd	11 16 18 31 32
2021-11-08	1	2nd	12 16 19 21 27
2021-11-07	1	3rd	2 3 16 24 30
2021-11-06	11	1st	16 21 24 38 40
2021-10-26	1	3rd	3 8 16 21 35
2021-10-25	35	4th	3 11 13 16 23
2021-09-20	4	4th	1 10 14 16 27
2021-09-16	9	3rd	7 14 16 22 27
2021-09-07	7	2nd	15 16 21 22 41
2021-08-31	16	2nd	11 16 28 32 39
2021-08-15	3	2nd	9 16 30 37 38
2021-08-12	6	2nd	12 16 19 28 29
2021-08-06	21	2nd	9 16 21 24 34
2021-07-16	3	4th	1 2 9 16 29
2021-07-13	2	3rd	6 15 16 20 38
2021-07-11	3	4th	3 4 12 16 29
2021-07-08	8	3rd	9 12 16 18 39
2021-06-30	3	1st	16 23 30 38 40
2021-06-27	6	2nd	4 16 22 30 40
2021-06-21	1	2nd	14 16 18 33 35
2021-06-20	7	2nd	6 16 18 24 34
2021-06-13	5	3rd	14 15 16 29 40
2021-06-08	2	1st	16 19 32 34 37
2021-06-06	10	2nd	2 16 25 32 33
2021-05-27	3	2nd	14 16 20 26 30
2021-05-24	7	4th	3 13 14 16 31
2021-05-17	5	4th	5 8 15 16 23
2021-05-12	10	1st	16 17 25 26 37
2021-05-02	10	1st	16 22 26 29 37
2021-04-22	9	2nd	10 16 20 27 39
2021-04-13	12	2nd	11 16 34 37 41
2021-04-01	7	2nd	13 16 18 31 34
2021-03-25	8	3rd	9 12 16 25 29
2021-03-17	12	1st	16 18 21 26 41
2021-03-05	2	1st	16 17 19 27 30
2021-03-03	3	3rd	2 11 16 34 37
2021-02-28	32	3rd	14 15 16 17 21
2021-01-27	3	2nd	7 16 22 24 32
2021-01-24	8	2nd	9 16 20 24 39
2021-01-16	8	2nd	2 16 28 30 39
2021-01-08	7	2nd	10 16 24 29 38
2021-01-01	3	2nd	13 16 17 21 32
2020-12-29	4	3rd	5 9 16 33 34
2020-12-25	2	1st	16 21 22 29 40
2020-12-23	14	3rd	7 10 16 21 29
2020-12-09	4	2nd	14 16 20 24 25
2020-12-05	17	1st	16 18 27 36 38
2020-11-18	6	4th	3 5 15 16 40
2020-11-12	8	2nd	2 16 18 21 25
2020-11-04	—	1st	16 22 32 34 36