Number 21

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

301times drawn · chance expected 309 −0.46σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

46longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 301 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, −0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 301 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 46 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest13 · chance 12.5
2nd smallest73 · chance 66.5
3rd smallest120 · chance 118.5
4th smallest83 · chance 83.7
5th smallest12 · chance 19.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 31.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

23 7 38 17 8 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-15	18	4th	2 17 18 21 23
2016-10-28	2	2nd	5 21 23 25 28
2016-10-26	3	2nd	20 21 25 38 39
2016-10-23	6	2nd	19 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-07-02	1	3rd	5 11 21 26 32
2016-07-01	1	3rd	9 10 21 22 28
2016-06-30	11	3rd	1 15 21 35 39
2016-06-19	5	2nd	7 21 27 33 36
2016-06-14	10	4th	4 9 11 21 34
2016-06-04	1	3rd	8 11 21 23 38
2016-06-03	1	1st	21 22 23 31 32
2016-06-02	8	4th	9 11 20 21 22
2016-05-25	3	3rd	10 16 21 30 33
2016-05-22	6	3rd	7 17 21 32 39
2016-05-16	8	3rd	7 9 21 22 24
2016-05-08	4	3rd	10 16 21 27 34
2016-05-04	9	1st	21 25 28 32 37
2016-04-25	11	3rd	6 14 21 25 32
2016-04-14	17	2nd	3 21 24 25 35
2016-03-28	1	3rd	2 7 21 31 36
2016-03-27	1	4th	1 11 15 21 34
2016-03-26	9	3rd	8 14 21 23 28
2016-03-17	9	4th	3 5 9 21 30
2016-03-08	46	1st	21 24 28 31 34
2016-01-22	21	4th	1 7 20 21 27
2016-01-01	8	4th	3 12 14 21 27
2015-12-24	1	1st	21 23 26 27 33
2015-12-23	33	2nd	19 21 22 28 34
2015-11-20	12	4th	4 9 11 21 35
2015-11-08	9	2nd	2 21 24 30 34
2015-10-30	27	3rd	6 10 21 31 32
2015-10-03	5	3rd	5 16 21 23 30
2015-09-28	1	3rd	4 16 21 24 35
2015-09-27	7	2nd	15 21 24 27 29
2015-09-20	1	3rd	4 10 21 22 34
2015-09-19	5	3rd	3 18 21 28 35
2015-09-14	1	1st	21 29 31 33 38
2015-09-13	9	3rd	1 2 21 31 39
2015-09-04	1	3rd	9 15 21 23 38
2015-09-03	10	3rd	5 11 21 24 28
2015-08-24	5	3rd	5 15 21 28 38
2015-08-19	1	2nd	2 21 22 28 30
2015-08-18	2	3rd	4 14 21 31 32
2015-08-16	5	3rd	13 15 21 24 38
2015-08-11	14	3rd	2 16 21 26 28
2015-07-28	6	2nd	11 21 25 29 34
2015-07-22	2	2nd	2 21 23 35 36
2015-07-20	22	4th	3 11 20 21 22
2015-06-28	14	2nd	17 21 32 35 36
2015-06-14	5	3rd	6 16 21 28 39
2015-06-09	1	2nd	17 21 25 33 38
