Number 5

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

89times drawn · chance expected 88 +0.14σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 40% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

28longest completed wait · 93% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, +0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest51 · chance 57.4
2nd smallest36 · chance 27.8
3rd smallest2 · chance 3.7
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

34 1 6 8 27 37

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-09	3	1st	5 8 20 33 34
2023-10-06	16	2nd	1 5 12 17 29
2023-09-20	2	2nd	2 5 22 28 37
2023-09-18	2	1st	5 12 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-04-03	5	1st	5 9 21 29 41
2023-03-29	6	1st	5 7 11 12 19
2023-03-23	5	2nd	3 5 6 8 28
2023-03-18	2	1st	5 12 17 21 22
2023-03-16	10	1st	5 16 30 33 35
2023-03-06	8	2nd	1 5 6 19 30
2023-02-26	12	2nd	1 5 13 25 38
2023-02-14	5	1st	5 6 8 18 34
2023-02-09	2	2nd	4 5 11 20 40
2023-02-07	8	2nd	2 5 7 34 39
2023-01-30	3	1st	5 22 28 31 34
2023-01-27	4	2nd	1 5 13 21 38
2023-01-23	1	2nd	1 5 17 26 41
2023-01-22	10	2nd	2 5 8 16 29
2023-01-12	7	1st	5 17 30 35 37
2023-01-05	9	2nd	2 5 6 8 22
2021-12-27	8	1st	5 16 17 28 35
2021-12-19	2	1st	5 21 25 27 37
2021-12-17	24	3rd	1 3 5 16 27
2021-11-23	10	1st	5 6 27 34 36
2021-11-13	15	2nd	1 5 8 21 33
2021-10-29	8	1st	5 6 11 25 35
2021-10-21	5	3rd	3 4 5 6 33
2021-10-16	23	2nd	4 5 9 25 41
2021-09-23	1	2nd	3 5 22 29 34
2021-09-22	3	2nd	4 5 13 15 18
2021-09-19	15	2nd	2 5 9 12 24
2021-09-04	5	2nd	2 5 21 24 39
2021-08-30	9	1st	5 8 22 31 34
2021-08-21	2	1st	5 8 10 23 32
2021-08-19	11	2nd	1 5 11 22 37
2021-08-08	6	2nd	4 5 13 17 24
2021-08-02	15	1st	5 8 24 34 41
2021-07-18	19	1st	5 7 15 37 41
2021-06-29	4	1st	5 9 10 35 36
2021-06-25	2	1st	5 6 8 14 29
2021-06-23	12	2nd	4 5 14 23 29
2021-06-11	1	1st	5 19 35 37 38
2021-06-10	22	1st	5 11 24 27 36
2021-05-19	2	2nd	3 5 13 37 41
2021-05-17	1	1st	5 8 15 16 23
2021-05-16	13	1st	5 9 18 27 30
2021-05-03	13	2nd	1 5 31 36 41
2021-04-20	5	2nd	1 5 13 20 34
2021-04-15	6	1st	5 13 15 25 39
2021-04-09	4	2nd	3 5 18 26 29
2021-04-05	16	1st	5 12 23 30 39
2021-03-20	12	1st	5 11 22 27 35
2021-03-08	28	1st	5 10 21 33 40
2021-02-08	6	1st	5 10 18 24 28
2021-02-02	8	2nd	1 5 32 34 36
2021-01-25	6	2nd	1 5 13 15 25
2021-01-19	2	1st	5 6 12 22 29
2021-01-17	6	2nd	3 5 8 14 17
2021-01-11	5	1st	5 10 26 33 34
2021-01-06	8	1st	5 14 27 31 33
2020-12-29	15	1st	5 9 16 33 34
2020-12-14	2	1st	5 6 14 20 39
2020-12-12	1	1st	5 6 12 36 41
2020-12-11	23	1st	5 25 27 31 32
2020-11-18	4	2nd	3 5 15 16 40
2020-11-14	4	2nd	3 5 17 27 31
2020-11-10	2	1st	5 11 19 22 35
2020-11-08	11	1st	5 26 31 32 37
2020-10-28	—	1st	5 26 34 35 40