Number 12

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

298times drawn · chance expected 309 −0.65σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 58% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

37longest completed wait · 88% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 298 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, −0.65σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 298 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest77 · chance 70.9
2nd smallest130 · chance 129.9
3rd smallest65 · chance 77.9
4th smallest24 · chance 18.0
5th smallest2 · chance 1.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 31.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 11 30 18 23 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-10	3	2nd	8 12 13 18 30
2016-11-07	5	3rd	5 11 12 23 36
2016-11-02	9	2nd	11 12 25 33 36
2016-10-24	3	2nd	7 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-03-11	4	2nd	1 12 24 29 36
2016-03-07	10	2nd	8 12 23 34 36
2016-02-26	3	1st	12 22 23 33 35
2016-02-23	2	3rd	1 4 12 31 37
2016-02-21	2	3rd	4 11 12 26 38
2016-02-19	9	1st	12 14 27 29 34
2016-02-10	26	1st	12 13 17 23 35
2016-01-15	14	2nd	11 12 24 28 30
2016-01-01	7	2nd	3 12 14 21 27
2015-12-25	4	2nd	2 12 30 31 36
2015-12-21	1	1st	12 22 28 33 34
2015-12-20	6	2nd	5 12 33 34 37
2015-12-14	7	3rd	2 10 12 29 31
2015-12-07	16	2nd	8 12 19 28 33
2015-11-21	6	2nd	10 12 13 32 35
2015-11-15	2	3rd	6 7 12 14 22
2015-11-13	1	2nd	7 12 18 35 38
2015-11-12	2	2nd	6 12 18 32 39
2015-11-10	3	1st	12 18 20 24 35
2015-11-07	1	2nd	6 12 24 36 37
2015-11-06	3	3rd	4 9 12 20 23
2015-11-03	3	3rd	4 6 12 27 35
2015-10-31	8	2nd	10 12 22 29 36
2015-10-23	1	1st	12 14 22 24 30
2015-10-22	1	3rd	4 9 12 25 34
2015-10-21	3	2nd	8 12 17 24 29
2015-10-18	7	3rd	6 9 12 16 29
2015-10-11	9	1st	12 17 22 24 31
2015-10-02	16	2nd	8 12 16 20 37
2015-09-16	26	3rd	3 6 12 20 26
2015-08-21	17	2nd	1 12 18 34 35
2015-08-04	16	4th	2 10 11 12 37
2015-07-19	2	3rd	1 2 12 14 32
2015-07-17	3	3rd	5 11 12 20 28
2015-07-14	9	1st	12 22 26 31 32
2015-07-05	1	3rd	1 7 12 27 29
2015-07-04	3	3rd	1 5 12 19 31
2015-07-01	5	2nd	11 12 16 17 22
2015-06-26	5	1st	12 13 23 24 26
2015-06-21	5	2nd	6 12 15 23 32
2015-06-16	1	1st	12 13 14 23 35
2015-06-15	31	4th	1 2 10 12 22
2015-05-15	2	2nd	2 12 24 27 34
2015-05-13	10	2nd	11 12 13 16 25
2015-05-02	2	2nd	3 12 17 23 25
2015-04-30	11	1st	12 19 33 36 39