2015-06-08	3	4th	8 13 19 21 31
2015-06-05	8	4th	4 11 13 21 35
2015-05-28	7	4th	1 5 18 21 24
2015-05-21	3	4th	8 11 15 21 28
2015-05-18	2	3rd	1 8 21 22 24
2015-05-16	9	2nd	11 21 26 28 30
2015-05-07	15	5th	4 9 13 19 21
2015-04-21	2	4th	1 7 14 21 24
2015-04-19	5	3rd	2 12 21 24 36
2015-04-14	10	3rd	11 19 21 24 31
2015-04-04	14	2nd	7 21 22 29 37
2015-03-21	1	4th	9 15 17 21 24
2015-03-20	17	4th	1 6 18 21 28
2015-03-03	3	5th	4 8 14 20 21
2015-02-28	7	3rd	2 8 21 29 30
2015-02-21	2	3rd	9 17 21 23 35
2015-02-19	8	4th	5 12 19 21 38
2015-02-11	12	4th	3 6 10 21 26
2015-01-30	5	3rd	2 4 21 26 33
2015-01-25	21	2nd	19 21 30 37 38
2015-01-04	3	2nd	13 21 24 28 30
2015-01-01	7	3rd	3 8 21 27 33
2014-12-25	3	1st	21 24 25 30 36
2014-12-22	7	2nd	7 21 23 26 35
2014-12-15	4	2nd	20 21 24 26 27
2014-12-11	15	2nd	15 21 29 30 36
2014-11-26	2	4th	5 8 9 21 33
2014-11-24	13	4th	2 10 19 21 34
2014-11-11	8	3rd	6 12 21 33 37
2014-11-03	2	4th	1 5 8 21 35
2014-11-01	24	2nd	18 21 25 26 33
2014-10-08	9	4th	6 16 18 21 24
2014-09-29	3	4th	6 13 15 21 33
2014-09-26	4	4th	7 9 15 21 28
2014-09-22	12	1st	21 22 24 32 35
2014-09-10	14	4th	7 12 14 21 34
2014-08-27	10	3rd	6 8 21 32 38
2014-08-17	1	3rd	7 17 21 30 38
2014-08-16	2	4th	4 5 20 21 33
2014-08-14	2	4th	7 11 20 21 24
2014-08-12	9	4th	13 18 20 21 37
2014-08-03	14	3rd	12 17 21 33 38
2014-07-20	3	3rd	1 7 21 22 30
2014-07-17	26	2nd	13 21 32 33 36
2014-06-20	12	2nd	10 21 26 28 35
2014-06-08	5	3rd	6 7 21 24 39
2014-06-03	31	3rd	9 11 21 33 34
2014-05-03	1	3rd	10 17 21 23 35
2014-05-02	17	4th	3 12 16 21 38
2014-04-15	3	2nd	16 21 26 29 32
2014-04-12	5	4th	6 13 19 21 23
2014-04-07	6	4th	15 18 20 21 38
2014-04-01	1	3rd	14 15 21 23 39
2014-03-31	6	2nd	12 21 31 32 36
2014-03-25	10	2nd	11 21 22 29 30
2014-03-15	6	3rd	15 17 21 29 33
2014-03-09	2	2nd	17 21 23 25 37
2014-03-07	21	4th	4 13 18 21 24
2014-02-14	8	3rd	1 5 21 29 39
2014-02-06	12	4th	1 12 17 21 27
2014-01-25	8	4th	2 13 20 21 22
2014-01-17	6	5th	6 15 18 20 21
2014-01-11	4	2nd	18 21 31 33 34
2014-01-07	10	2nd	5 21 30 31 35
2013-12-28	40	3rd	4 16 21 33 38
2013-11-18	6	4th	2 7 11 21 28
2013-11-12	2	3rd	3 18 21 32 38
2013-11-10	2	3rd	4 8 21 26 33
2013-11-08	17	2nd	7 21 23 25 31
2013-10-22	7	4th	2 10 18 21 29
2013-10-15	2	3rd	4 18 21 30 31
2013-10-13	15	4th	2 7 11 21 24
2013-09-28	11	3rd	9 15 21 22 34
2013-09-17	1	2nd	1 21 27 29 32
2013-09-16	7	3rd	10 13 21 28 33
2013-09-09	3	4th	7 10 18 21 37
2013-09-06	3	3rd	7 13 21 23 31
