Number 11

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

324times drawn · chance expected 309 +0.94σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

32longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 324 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, +0.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 324 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest89 · chance 89.9
2nd smallest136 · chance 143.8
3rd smallest76 · chance 74.7
4th smallest22 · chance 14.7
5th smallest1 · chance 0.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 34.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 5 8 2 12 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-07	5	2nd	5 11 12 23 36
2016-11-02	2	1st	11 12 25 33 36
2016-10-31	10	2nd	5 11 23 28 31
2016-10-21	7	2nd	5 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-06-14	3	3rd	4 9 11 21 34
2016-06-11	4	2nd	9 11 14 24 31
2016-06-07	3	1st	11 13 19 33 39
2016-06-04	2	2nd	8 11 21 23 38
2016-06-02	4	2nd	9 11 20 21 22
2016-05-29	2	2nd	5 11 16 24 26
2016-05-27	22	1st	11 17 22 37 39
2016-05-05	5	4th	3 4 8 11 15
2016-04-30	1	3rd	5 7 11 24 31
2016-04-29	2	2nd	1 11 17 20 29
2016-04-27	10	3rd	8 9 11 17 30
2016-04-17	1	4th	1 3 7 11 16
2016-04-16	4	2nd	4 11 22 29 33
2016-04-12	3	2nd	9 11 12 37 38
2016-04-09	3	1st	11 16 20 22 29
2016-04-06	10	2nd	9 11 13 27 35
2016-03-27	4	2nd	1 11 15 21 34
2016-03-23	17	2nd	5 11 18 26 35
2016-03-06	4	2nd	7 11 18 24 31
2016-03-02	10	1st	11 18 33 37 38
2016-02-21	1	2nd	4 11 12 26 38
2016-02-20	12	2nd	4 11 16 32 36
2016-02-08	9	3rd	3 8 11 24 34
2016-01-30	6	3rd	2 5 11 15 18
2016-01-24	6	2nd	1 11 14 38 39
2016-01-18	3	1st	11 26 27 29 32
2016-01-15	2	1st	11 12 24 28 30
2016-01-13	16	1st	11 13 17 27 36
2015-12-28	1	2nd	2 11 18 20 35
2015-12-27	9	1st	11 17 19 24 28
2015-12-18	21	3rd	1 5 11 26 35
2015-11-27	7	3rd	5 10 11 14 25
2015-11-20	6	3rd	4 9 11 21 35
2015-11-14	9	1st	11 18 19 26 39
2015-11-05	4	3rd	2 8 11 19 35
2015-11-01	5	1st	11 17 20 24 30
2015-10-27	3	2nd	3 11 14 17 27
2015-10-24	16	2nd	2 11 16 32 37
2015-10-08	14	3rd	1 6 11 14 26
2015-09-24	21	3rd	5 6 11 26 33
2015-09-03	2	2nd	5 11 21 24 28
2015-09-01	2	2nd	10 11 16 35 39
2015-08-30	1	3rd	4 8 11 19 27
2015-08-29	16	1st	11 16 17 29 35
2015-08-13	6	2nd	9 11 14 19 22
2015-08-07	3	2nd	1 11 19 25 38
2015-08-04	7	3rd	2 10 11 12 37
2015-07-28	2	1st	11 21 25 29 34
2015-07-26	6	3rd	1 4 11 16 33
2015-07-20	2	2nd	3 11 20 21 22
2015-07-18	1	1st	11 22 26 27 30
2015-07-17	2	2nd	5 11 12 20 28
2015-07-15	5	3rd	3 8 11 27 31
2015-07-10	9	1st	11 14 23 33 37
2015-07-01	9	1st	11 12 16 17 22