2015-04-19	1	2nd	2 12 21 24 36
2015-04-18	1	1st	12 16 18 22 31
2015-04-17	2	2nd	6 12 29 31 35
2015-04-15	27	2nd	9 12 23 31 39
2015-03-19	6	2nd	8 12 14 15 34
2015-03-13	1	2nd	3 12 13 18 27
2015-03-12	2	4th	1 4 10 12 28
2015-03-10	5	2nd	10 12 17 20 36
2015-03-05	7	4th	4 8 9 12 17
2015-02-26	7	3rd	10 11 12 13 30
2015-02-19	35	2nd	5 12 19 21 38
2015-01-15	2	2nd	5 12 15 30 34
2015-01-13	30	1st	12 18 26 30 34
2014-12-14	6	1st	12 18 19 24 27
2014-12-08	5	2nd	5 12 15 31 37
2014-12-03	3	3rd	2 8 12 30 33
2014-11-30	9	1st	12 13 14 17 34
2014-11-21	2	2nd	7 12 13 30 35
2014-11-19	7	2nd	9 12 15 30 34
2014-11-12	1	2nd	1 12 18 23 28
2014-11-11	16	2nd	6 12 21 33 37
2014-10-26	9	1st	12 19 24 27 32
2014-10-17	7	4th	4 7 10 12 35
2014-10-10	20	3rd	8 11 12 16 24
2014-09-20	3	3rd	6 7 12 28 31
2014-09-17	4	2nd	3 12 19 24 37
2014-09-13	3	1st	12 15 26 32 34
2014-09-10	9	2nd	7 12 14 21 34
2014-09-01	7	4th	2 5 9 12 22
2014-08-25	14	2nd	11 12 15 24 37
2014-08-11	6	2nd	10 12 17 27 35
2014-08-05	2	3rd	5 6 12 26 35
2014-08-03	19	1st	12 17 21 33 38
2014-07-15	13	1st	12 17 19 25 31
2014-07-01	1	3rd	1 11 12 17 38
2014-06-30	2	2nd	2 12 18 25 27
2014-06-28	7	2nd	9 12 24 25 33
2014-06-21	9	1st	12 17 34 37 39
2014-06-12	3	2nd	9 12 28 35 37
2014-06-09	9	2nd	3 12 17 18 32
2014-05-31	3	2nd	3 12 25 26 31
2014-05-28	14	3rd	10 11 12 28 30
2014-05-14	6	2nd	6 12 18 20 23
2014-05-08	6	3rd	8 10 12 22 39
2014-05-02	32	2nd	3 12 16 21 38
2014-03-31	11	1st	12 21 31 32 36
2014-03-20	9	4th	4 6 8 12 17
2014-03-11	11	2nd	11 12 20 26 35
2014-02-28	3	1st	12 13 14 16 20
2014-02-25	2	3rd	7 9 12 13 26
2014-02-23	12	1st	12 14 17 19 36
2014-02-11	5	2nd	4 12 17 35 37
2014-02-06	14	2nd	1 12 17 21 27
2014-01-23	11	5th	1 4 8 11 12
2014-01-12	18	2nd	11 12 27 29 30
2013-12-25	13	2nd	4 12 17 37 38
2013-12-12	6	1st	12 24 26 28 36
2013-12-06	2	2nd	6 12 18 36 39
2013-12-04	1	4th	5 7 8 12 23
2013-12-03	3	4th	6 8 9 12 18
2013-11-30	5	4th	4 5 7 12 27
2013-11-25	8	1st	12 19 28 29 34
2013-11-17	21	1st	12 22 27 36 38
2013-10-27	25	4th	2 6 10 12 30
2013-10-02	1	2nd	11 12 14 15 17
2013-10-01	21	2nd	7 12 14 15 23
2013-09-10	6	2nd	5 12 18 23 38
2013-09-04	14	1st	12 13 14 18 38
2013-08-21	4	2nd	10 12 14 32 34
2013-08-17	2	3rd	5 8 12 30 34
2013-08-15	27	3rd	7 11 12 13 14
2013-07-19	24	3rd	10 11 12 27 39
2013-06-25	3	2nd	4 12 13 20 30
2013-06-22	14	2nd	1 12 15 29 30
2013-06-08	10	1st	12 17 18 23 24
2013-05-29	22	2nd	1 12 22 27 33