2013-09-03	3	2nd	11 21 23 31 38
2013-08-31	4	4th	5 7 19 21 33
2013-08-27	4	3rd	8 20 21 22 38
2013-08-23	19	4th	1 2 3 21 24
2013-08-04	13	3rd	9 20 21 34 39
2013-07-22	17	2nd	16 21 25 29 38
2013-07-05	3	3rd	4 10 21 22 36
2013-07-02	5	4th	4 8 13 21 23
2013-06-27	4	3rd	2 13 21 33 35
2013-06-23	7	3rd	9 11 21 28 31
2013-06-16	3	4th	7 11 20 21 39
2013-06-13	10	2nd	13 21 22 25 32
2013-06-03	8	5th	4 9 11 18 21
2013-05-26	10	3rd	6 14 21 23 31
2013-05-16	10	4th	2 15 18 21 38
2013-05-06	10	4th	5 8 11 21 32
2013-04-26	6	2nd	6 21 22 23 38
2013-04-20	26	4th	6 9 20 21 34
2013-03-25	6	3rd	8 12 21 34 39
2013-03-19	18	3rd	6 14 21 26 39
2013-03-01	10	1st	21 31 35 38 39
2013-02-19	8	2nd	17 21 23 28 39
2013-02-11	20	4th	2 9 14 21 38
2013-01-22	3	3rd	1 8 21 34 37
2013-01-19	8	2nd	1 21 26 29 38
2013-01-11	28	4th	7 8 19 21 23
2012-12-14	1	2nd	17 21 23 24 36
2012-12-13	6	3rd	2 4 21 28 39
2012-12-07	1	2nd	18 21 25 29 32
2012-12-06	2	2nd	12 21 27 35 37
2012-12-04	3	4th	3 7 19 21 27
2012-12-01	9	2nd	3 21 26 30 36
2012-11-22	19	3rd	12 17 21 23 37
2012-11-03	31	3rd	7 8 21 25 39
2012-10-03	6	3rd	9 18 21 30 34
2012-09-27	7	4th	13 14 18 21 23
2012-09-20	19	2nd	13 21 26 28 29
2012-09-01	3	4th	4 16 20 21 23
2012-08-29	9	4th	12 13 19 21 35
2012-08-20	5	4th	10 12 17 21 24
2012-08-15	10	3rd	5 7 21 22 36
2012-08-05	6	3rd	12 16 21 31 38
2012-07-30	30	2nd	19 21 28 33 37
2012-06-29	11	3rd	11 12 21 23 33
2012-06-18	5	3rd	14 15 21 37 38
2012-06-13	13	2nd	19 21 25 29 33
2012-05-31	3	2nd	2 21 25 27 30
2012-05-28	4	3rd	3 12 21 26 39
2012-05-24	5	4th	5 7 19 21 27
2012-05-19	4	5th	2 5 7 8 21
2012-05-15	5	2nd	5 21 23 25 28
2012-05-08	1	2nd	12 21 30 36 38
2012-05-07	1	4th	2 4 13 21 39
2012-05-06	5	3rd	9 17 21 33 37
2012-05-01	6	3rd	2 17 21 27 37
2012-04-25	34	3rd	16 17 21 28 37
2012-03-22	2	4th	4 14 15 21 39
2012-03-20	6	2nd	15 21 35 37 39
2012-03-14	21	3rd	14 15 21 22 25
2012-02-22	3	2nd	19 21 22 30 33
2012-02-19	22	1st	21 22 25 34 35
2012-01-28	7	3rd	8 11 21 27 35
2012-01-21	7	2nd	4 21 26 35 37
2012-01-14	10	3rd	6 15 21 26 29
2012-01-04	8	3rd	10 17 21 34 38
2011-12-27	5	4th	5 8 14 21 35
2011-12-22	1	4th	5 11 20 21 29
2011-12-21	7	2nd	16 21 32 34 35
2011-12-14	1	3rd	9 13 21 22 23
2011-12-13	2	3rd	3 14 21 30 38
2011-12-11	7	4th	3 9 18 21 33
2011-12-04	12	5th	1 3 4 11 21
2011-11-22	1	2nd	16 21 28 30 34
2011-11-21	21	3rd	1 15 21 38 39
2011-10-31	11	4th	2 17 18 21 32
2011-10-20	2	1st	21 25 26 37 39
