Number 25

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

100times drawn · chance expected 88 +1.39σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

43longest completed wait · 34% chance of one at least that long

25 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 100 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, +1.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 100 times in 720 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 2.0
2nd smallest21 · chance 14.7
3rd smallest35 · chance 36.2
4th smallest31 · chance 35.4
5th smallest10 · chance 11.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

31 2 15 32 23 27

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-12	1	4th	14 22 23 25 28
2023-10-11	3	2nd	14 25 27 30 36
2023-10-08	7	3rd	3 14 25 29 34
2023-10-01	2	2nd	2 25 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-01-26	1	3rd	6 24 25 27 39
2023-01-25	12	4th	3 4 23 25 35
2023-01-13	3	2nd	17 25 27 38 40
2023-01-10	1	1st	25 32 34 40 41
2023-01-09	6	1st	25 28 29 32 41
2023-01-03	3	4th	8 15 17 25 34
2021-12-31	12	2nd	11 25 27 35 40
2021-12-19	6	3rd	5 21 25 27 37
2021-12-13	3	4th	11 14 22 25 34
2021-12-10	9	3rd	8 20 25 35 40
2021-12-01	6	4th	6 13 23 25 28
2021-11-25	6	5th	1 3 11 16 25
2021-11-19	3	3rd	19 24 25 31 35
2021-11-16	4	5th	3 6 7 17 25
2021-11-12	14	3rd	8 24 25 35 40
2021-10-29	9	4th	5 6 11 25 35
2021-10-20	1	2nd	10 25 28 29 32
2021-10-19	3	4th	10 17 24 25 33
2021-10-16	1	4th	4 5 9 25 41
2021-10-15	3	3rd	14 18 25 33 38
2021-10-12	7	2nd	23 25 26 30 37
2021-10-05	1	4th	8 10 17 25 36
2021-10-04	1	3rd	22 24 25 36 39
2021-10-03	7	3rd	6 9 25 26 39
2021-09-26	9	3rd	7 24 25 31 33
2021-09-17	19	2nd	12 25 30 31 37
2021-08-29	2	4th	4 12 13 25 29
2021-08-27	1	4th	2 15 24 25 36
2021-08-26	4	3rd	7 14 25 35 39
2021-08-22	23	4th	2 10 15 25 36
2021-07-30	4	3rd	2 8 25 27 34
2021-07-26	3	4th	2 4 6 25 27
2021-07-23	1	5th	2 3 7 17 25
2021-07-22	5	4th	3 4 12 25 39
2021-07-17	3	5th	2 7 12 23 25
2021-07-14	22	3rd	20 23 25 30 38
2021-06-22	13	4th	1 2 20 25 27
2021-06-09	3	4th	9 22 23 25 29
2021-06-06	8	3rd	2 16 25 32 33
2021-05-29	17	5th	9 11 18 22 25
2021-05-12	1	3rd	16 17 25 26 37
2021-05-11	1	3rd	3 15 25 33 37
2021-05-10	15	3rd	15 17 25 34 38
2021-04-25	10	4th	9 20 23 25 32
2021-04-15	1	4th	5 13 15 25 39
2021-04-14	17	2nd	22 25 32 35 40
2021-03-28	3	4th	4 14 19 25 30
2021-03-25	2	4th	9 12 16 25 29
2021-03-23	5	2nd	10 25 28 31 37
2021-03-18	3	3rd	10 12 25 32 41
2021-03-15	2	3rd	9 11 25 36 41
2021-03-13	14	2nd	6 25 26 28 39
2021-02-27	1	2nd	4 25 31 32 37
2021-02-26	3	3rd	3 14 25 34 38
2021-02-23	12	1st	25 29 30 34 35
2021-02-11	16	4th	1 20 22 25 29
2021-01-26	1	3rd	21 22 25 31 40
2021-01-25	2	5th	1 5 13 15 25
2021-01-23	1	4th	7 14 20 25 36
2021-01-22	1	4th	8 17 23 25 37
2021-01-21	1	3rd	1 23 25 31 37
2021-01-20	18	2nd	8 25 31 33 41
2021-01-02	17	3rd	14 18 25 28 34
2020-12-16	5	3rd	2 21 25 29 34
2020-12-11	2	2nd	5 25 27 31 32
2020-12-09	1	5th	14 16 20 24 25
2020-12-08	2	3rd	7 15 25 32 41
2020-12-06	6	4th	1 7 20 25 26
2020-11-30	3	2nd	15 25 27 38 41
2020-11-27	1	3rd	18 22 25 29 31
2020-11-26	6	4th	8 15 23 25 39
2020-11-20	7	4th	6 8 11 25 26
2020-11-13	1	2nd	10 25 26 32 34
2020-11-12	7	5th	2 16 18 21 25
2020-11-05	2	4th	7 15 24 25 29
2020-11-03	—	3rd	3 4 25 35 36