Number 30

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Oct 2020 – Oct 2023 rules — 720 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

89times drawn · chance expected 88 +0.14σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

30longest completed wait · 87% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws against 87.8 expected, +0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 720 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.3
2nd smallest8 · chance 4.7
3rd smallest29 · chance 21.7
4th smallest37 · chance 39.1
5th smallest14 · chance 23.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 39 9 31 38 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-10-13	2	4th	8 11 29 30 33
2023-10-11	9	4th	14 25 27 30 36
2023-10-02	2	5th	8 18 19 20 30
2023-09-30	28	2nd	10 30 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-03-06	4	5th	1 5 6 19 30
2023-03-02	8	4th	9 12 16 30 31
2023-02-22	9	3rd	22 27 30 35 39
2023-02-13	20	5th	3 10 17 26 30
2023-01-24	5	4th	10 15 21 30 38
2023-01-19	2	4th	9 10 24 30 39
2023-01-17	5	4th	13 24 27 30 36
2023-01-12	23	3rd	5 17 30 35 37
2021-12-20	15	5th	7 9 10 27 30
2021-12-05	3	3rd	23 26 30 32 38
2021-12-02	11	4th	2 15 24 30 36
2021-11-21	6	5th	1 6 16 23 30
2021-11-15	1	2nd	14 30 35 36 38
2021-11-14	7	4th	7 9 23 30 41
2021-11-07	26	5th	2 3 16 24 30
2021-10-12	3	4th	23 25 26 30 37
2021-10-09	7	3rd	17 22 30 32 37
2021-10-02	7	3rd	19 28 30 32 39
2021-09-25	8	5th	3 18 27 29 30
2021-09-17	11	3rd	12 25 30 31 37
2021-09-06	22	3rd	8 9 30 33 38
2021-08-15	10	3rd	9 16 30 37 38
2021-08-05	4	4th	1 22 29 30 32
2021-08-01	11	4th	4 27 29 30 41
2021-07-21	7	5th	4 11 17 19 30
2021-07-14	11	4th	20 23 25 30 38
2021-07-03	3	2nd	21 30 31 32 39
2021-06-30	3	3rd	16 23 30 38 40
2021-06-27	15	4th	4 16 22 30 40
2021-06-12	16	5th	8 11 23 24 30
2021-05-27	11	5th	14 16 20 26 30
2021-05-16	8	5th	5 9 18 27 30
2021-05-08	9	1st	30 34 35 38 41
2021-04-29	2	3rd	8 23 30 40 41
2021-04-27	4	3rd	14 24 30 32 41
2021-04-23	2	3rd	2 8 30 32 39
2021-04-21	11	2nd	10 30 35 38 41
2021-04-10	5	4th	2 4 12 30 31
2021-04-05	8	4th	5 12 23 30 39
2021-03-28	2	5th	4 14 19 25 30
2021-03-26	14	3rd	1 26 30 40 41
2021-03-12	6	3rd	20 24 30 33 34
2021-03-06	1	4th	18 20 29 30 32
2021-03-05	10	5th	16 17 19 27 30
2021-02-23	8	3rd	25 29 30 34 35
2021-02-15	9	2nd	1 30 33 36 37
2021-02-06	1	4th	6 17 19 30 37
2021-02-05	2	4th	4 17 28 30 33
2021-02-03	2	4th	1 14 29 30 36
2021-02-01	3	4th	2 8 24 30 39
2021-01-29	13	3rd	11 26 30 31 35
2021-01-16	13	4th	2 16 28 30 39
2021-01-03	6	3rd	9 21 30 31 41
2020-12-28	1	4th	3 6 28 30 39
2020-12-27	6	4th	1 4 17 30 35
2020-12-21	2	4th	9 18 19 30 40
2020-12-19	2	2nd	23 30 32 34 37
2020-12-17	4	4th	12 15 29 30 39
2020-12-13	21	5th	8 21 24 27 30
2020-11-22	6	4th	4 15 29 30 36
2020-11-16	5	3rd	14 18 30 34 39
2020-11-11	5	3rd	6 23 30 38 39
2020-11-06	5	4th	1 9 13 30 31
2020-11-01	3	3rd	7 21 30 37 40
2020-10-29	—	2nd	27 30 32 33 37