2011-10-18	6	4th	6 9 18 21 36
2011-10-11	1	3rd	12 20 21 32 33
2011-10-10	8	2nd	8 21 22 29 36
2011-10-02	5	4th	7 10 16 21 27
2011-09-27	8	3rd	17 19 21 26 35
2011-09-19	1	4th	8 16 18 21 35
2011-09-18	1	3rd	1 4 21 23 25
2011-09-17	7	3rd	10 16 21 23 34
2011-09-10	1	2nd	8 21 26 31 37
2011-09-09	6	3rd	7 12 21 27 29
2011-09-03	10	3rd	16 17 21 30 38
2011-08-24	4	4th	4 12 15 21 33
2011-08-20	8	3rd	8 15 21 25 38
2011-08-11	37	3rd	8 19 21 25 26
2011-07-05	1	3rd	8 14 21 27 38
2011-07-04	18	3rd	14 16 21 23 27
2011-06-15	23	2nd	3 21 25 36 38
2011-05-23	4	3rd	5 15 21 36 37
2011-05-19	1	4th	1 4 5 21 34
2011-05-18	2	2nd	7 21 26 28 36
2011-05-16	13	2nd	12 21 26 29 36
2011-05-03	27	4th	2 3 11 21 27
2011-04-06	23	4th	9 12 18 21 25
2011-03-14	42	3rd	4 10 21 23 31
2011-01-31	7	3rd	5 10 21 36 39
2011-01-24	12	3rd	11 12 21 23 25
2011-01-12	13	4th	2 11 17 21 34
2010-12-30	2	2nd	2 21 24 25 26
2010-12-28	2	4th	3 4 9 21 37
2010-12-26	1	2nd	15 21 23 37 38
2010-12-25	1	2nd	8 21 28 30 32
2010-12-24	4	4th	2 7 20 21 38
2010-12-20	5	3rd	2 16 21 23 34
2010-12-15	2	2nd	1 21 31 35 36
2010-12-13	11	2nd	7 21 24 26 27
2010-12-02	1	1st	21 31 32 34 35
2010-12-01	25	4th	14 15 16 21 32
2010-11-06	1	3rd	3 19 21 27 34
2010-11-05	1	3rd	8 16 21 37 39
2010-11-04	1	4th	1 6 16 21 32
2010-11-03	5	4th	1 5 13 21 25
2010-10-29	12	3rd	7 17 21 23 29
2010-10-17	12	4th	5 9 16 21 24
2010-10-05	3	4th	8 12 17 21 23
2010-10-02	9	3rd	11 13 21 24 28
2010-09-23	5	3rd	15 17 21 22 32
2010-09-18	3	3rd	2 11 21 23 25
2010-09-15	1	3rd	7 10 21 37 38
2010-09-14	1	3rd	14 17 21 23 38
2010-09-13	12	3rd	8 16 21 30 39
2010-09-01	4	3rd	7 14 21 24 30
2010-08-28	4	3rd	3 9 21 22 24
2010-08-24	3	2nd	6 21 25 37 39
2010-08-21	16	3rd	16 17 21 32 36
2010-08-05	2	3rd	17 19 21 31 39
2010-08-03	3	4th	7 13 18 21 24
2010-07-31	10	5th	3 6 9 20 21
2010-07-21	4	2nd	16 21 30 35 36
2010-07-17	4	4th	11 12 15 21 25
2010-07-13	8	3rd	9 14 21 31 32
2010-07-05	3	4th	4 5 9 21 22
2010-07-02	8	3rd	1 6 21 22 23
2010-06-24	1	4th	12 18 20 21 38
2010-06-23	9	3rd	4 8 21 23 27
2010-06-14	5	4th	10 18 19 21 39
2010-06-09	12	1st	21 22 29 31 34
2010-05-28	8	2nd	9 21 31 36 38
2010-05-20	4	2nd	10 21 24 30 31
2010-05-16	3	4th	1 13 16 21 28
2010-05-13	5	2nd	7 21 26 31 39
2010-05-08	3	5th	1 10 13 20 21
2010-05-05	9	3rd	8 16 21 28 32
2010-04-26	2	5th	4 12 13 18 21
2010-04-24	1	3rd	1 17 21 27 30
2010-04-23	2	5th	6 12 16 17 21
2010-04-21	8	2nd	7 21 22 23 29
2010-04-13	—	3rd	3 7 21 27 32