2015-06-22	15	2nd	7 11 19 27 31
2015-06-07	1	4th	4 7 10 11 24
2015-06-06	1	3rd	7 9 11 35 36
2015-06-05	7	2nd	4 11 13 21 35
2015-05-29	4	3rd	1 7 11 32 38
2015-05-25	1	3rd	3 8 11 24 38
2015-05-24	3	1st	11 17 19 24 39
2015-05-21	4	2nd	8 11 15 21 28
2015-05-17	1	3rd	1 7 11 26 39
2015-05-16	3	1st	11 21 26 28 30
2015-05-13	16	1st	11 12 13 16 25
2015-04-26	1	2nd	2 11 24 31 33
2015-04-25	1	3rd	5 6 11 31 35
2015-04-24	10	1st	11 14 17 18 27
2015-04-14	15	1st	11 19 21 24 31
2015-03-30	6	2nd	6 11 15 31 36
2015-03-24	1	1st	11 14 18 24 39
2015-03-23	7	2nd	7 11 18 23 24
2015-03-16	10	3rd	3 9 11 29 37
2015-03-06	8	2nd	8 11 15 17 28
2015-02-26	10	2nd	10 11 12 13 30
2015-02-16	3	2nd	1 11 20 34 38
2015-02-13	10	4th	7 9 10 11 33
2015-02-03	15	3rd	3 4 11 18 26
2015-01-19	2	1st	11 20 25 27 28
2015-01-17	6	3rd	1 7 11 16 22
2015-01-11	1	5th	1 4 5 10 11
2015-01-10	8	2nd	1 11 26 33 38
2015-01-02	2	2nd	2 11 16 17 26
2014-12-31	14	3rd	1 4 11 15 27
2014-12-17	4	1st	11 18 22 26 27
2014-12-13	8	2nd	9 11 14 18 33
2014-12-05	12	2nd	8 11 27 32 39
2014-11-23	13	2nd	5 11 18 23 25
2014-11-10	16	2nd	8 11 13 15 30
2014-10-25	11	3rd	2 7 11 14 30
2014-10-14	4	2nd	1 11 26 30 32
2014-10-10	3	2nd	8 11 12 16 24
2014-10-07	25	1st	11 13 16 34 35
2014-09-12	4	3rd	2 8 11 13 35
2014-09-08	14	2nd	7 11 13 18 32
2014-08-25	11	1st	11 12 15 24 37
2014-08-14	7	2nd	7 11 20 21 24
2014-08-07	15	2nd	1 11 13 16 36
2014-07-23	2	2nd	1 11 30 31 36
2014-07-21	2	1st	11 18 26 27 28
2014-07-19	10	4th	4 5 10 11 25
2014-07-09	7	1st	11 18 22 27 32
2014-07-01	5	2nd	1 11 12 17 38
2014-06-26	10	1st	11 14 15 27 39
2014-06-16	13	1st	11 25 26 28 35
2014-06-03	6	2nd	9 11 21 33 34
2014-05-28	1	2nd	10 11 12 28 30
2014-05-27	29	2nd	2 11 15 26 38
2014-04-28	3	2nd	3 11 14 19 36
2014-04-25	5	3rd	8 9 11 13 31
2014-04-20	22	3rd	2 10 11 18 25
2014-03-29	4	1st	11 15 18 33 34
2014-03-25	12	1st	11 21 22 29 30
2014-03-13	2	1st	11 24 28 32 38
2014-03-11	7	1st	11 12 20 26 35
2014-03-04	24	1st	11 13 15 20 31
2014-02-08	9	2nd	7 11 18 28 33
2014-01-30	7	4th	3 6 10 11 36
2014-01-23	1	4th	1 4 8 11 12
2014-01-22	1	4th	1 4 6 11 31
2014-01-21	9	2nd	3 11 13 16 27
2014-01-12	12	1st	11 12 27 29 30
2013-12-31	1	2nd	3 11 15 23 26
2013-12-30	8	2nd	3 11 14 17 19
2013-12-22	13	1st	11 15 18 24 39
2013-12-09	4	1st	11 28 30 31 33
2013-12-05	3	1st	11 22 29 31 38
2013-12-02	1	4th	3 8 10 11 14
2013-12-01	2	1st	11 17 30 35 37
2013-11-29	1	3rd	9 10 11 16 28
2013-11-28	10	3rd	3 7 11 24 32
2013-11-18	2	3rd	2 7 11 21 28
2013-11-16	22	2nd	4 11 19 30 33
2013-10-25	6	3rd	3 4 11 22 25
2013-10-19	6	2nd	4 11 23 25 34
