Number 22

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

90times drawn · chance expected 88 +0.25σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

27longest completed wait · 95% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 90 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, +0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 90 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 3.8
2nd smallest23 · chance 20.0
3rd smallest30 · chance 35.4
4th smallest22 · chance 24.9
5th smallest7 · chance 5.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

29 32 21 40 9 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-15	3	4th	1 3 19 22 38
2023-10-12	5	2nd	14 22 23 25 28
2023-10-07	3	3rd	8 19 22 31 32
2023-10-04	10	2nd	13 22 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-03-30	9	3rd	10 18 22 32 37
2023-03-21	3	4th	2 18 21 22 40
2023-03-18	9	5th	5 12 17 21 22
2023-03-09	15	2nd	11 22 26 36 39
2023-02-22	3	1st	22 27 30 35 39
2023-02-19	2	4th	12 13 20 22 31
2023-02-17	1	4th	11 12 16 22 41
2023-02-16	6	4th	2 3 13 22 36
2023-02-10	11	2nd	19 22 31 37 41
2023-01-30	2	2nd	5 22 28 31 34
2023-01-28	17	3rd	1 21 22 27 29
2023-01-11	6	3rd	8 20 22 32 36
2023-01-05	14	5th	2 5 6 8 22
2021-12-22	4	5th	1 4 15 20 22
2021-12-18	2	4th	1 4 8 22 24
2021-12-16	3	1st	22 28 34 35 41
2021-12-13	6	3rd	11 14 22 25 34
2021-12-07	27	2nd	21 22 24 28 32
2021-11-10	1	1st	22 27 29 31 38
2021-11-09	4	2nd	7 22 31 32 40
2021-11-05	13	3rd	13 17 22 36 40
2021-10-23	5	4th	6 18 20 22 24
2021-10-18	8	4th	11 15 20 22 39
2021-10-10	1	3rd	7 9 22 24 32
2021-10-09	2	2nd	17 22 30 32 37
2021-10-07	3	4th	2 10 21 22 39
2021-10-04	11	1st	22 24 25 36 39
2021-09-23	2	3rd	3 5 22 29 34
2021-09-21	5	3rd	15 21 22 34 41
2021-09-16	1	4th	7 14 16 22 27
2021-09-15	2	2nd	3 22 33 34 41
2021-09-13	6	4th	11 15 17 22 24
2021-09-07	6	4th	15 16 21 22 41
2021-09-01	2	3rd	6 10 22 27 40
2021-08-30	2	3rd	5 8 22 31 34
2021-08-28	9	4th	3 6 17 22 26
2021-08-19	14	4th	1 5 11 22 37
2021-08-05	9	2nd	1 22 29 30 32
2021-07-27	17	2nd	9 22 31 32 40
2021-07-10	13	3rd	15 18 22 28 39
2021-06-27	1	3rd	4 16 22 30 40
2021-06-26	17	3rd	9 13 22 39 40
2021-06-09	10	2nd	9 22 23 25 29
2021-05-30	1	4th	1 2 9 22 27
2021-05-29	15	4th	9 11 18 22 25
2021-05-14	12	3rd	2 21 22 24 29
2021-05-02	18	2nd	16 22 26 29 37
2021-04-14	2	1st	22 25 32 35 40
2021-04-12	22	2nd	14 22 23 33 34
2021-03-21	1	3rd	14 19 22 27 28
2021-03-20	1	3rd	5 11 22 27 35
2021-03-19	5	4th	9 10 20 22 24
2021-03-14	4	3rd	2 21 22 23 41
2021-03-10	6	5th	9 10 17 18 22
2021-03-04	21	3rd	6 7 22 26 37
2021-02-11	15	3rd	1 20 22 25 29
2021-01-27	1	3rd	7 16 22 24 32
2021-01-26	7	2nd	21 22 25 31 40
2021-01-19	25	4th	5 6 12 22 29
2020-12-25	24	3rd	16 21 22 29 40
2020-12-01	2	2nd	18 22 27 33 36
2020-11-29	2	4th	3 11 13 22 39
2020-11-27	8	2nd	18 22 25 29 31
2020-11-19	9	3rd	11 21 22 37 38
2020-11-10	6	4th	5 11 19 22 35
2020-11-04	—	2nd	16 22 32 34 36