2013-05-07	3	2nd	9 12 17 28 30
2013-05-04	3	2nd	3 12 32 36 37
2013-05-01	7	2nd	8 12 17 25 32
2013-04-24	13	1st	12 15 18 27 39
2013-04-11	13	2nd	2 12 22 29 37
2013-03-29	4	4th	5 6 11 12 19
2013-03-25	2	2nd	8 12 21 34 39
2013-03-23	5	2nd	10 12 13 19 27
2013-03-18	3	2nd	2 12 27 30 32
2013-03-15	1	3rd	6 10 12 29 32
2013-03-14	1	2nd	5 12 13 22 33
2013-03-13	21	1st	12 23 28 32 35
2013-02-20	6	1st	12 20 29 31 34
2013-02-14	2	2nd	8 12 13 32 35
2013-02-12	16	2nd	1 12 19 22 27
2013-01-27	2	1st	12 29 30 34 39
2013-01-25	17	3rd	2 4 12 13 34
2013-01-08	7	1st	12 15 23 35 38
2013-01-01	2	3rd	6 8 12 30 33
2012-12-30	2	1st	12 22 31 32 35
2012-12-28	6	2nd	3 12 24 29 30
2012-12-22	16	3rd	2 11 12 13 25
2012-12-06	6	1st	12 21 27 35 37
2012-11-30	6	3rd	7 9 12 19 36
2012-11-24	2	2nd	3 12 26 28 38
2012-11-22	17	1st	12 17 21 23 37
2012-11-05	8	2nd	8 12 15 24 26
2012-10-28	1	2nd	7 12 14 28 34
2012-10-27	23	3rd	4 6 12 24 34
2012-10-04	5	3rd	2 9 12 29 32
2012-09-29	3	3rd	1 10 12 14 30
2012-09-26	1	2nd	4 12 18 22 33
2012-09-25	6	4th	2 7 8 12 30
2012-09-19	3	2nd	8 12 25 28 35
2012-09-16	1	2nd	3 12 34 36 38
2012-09-15	17	3rd	3 8 12 17 34
2012-08-29	4	1st	12 13 19 21 35
2012-08-25	1	2nd	8 12 19 26 28
2012-08-24	1	1st	12 30 31 35 38
2012-08-23	2	1st	12 22 28 30 35
2012-08-21	1	1st	12 22 32 34 39
2012-08-20	3	2nd	10 12 17 21 24
2012-08-17	6	1st	12 15 17 27 37
2012-08-11	4	3rd	4 8 12 26 27
2012-08-07	2	4th	2 4 6 12 16
2012-08-05	20	1st	12 16 21 31 38
2012-07-16	1	2nd	9 12 23 28 30
2012-07-15	1	4th	1 4 7 12 34
2012-07-14	4	1st	12 13 19 35 39
2012-07-10	10	2nd	11 12 15 20 28
2012-06-29	32	2nd	11 12 21 23 33
2012-05-28	18	2nd	3 12 21 26 39
2012-05-08	11	1st	12 21 30 36 38
2012-04-27	16	1st	12 14 22 27 34
2012-04-11	1	2nd	9 12 18 24 28
2012-04-10	2	3rd	2 7 12 15 24
2012-04-08	7	1st	12 18 27 33 38
2012-04-01	6	1st	12 17 19 24 39
2012-03-26	1	2nd	1 12 30 33 39
2012-03-25	16	2nd	2 12 13 23 30
2012-03-09	4	3rd	1 2 12 20 28
2012-03-05	14	1st	12 14 33 36 37
2012-02-20	6	1st	12 16 20 25 38
2012-02-14	37	2nd	4 12 25 26 33
2012-01-08	14	3rd	4 7 12 33 34
2011-12-25	5	3rd	6 9 12 30 32
2011-12-20	10	1st	12 15 23 24 30
2011-12-10	3	2nd	1 12 22 25 37
2011-12-07	14	3rd	5 8 12 31 36
2011-11-23	15	4th	4 8 11 12 28
2011-11-08	1	1st	12 24 25 30 38
2011-11-07	2	3rd	7 9 12 25 36
2011-11-05	8	2nd	9 12 13 19 28
2011-10-28	4	2nd	4 12 18 20 39
2011-10-24	2	3rd	2 7 12 15 33
2011-10-22	3	3rd	10 11 12 15 31