2013-10-13	2	3rd	2 7 11 21 24
2013-10-11	1	2nd	8 11 16 25 31
2013-10-10	8	1st	11 14 25 28 32
2013-10-02	8	1st	11 12 14 15 17
2013-09-24	5	2nd	1 11 16 19 20
2013-09-19	1	2nd	5 11 16 31 32
2013-09-18	7	2nd	9 11 14 17 29
2013-09-11	8	2nd	8 11 29 36 37
2013-09-03	2	1st	11 21 23 31 38
2013-09-01	16	3rd	4 9 11 17 35
2013-08-16	1	1st	11 16 26 32 33
2013-08-15	5	2nd	7 11 12 13 14
2013-08-10	2	2nd	3 11 14 16 25
2013-08-08	3	1st	11 25 26 29 37
2013-08-05	4	3rd	1 8 11 19 30
2013-08-01	3	2nd	3 11 16 20 22
2013-07-29	4	2nd	3 11 17 25 37
2013-07-25	6	1st	11 18 20 26 29
2013-07-19	3	2nd	10 11 12 27 39
2013-07-16	1	3rd	5 10 11 26 31
2013-07-15	17	3rd	3 6 11 19 39
2013-06-28	5	1st	11 13 24 29 36
2013-06-23	7	2nd	9 11 21 28 31
2013-06-16	13	2nd	7 11 20 21 39
2013-06-03	10	3rd	4 9 11 18 21
2013-05-24	10	4th	2 8 10 11 16
2013-05-14	1	2nd	2 11 13 19 26
2013-05-13	7	3rd	6 10 11 16 27
2013-05-06	6	3rd	5 8 11 21 32
2013-04-30	3	2nd	1 11 23 24 38
2013-04-27	6	2nd	2 11 18 31 38
2013-04-21	13	1st	11 15 17 20 27
2013-04-08	1	2nd	4 11 14 15 39
2013-04-07	5	2nd	8 11 16 26 35
2013-04-02	4	1st	11 15 20 30 32
2013-03-29	7	3rd	5 6 11 12 19
2013-03-22	1	1st	11 22 29 35 37
2013-03-21	11	2nd	3 11 19 23 34
2013-03-10	20	3rd	2 5 11 14 23
2013-02-18	2	3rd	2 9 11 26 34
2013-02-16	7	1st	11 18 29 32 39
2013-02-09	10	2nd	4 11 18 22 33
2013-01-30	24	1st	11 19 33 36 38
2013-01-06	6	4th	4 5 9 11 34
2012-12-31	2	2nd	8 11 30 32 37
2012-12-29	7	3rd	2 10 11 22 24
2012-12-22	2	2nd	2 11 12 13 25
2012-12-20	5	3rd	2 9 11 25 36
2012-12-15	5	2nd	2 11 18 34 37
2012-12-10	8	2nd	5 11 27 29 38
2012-12-02	7	3rd	1 2 11 27 29
2012-11-25	26	2nd	1 11 19 24 37
2012-10-30	18	2nd	10 11 17 33 37
2012-10-12	1	2nd	3 11 18 26 35
2012-10-11	4	3rd	2 4 11 18 27
2012-10-07	7	2nd	2 11 20 28 35
2012-09-30	21	2nd	5 11 30 36 39
2012-09-09	1	2nd	2 11 15 20 29
2012-09-08	13	1st	11 20 22 35 38
2012-08-26	4	4th	3 5 8 11 27
2012-08-22	26	2nd	2 11 14 26 34
2012-07-27	17	3rd	5 6 11 17 29
2012-07-10	10	1st	11 12 15 20 28
2012-06-29	4	1st	11 12 21 23 33
2012-06-25	2	3rd	3 5 11 23 37
2012-06-23	2	2nd	7 11 13 20 38
2012-06-21	7	2nd	2 11 17 30 33
2012-06-14	27	4th	1 3 6 11 23
2012-05-18	6	2nd	6 11 15 31 37
2012-05-10	5	1st	11 22 23 29 37
2012-05-05	1	2nd	5 11 27 29 35
2012-05-04	2	1st	11 13 17 34 39
2012-05-02	18	1st	11 17 29 36 37
2012-04-14	8	3rd	6 7 11 35 37
2012-04-06	24	1st	11 17 22 26 37
2012-03-13	21	2nd	1 11 13 24 30
2012-02-21	4	3rd	1 8 11 19 30
2012-02-17	11	1st	11 14 27 32 33
2012-02-06	8	2nd	6 11 18 36 37
2012-01-29	1	3rd	3 6 11 18 38
2012-01-28	4	2nd	8 11 21 27 35
2012-01-24	14	4th	3 4 8 11 25