2011-10-19	7	2nd	1 12 24 33 37
2011-10-11	17	1st	12 20 21 32 33
2011-09-24	3	2nd	6 12 22 26 33
2011-09-21	6	1st	12 29 32 33 38
2011-09-15	2	3rd	1 2 12 18 32
2011-09-13	4	1st	12 15 18 23 31
2011-09-09	1	2nd	7 12 21 27 29
2011-09-08	1	2nd	2 12 19 30 31
2011-09-07	14	2nd	11 12 17 26 37
2011-08-24	16	2nd	4 12 15 21 33
2011-08-07	20	3rd	3 4 12 29 39
2011-07-18	1	3rd	8 11 12 15 36
2011-07-17	3	1st	12 13 15 23 24
2011-07-14	6	2nd	9 12 23 35 38
2011-07-08	16	3rd	4 10 12 13 33
2011-06-21	2	2nd	9 12 19 34 36
2011-06-19	12	2nd	4 12 18 22 28
2011-06-07	22	3rd	2 3 12 25 36
2011-05-16	18	1st	12 21 26 29 36
2011-04-28	1	3rd	3 5 12 25 36
2011-04-27	2	1st	12 28 31 35 38
2011-04-25	13	3rd	5 7 12 27 37
2011-04-12	6	2nd	1 12 24 27 32
2011-04-06	4	2nd	9 12 18 21 25
2011-04-02	1	2nd	1 12 18 28 32
2011-04-01	1	4th	6 7 11 12 26
2011-03-31	6	2nd	6 12 17 30 32
2011-03-25	1	1st	12 13 19 24 31
2011-03-24	9	2nd	4 12 16 30 36
2011-03-15	9	2nd	2 12 23 38 39
2011-03-06	16	1st	12 16 23 24 25
2011-02-18	3	3rd	1 9 12 17 36
2011-02-15	18	4th	1 5 9 12 19
2011-01-28	2	1st	12 14 20 22 35
2011-01-26	2	1st	12 22 27 32 34
2011-01-24	2	2nd	11 12 21 23 25
2011-01-22	1	2nd	6 12 16 18 25
2011-01-21	4	1st	12 15 18 20 23
2011-01-17	16	1st	12 23 25 29 34
2011-01-01	5	1st	12 22 26 32 39
2010-12-27	4	2nd	3 12 14 17 38
2010-12-23	2	2nd	8 12 19 28 29
2010-12-21	3	5th	3 6 9 11 12
2010-12-18	6	1st	12 18 20 23 39
2010-12-12	2	2nd	10 12 18 19 35
2010-12-10	14	3rd	1 6 12 30 34
2010-11-26	26	2nd	4 12 24 33 39
2010-10-31	1	3rd	2 3 12 20 37
2010-10-30	14	3rd	7 8 12 27 39
2010-10-16	9	3rd	3 10 12 32 34
2010-10-07	2	3rd	2 3 12 16 26
2010-10-05	8	2nd	8 12 17 21 23
2010-09-27	5	4th	1 5 7 12 14
2010-09-22	33	4th	9 10 11 12 16
2010-08-20	1	2nd	11 12 19 31 32
2010-08-19	7	4th	3 5 7 12 16
2010-08-12	6	1st	12 14 15 24 30
2010-08-06	2	1st	12 19 25 33 34
2010-08-04	9	3rd	1 5 12 19 29
2010-07-26	4	2nd	8 12 16 22 36
2010-07-22	5	2nd	11 12 17 23 24
2010-07-17	3	2nd	11 12 15 21 25
2010-07-14	11	1st	12 23 28 31 33
2010-07-03	9	1st	12 14 15 17 23
2010-06-24	7	1st	12 18 20 21 38
2010-06-17	13	4th	6 9 11 12 18
2010-06-04	12	3rd	8 11 12 24 27
2010-05-23	9	3rd	3 10 12 32 35
2010-05-14	10	1st	12 18 26 28 33
2010-05-04	1	2nd	3 12 18 27 37
2010-05-03	7	2nd	1 12 32 35 39
2010-04-26	1	2nd	4 12 13 18 21
2010-04-25	2	2nd	5 12 17 30 39
2010-04-23	13	2nd	6 12 16 17 21
2010-04-10	1	3rd	3 6 12 20 22
2010-04-09	—	1st	12 17 20 34 39