2012-01-10	13	2nd	6 11 14 20 36
2011-12-28	6	2nd	9 11 20 25 32
2011-12-22	18	2nd	5 11 20 21 29
2011-12-04	11	4th	1 3 4 11 21
2011-11-23	12	3rd	4 8 11 12 28
2011-11-11	2	3rd	5 9 11 14 23
2011-11-09	11	2nd	6 11 13 33 34
2011-10-29	7	2nd	6 11 24 25 34
2011-10-22	1	2nd	10 11 12 15 31
2011-10-21	4	2nd	7 11 14 22 26
2011-10-17	18	1st	11 16 18 32 36
2011-09-28	5	4th	2 4 5 11 18
2011-09-23	16	1st	11 19 22 32 36
2011-09-07	13	1st	11 12 17 26 37
2011-08-25	2	1st	11 25 27 28 38
2011-08-23	14	4th	1 4 6 11 33
2011-08-08	5	1st	11 13 18 19 24
2011-08-03	7	1st	11 14 30 32 35
2011-07-27	7	2nd	9 11 23 30 31
2011-07-20	2	1st	11 19 27 30 31
2011-07-18	7	2nd	8 11 12 15 36
2011-07-11	9	3rd	6 7 11 23 28
2011-07-01	13	2nd	5 11 14 30 31
2011-06-18	2	3rd	5 9 11 19 34
2011-06-16	12	2nd	6 11 30 31 35
2011-06-04	2	2nd	1 11 17 24 31
2011-06-02	16	3rd	2 7 11 15 33
2011-05-17	5	4th	2 5 8 11 16
2011-05-12	9	1st	11 23 27 31 35
2011-05-03	10	3rd	2 3 11 21 27
2011-04-23	9	1st	11 15 30 34 37
2011-04-14	4	2nd	5 11 24 30 32
2011-04-10	2	1st	11 19 22 32 34
2011-04-08	7	2nd	5 11 14 28 36
2011-04-01	10	3rd	6 7 11 12 26
2011-03-22	2	2nd	3 11 17 30 34
2011-03-20	11	3rd	4 9 11 14 25
2011-03-09	2	1st	11 20 29 34 37
2011-03-07	11	2nd	3 11 22 23 24
2011-02-24	1	2nd	10 11 14 15 16
2011-02-23	3	1st	11 17 31 37 38
2011-02-20	1	3rd	3 10 11 19 37
2011-02-19	12	2nd	6 11 13 34 37
2011-02-07	1	3rd	5 7 11 14 19
2011-02-06	7	1st	11 16 22 27 33
2011-01-30	6	2nd	10 11 16 19 33
2011-01-24	12	1st	11 12 21 23 25
2011-01-12	9	2nd	2 11 17 21 34
2011-01-03	13	3rd	1 7 11 30 39
2010-12-21	12	4th	3 6 9 11 12
2010-12-09	6	2nd	8 11 13 34 35
2010-12-03	3	4th	7 8 10 11 37
2010-11-30	1	2nd	3 11 17 19 32
2010-11-29	17	3rd	3 7 11 15 39
2010-11-12	23	2nd	6 11 29 36 39
2010-10-20	5	2nd	1 11 31 34 35
2010-10-15	13	3rd	5 9 11 35 38
2010-10-02	1	1st	11 13 21 24 28
2010-10-01	1	3rd	2 4 11 31 32
2010-09-30	8	2nd	7 11 26 32 38
2010-09-22	3	3rd	9 10 11 12 16
2010-09-19	1	4th	2 8 10 11 22
2010-09-18	1	2nd	2 11 21 23 25
2010-09-17	28	2nd	9 11 15 30 34
2010-08-20	3	1st	11 12 19 31 32
2010-08-17	18	1st	11 20 30 31 35
2010-07-30	7	2nd	10 11 25 27 34
2010-07-23	1	1st	11 13 20 29 30
2010-07-22	5	1st	11 12 17 23 24
2010-07-17	6	1st	11 12 15 21 25
2010-07-11	23	2nd	1 11 13 24 34
2010-06-18	1	1st	11 17 26 30 36
2010-06-17	7	3rd	6 9 11 12 18
2010-06-10	5	2nd	10 11 24 35 38
2010-06-05	1	1st	11 13 14 24 30
2010-06-04	4	2nd	8 11 12 24 27
2010-05-31	1	3rd	2 8 11 28 29
2010-05-30	6	3rd	2 7 11 18 28
2010-05-24	32	1st	11 16 33 36 38
2010-04-22	4	3rd	1 3 11 16 28
2010-04-18	4	2nd	5 11 25 27 37
2010-04-14	—	3rd	2 8 11 19 25